MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Runs · Friday, July 3, 2026

MIA @ ATH Runs matchups · Friday, July 3, 2026

MIA
MIA
Miami Marlins
vs
9:40 PM EDT
ATH
Athletics
ATH
Sutter Health ParkElevation 24 ftCenter Field 403 ft

MIA MIA Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from MIA's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 13-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.126

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14314 PA
Season.153241 PA
Last 2 Years.117565 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 17@ PHI1
Jun 19vs SF0
Jun 30@ COL1
Jul 1@ COL1
Jul 2@ COL1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L2–3
ERA6.00
WHIP1.33
IP51.0
H / K / BB51 / 62 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.103

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07540 PA
Season.072236 PA
Last 2 Years.117496 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.541

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.132

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17141 PA
Season.148277 PA
Last 2 Years.135852 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27@ STL1
Jun 28@ STL0
Jun 29@ COL1
Jul 1@ COL0
Jul 2@ COL2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L2–3
ERA6.00
WHIP1.33
IP51.0
H / K / BB51 / 62 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13537 PA
Season.121157 PA
Last 2 Years.107431 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.555

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.125

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15645 PA
Season.123212 PA
Last 2 Years.133697 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28@ STL0
Jun 29@ COL3
Jun 30@ COL2
Jul 1@ COL0
Jul 2@ COL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L2–3
ERA6.00
WHIP1.33
IP51.0
H / K / BB51 / 62 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.103

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07540 PA
Season.072236 PA
Last 2 Years.117496 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.343
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.508

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.121

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12241 PA
Season.120283 PA
Last 2 Years.135906 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28@ STL0
Jun 29@ COL1
Jun 30@ COL2
Jul 1@ COL0
Jul 2@ COL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L2–3
ERA6.00
WHIP1.33
IP51.0
H / K / BB51 / 62 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.103

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07540 PA
Season.072236 PA
Last 2 Years.117496 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.339
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.492

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.123

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10728 PA
Season.14947 PA
Last 2 Years.152178 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28@ STL0
Jun 29@ COL2
Jun 30@ COL1
Jul 1@ COL0
Jul 2@ COL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L2–3
ERA6.00
WHIP1.33
IP51.0
H / K / BB51 / 62 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.103

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07540 PA
Season.072236 PA
Last 2 Years.117496 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.341
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.483

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.133

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.25036 PA
Season.129201 PA
Last 2 Years.132228 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28@ STL1
Jun 29@ COL1
Jun 30@ COL2
Jul 1@ COL0
Jul 2@ COL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L2–3
ERA6.00
WHIP1.33
IP51.0
H / K / BB51 / 62 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.103

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07540 PA
Season.072236 PA
Last 2 Years.117496 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.479

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.106

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04346 PA
Season.106273 PA
Last 2 Years.113426 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27@ STL1
Jun 28@ STL0
Jun 29@ COL0
Jun 30@ COL0
Jul 2@ COL1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L2–3
ERA6.00
WHIP1.33
IP51.0
H / K / BB51 / 62 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.103

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07540 PA
Season.072236 PA
Last 2 Years.117496 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.436

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20729 PA
Season.096146 PA
Last 2 Years.113371 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28@ STL0
Jun 29@ COL1
Jun 30@ COL3
Jul 1@ COL0
Jul 2@ COL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L2–3
ERA6.00
WHIP1.33
IP51.0
H / K / BB51 / 62 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13537 PA
Season.121157 PA
Last 2 Years.107431 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.46

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28@ STL0
Jun 29@ COL0
Jun 30@ COL1
Jul 1@ COL1
Jul 2@ COL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L2–3
ERA6.00
WHIP1.33
IP51.0
H / K / BB51 / 62 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.103

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07540 PA
Season.072236 PA
Last 2 Years.117496 PA

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.427

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

ATH ATH Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from ATH's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08025 BF
Season.087150 BF
Last 2 Years.107374 BF
wOBA allowed.331
Hard-Hit %30%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07726 BF
Season.085129 BF
Last 2 Years.101378 BF
wOBA allowed.275
Hard-Hit %30%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09731 PA
Season.121256 PA
Last 2 Years.133851 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27@ LAA0
Jun 28@ LAA0
Jun 29vs LAD0
Jun 30vs LAD1
Jul 1vs LAD1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07726 PA
Season.085129 PA
Last 2 Years.101378 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L1–3
ERA3.02
WHIP1.31
IP65.2
H / K / BB56 / 50 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.107159 PA
Season.118922 PA
Last 2 Years.1312915 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-4

Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.526

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.138

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10728 PA
Season.163252 PA
Last 2 Years.187588 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27@ LAA1
Jun 28@ LAA0
Jun 29vs LAD0
Jun 30vs LAD0
Jul 1vs LAD1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.108

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08025 PA
Season.087150 PA
Last 2 Years.107374 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L1–3
ERA3.02
WHIP1.31
IP65.2
H / K / BB56 / 50 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.104

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.083230 PA
Season.1051241 PA
Last 2 Years.1193237 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.358
Hard-Hit %42%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.527

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.114

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.10010 PA
Last 2 Years.08273 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27@ LAA0
Jun 28@ LAA0
Jun 29vs LAD1
Jun 30vs LAD1
Jul 1vs LAD1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07726 PA
Season.085129 PA
Last 2 Years.101378 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L1–3
ERA3.02
WHIP1.31
IP65.2
H / K / BB56 / 50 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.107159 PA
Season.118922 PA
Last 2 Years.1312915 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.496

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.4× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.113

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12524 PA
Season.12075 PA
Last 2 Years.083554 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27@ LAA1
Jun 28@ LAA0
Jun 29vs LAD0
Jun 30vs LAD0
Jul 1vs LAD2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.108

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08025 PA
Season.087150 PA
Last 2 Years.107374 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L1–3
ERA3.02
WHIP1.31
IP65.2
H / K / BB56 / 50 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.104

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.083230 PA
Season.1051241 PA
Last 2 Years.1193237 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.47

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 3 GamesRuns

Jun 29vs LAD1
Jun 30vs LAD0
Jul 1vs LAD1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07726 PA
Season.085129 PA
Last 2 Years.101378 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L1–3
ERA3.02
WHIP1.31
IP65.2
H / K / BB56 / 50 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.107159 PA
Season.118922 PA
Last 2 Years.1312915 PA

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.484

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.129

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.18527 PA
Season.126190 PA
Last 2 Years.148929 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27@ LAA0
Jun 28@ LAA0
Jun 29vs LAD0
Jun 30vs LAD0
Jul 1vs LAD0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.108

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08025 PA
Season.087150 PA
Last 2 Years.107374 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L1–3
ERA3.02
WHIP1.31
IP65.2
H / K / BB56 / 50 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.104

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.083230 PA
Season.1051241 PA
Last 2 Years.1193237 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.463

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.098

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06133 PA
Season.056108 PA
Last 2 Years.056108 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27@ LAA0
Jun 28@ LAA0
Jun 29vs LAD0
Jun 30vs LAD0
Jul 1vs LAD0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07726 PA
Season.085129 PA
Last 2 Years.101378 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L1–3
ERA3.02
WHIP1.31
IP65.2
H / K / BB56 / 50 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.107159 PA
Season.118922 PA
Last 2 Years.1312915 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.432

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.104

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.077220 PA
Last 2 Years.102729 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26@ LAA1
Jun 27@ LAA0
Jun 28@ LAA1
Jun 29vs LAD0
Jul 1vs LAD0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.108

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08025 PA
Season.087150 PA
Last 2 Years.107374 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L1–3
ERA3.02
WHIP1.31
IP65.2
H / K / BB56 / 50 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.104

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.083230 PA
Season.1051241 PA
Last 2 Years.1193237 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-0

Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.411

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.128

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.18211 PA
Season.18937 PA
Last 2 Years.19357 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27@ LAA0
Jun 28@ LAA0
Jun 29vs LAD1
Jun 30vs LAD0
Jul 1vs LAD1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07726 PA
Season.085129 PA
Last 2 Years.101378 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L1–3
ERA3.02
WHIP1.31
IP65.2
H / K / BB56 / 50 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.107159 PA
Season.118922 PA
Last 2 Years.1312915 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.444

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.