TOR @ SEA Runs matchups · Friday, July 3, 2026

TOR

Toronto Blue Jays

10:10 PM EDT

SEA

Seattle Mariners

◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft

TOR Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from TOR's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.13330 BF

Season.153196 BF

Last 2 Years.117711 BF

wOBA allowed.343

Hard-Hit %38%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.18211 BF

Season.147143 BF

Last 2 Years.106659 BF

wOBA allowed.302

Hard-Hit %29%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27vs TEX0

Jun 28vs TEX1

Jun 29vs NYM0

Jun 30vs NYM0

Jul 1vs NYM1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.125

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.13330 PA

Season.153196 PA

Last 2 Years.117711 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L3–6

ERA4.93

WHIP1.36

IP76.2

H / K / BB78 / 73 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.100

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.087229 PA

Season.1011307 PA

Last 2 Years.0983925 PA

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-4

Runs0 in 5 PA

Career Average.200

Plate Appearances5

HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.542

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26vs TEX1

Jun 27vs TEX0

Jun 28vs TEX0

Jun 29vs NYM0

Jul 1vs NYM1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.122

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.18211 PA

Season.147143 PA

Last 2 Years.106659 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L3–6

ERA4.93

WHIP1.36

IP76.2

H / K / BB78 / 73 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.105

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.100150 PA

Season.0981077 PA

Last 2 Years.1073967 PA

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head4-for-15

Runs0 in 18 PA

Career Average.222

Plate Appearances18

HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 3

Projection

Projected Runs0.531

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26vs TEX1

Jun 27vs TEX0

Jun 28vs TEX0

Jun 29vs NYM0

Jul 1vs NYM1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.122

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.18211 PA

Season.147143 PA

Last 2 Years.106659 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L3–6

ERA4.93

WHIP1.36

IP76.2

H / K / BB78 / 73 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.105

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.100150 PA

Season.0981077 PA

Last 2 Years.1073967 PA

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.52

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~2.2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26vs TEX0

Jun 27vs TEX0

Jun 28vs TEX0

Jun 30vs NYM0

Jul 1vs NYM1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.125

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.13330 PA

Season.153196 PA

Last 2 Years.117711 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L3–6

ERA4.93

WHIP1.36

IP76.2

H / K / BB78 / 73 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.100

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.087229 PA

Season.1011307 PA

Last 2 Years.0983925 PA

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-12

Runs0 in 13 PA

Career Average.077

Plate Appearances13

HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.497

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26vs TEX0

Jun 27vs TEX1

Jun 28vs TEX0

Jun 30vs NYM0

Jul 1vs NYM2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.122

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.18211 PA

Season.147143 PA

Last 2 Years.106659 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L3–6

ERA4.93

WHIP1.36

IP76.2

H / K / BB78 / 73 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.105

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.100150 PA

Season.0981077 PA

Last 2 Years.1073967 PA

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-5

Runs0 in 5 PA

Career Average.600

Plate Appearances5

HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.487

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27vs TEX1

Jun 28vs TEX0

Jun 29vs NYM0

Jun 30vs NYM0

Jul 1vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.125

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.13330 PA

Season.153196 PA

Last 2 Years.117711 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L3–6

ERA4.93

WHIP1.36

IP76.2

H / K / BB78 / 73 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.100

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.087229 PA

Season.1011307 PA

Last 2 Years.0983925 PA

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.467

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27vs TEX1

Jun 28vs TEX0

Jun 29vs NYM0

Jun 30vs NYM0

Jul 1vs NYM1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.122

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.18211 PA

Season.147143 PA

Last 2 Years.106659 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L3–6

ERA4.93

WHIP1.36

IP76.2

H / K / BB78 / 73 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.105

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.100150 PA

Season.0981077 PA

Last 2 Years.1073967 PA

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Runs0 in 5 PA

Career Average.200

Plate Appearances5

HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.459

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 3 GamesRuns

Jun 27vs TEX1

Jun 30vs NYM0

Jul 1vs NYM1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.125

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.13330 PA

Season.153196 PA

Last 2 Years.117711 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L3–6

ERA4.93

WHIP1.36

IP76.2

H / K / BB78 / 73 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.100

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.087229 PA

Season.1011307 PA

Last 2 Years.0983925 PA

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.446

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26vs TEX1

Jun 27vs TEX0

Jun 28vs TEX0

Jun 30vs NYM0

Jul 1vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.125

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.13330 PA

Season.153196 PA

Last 2 Years.117711 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L3–6

ERA4.93

WHIP1.36

IP76.2

H / K / BB78 / 73 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.100

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.087229 PA

Season.1011307 PA

Last 2 Years.0983925 PA

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head4-for-19

Runs0 in 21 PA

Career Average.191

Plate Appearances21

HR · K · BB1 · 5 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.435

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

SEA Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from SEA's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.108

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02540 PA

Season.118204 PA

Last 2 Years.118765 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27@ CLE0

Jun 28@ CLE0

Jun 29vs LAA0

Jun 30vs LAA0

Jul 2vs LAA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–4

ERA3.02

WHIP1.24

IP83.1

H / K / BB63 / 128 / 40

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.297

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Runs0 in 5 PA

Career Average.200

Plate Appearances5

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.532

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.122

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.14335 PA

Season.115278 PA

Last 2 Years.136988 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26@ CLE0

Jun 27@ CLE1

Jun 28@ CLE1

Jun 29vs LAA0

Jun 30vs LAA2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–4

ERA3.02

WHIP1.24

IP83.1

H / K / BB63 / 128 / 40

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Runs0 in 2 PA

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.539

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.115

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.11834 PA

Season.096249 PA

Last 2 Years.133895 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27@ CLE0

Jun 28@ CLE1

Jun 29vs LAA2

Jun 30vs LAA1

Jul 2vs LAA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–4

ERA3.02

WHIP1.24

IP83.1

H / K / BB63 / 128 / 40

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head7-for-25

Runs0 in 25 PA

Career Average.280

Plate Appearances25

HR · K · BB0 · 5 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.518

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.130

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.11526 PA

Season.159252 PA

Last 2 Years.139978 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27@ CLE1

Jun 28@ CLE0

Jun 29vs LAA1

Jun 30vs LAA2

Jul 2vs LAA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–4

ERA3.02

WHIP1.24

IP83.1

H / K / BB63 / 128 / 40

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head3-for-12

Runs0 in 13 PA

Career Average.231

Plate Appearances13

HR · K · BB2 · 4 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.526

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~2.9× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.119

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.11834 PA

Season.108167 PA

Last 2 Years.136895 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27@ CLE0

Jun 28@ CLE1

Jun 29vs LAA0

Jun 30vs LAA1

Jul 2vs LAA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–4

ERA3.02

WHIP1.24

IP83.1

H / K / BB63 / 128 / 40

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Runs0 in 3 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.499

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.125

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.18832 PA

Season.128242 PA

Last 2 Years.118432 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27@ CLE0

Jun 28@ CLE1

Jun 29vs LAA2

Jun 30vs LAA2

Jul 2vs LAA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–4

ERA3.02

WHIP1.24

IP83.1

H / K / BB63 / 128 / 40

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Runs0 in 2 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.49

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.110

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03033 PA

Season.11794 PA

Last 2 Years.11794 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27@ CLE0

Jun 28@ CLE0

Jun 29vs LAA0

Jun 30vs LAA0

Jul 2vs LAA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–4

ERA3.02

WHIP1.24

IP83.1

H / K / BB63 / 128 / 40

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.46

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.113

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA

Season.06844 PA

Last 2 Years.142274 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 21vs BOS0

Jun 23@ PIT0

Jun 28@ CLE1

Jun 29vs LAA0

Jun 30vs LAA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–4

ERA3.02

WHIP1.24

IP83.1

H / K / BB63 / 128 / 40

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.451

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.114

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA

Season.10519 PA

Last 2 Years.112107 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 19vs BOS0

Jun 21vs BOS1

Jun 24@ PIT0

Jun 30vs LAA0

Jul 2vs LAA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–4

ERA3.02

WHIP1.24

IP83.1

H / K / BB63 / 128 / 40

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.442

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.