MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Runs · Friday, July 3, 2026

SF @ COL Runs matchups · Friday, July 3, 2026

SF
SF
San Francisco Giants
vs
8:10 PM EDT
COL
Colorado Rockies
COL
Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft

SF SF Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from SF's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 BF
Season.106104 BF
Last 2 Years.086339 BF
wOBA allowed.299
Hard-Hit %34%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 BF
Season.147116 BF
Last 2 Years.135326 BF
wOBA allowed.343
Hard-Hit %37%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.122

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14335 PA
Season.134247 PA
Last 2 Years.111963 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27vs ATL1
Jun 28vs ATL1
Jun 29@ AZ0
Jun 30@ AZ1
Jul 1@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.109

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.106104 PA
Last 2 Years.086339 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.42
WHIP1.25
IP53.0
H / K / BB46 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.142

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.136184 PA
Season.1631023 PA
Last 2 Years.1483395 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.343
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-10

Runs0 in 10 PA
Career Average.300
Plate Appearances10
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.562

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.112

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08137 PA
Season.115235 PA
Last 2 Years.109496 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26vs ATL1
Jun 27vs ATL1
Jun 29@ AZ0
Jun 30@ AZ0
Jul 1@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.122

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.147116 PA
Last 2 Years.135326 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.42
WHIP1.25
IP53.0
H / K / BB46 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.137

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.150167 PA
Season.1441302 PA
Last 2 Years.1354311 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.558

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08635 PA
Season.133135 PA
Last 2 Years.112170 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26vs ATL0
Jun 27vs ATL1
Jun 29@ AZ1
Jun 30@ AZ0
Jul 1@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.109

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.106104 PA
Last 2 Years.086339 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.42
WHIP1.25
IP53.0
H / K / BB46 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.142

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.136184 PA
Season.1631023 PA
Last 2 Years.1483395 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.528

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.132

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20729 PA
Season.135238 PA
Last 2 Years.143900 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27vs ATL2
Jun 28vs ATL0
Jun 29@ AZ0
Jun 30@ AZ1
Jul 1@ AZ1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.109

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.106104 PA
Last 2 Years.086339 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.42
WHIP1.25
IP53.0
H / K / BB46 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.142

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.136184 PA
Season.1631023 PA
Last 2 Years.1483395 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.365
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.547

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.121

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.3339 PA
Season.112143 PA
Last 2 Years.112892 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

May 15@ ATH0
Jun 28vs ATL1
Jun 29@ AZ1
Jun 30@ AZ0
Jul 1@ AZ2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.122

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.147116 PA
Last 2 Years.135326 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.42
WHIP1.25
IP53.0
H / K / BB46 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.137

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.150167 PA
Season.1441302 PA
Last 2 Years.1354311 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-6

Runs0 in 8 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 2

Projection

Projected Runs0.541

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.135

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.21932 PA
Season.144222 PA
Last 2 Years.141673 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27vs ATL0
Jun 28vs ATL0
Jun 29@ AZ0
Jun 30@ AZ0
Jul 1@ AZ2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.109

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.106104 PA
Last 2 Years.086339 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.42
WHIP1.25
IP53.0
H / K / BB46 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.142

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.136184 PA
Season.1631023 PA
Last 2 Years.1483395 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.527

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 25vs ATH1
Jun 26vs ATL0
Jun 28vs ATL0
Jun 29@ AZ1
Jul 1@ AZ1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.122

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.147116 PA
Last 2 Years.135326 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.42
WHIP1.25
IP53.0
H / K / BB46 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.137

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.150167 PA
Season.1441302 PA
Last 2 Years.1354311 PA

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.503

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26vs ATL0
Jun 27vs ATL0
Jun 29@ AZ0
Jun 30@ AZ0
Jul 1@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.109

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.106104 PA
Last 2 Years.086339 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.42
WHIP1.25
IP53.0
H / K / BB46 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.142

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.136184 PA
Season.1631023 PA
Last 2 Years.1483395 PA

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.478

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.06715 PA
Last 2 Years.138159 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Apr 24vs MIA0
Apr 26vs MIA0
May 5vs SD0
May 10vs PIT1
Jul 1@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.122

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.147116 PA
Last 2 Years.135326 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.42
WHIP1.25
IP53.0
H / K / BB46 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.137

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.150167 PA
Season.1441302 PA
Last 2 Years.1354311 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.476

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

COL COL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from COL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).
?
Probable pitcher not announcedMatchups for this lineup are shown neutrally for now and will sharpen automatically once the opposing starter is posted (usually a day or two before first pitch).
Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.120

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14057 PA
Season.120259 PA
Last 2 Years.116757 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28@ MIN0
Jun 29vs MIA0
Jun 30vs MIA0
Jul 1vs MIA0
Jul 2vs MIA3

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.134

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15838 PA
Season.168137 PA
Last 2 Years.158165 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.568

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.124

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14328 PA
Season.130192 PA
Last 2 Years.133857 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28@ MIN0
Jun 29vs MIA0
Jun 30vs MIA1
Jul 1vs MIA2
Jul 2vs MIA3

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.134

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15838 PA
Season.168137 PA
Last 2 Years.158165 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.339
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.56

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08956 PA
Season.109341 PA
Last 2 Years.109341 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28@ MIN1
Jun 29vs MIA1
Jun 30vs MIA0
Jul 1vs MIA0
Jul 2vs MIA2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.134

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15838 PA
Season.168137 PA
Last 2 Years.158165 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.354
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.529

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.120

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10946 PA
Season.128289 PA
Last 2 Years.1271045 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26@ MIN0
Jun 27@ MIN0
Jun 28@ MIN1
Jul 1vs MIA0
Jul 2vs MIA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.103

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08025 PA
Season.072111 PA
Last 2 Years.072153 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.501

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.108

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.108287 PA
Last 2 Years.105408 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27@ MIN0
Jun 28@ MIN0
Jun 29vs MIA1
Jul 1vs MIA0
Jul 2vs MIA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.134

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15838 PA
Season.168137 PA
Last 2 Years.158165 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.5

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27@ MIN1
Jun 28@ MIN0
Jun 29vs MIA2
Jun 30vs MIA0
Jul 2vs MIA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.103

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08025 PA
Season.072111 PA
Last 2 Years.072153 PA

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.46

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.136

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.22236 PA
Season.146274 PA
Last 2 Years.140430 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28@ MIN0
Jun 29vs MIA1
Jun 30vs MIA1
Jul 1vs MIA2
Jul 2vs MIA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.103

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08025 PA
Season.072111 PA
Last 2 Years.072153 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.472

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.102

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.068118 PA
Last 2 Years.067134 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 16@ CHC1
Jun 21vs PIT0
Jun 27@ MIN0
Jun 30vs MIA0
Jul 2vs MIA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.134

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15838 PA
Season.168137 PA
Last 2 Years.158165 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.461

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.116

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14328 PA
Season.121224 PA
Last 2 Years.097539 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 23vs BOS0
Jun 26@ MIN2
Jun 29vs MIA1
Jun 30vs MIA1
Jul 2vs MIA2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.134

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15838 PA
Season.168137 PA
Last 2 Years.158165 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.465

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.