TB @ HOU Runs matchups · Sunday, July 5, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays

3:30 PM EDT

HOU

Houston Astros

◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft

TB Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from TB's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.11127 BF

Season.047171 BF

Last 2 Years.060232 BF

wOBA allowed.262

Hard-Hit %34%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.14321 BF

Season.151139 BF

Last 2 Years.161211 BF

wOBA allowed.336

Hard-Hit %33%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.126

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.14947 PA

Season.129256 PA

Last 2 Years.134659 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 30@ KC1

Jul 1@ KC1

Jul 2@ KC0

Jul 3@ HOU0

Jul 4@ HOU1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.097

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA

Season.047171 PA

Last 2 Years.060232 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–5

ERA3.51

WHIP1.18

IP74.1

H / K / BB57 / 68 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.127

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.132235 PA

Season.1371089 PA

Last 2 Years.1133055 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.364

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Runs0 in 2 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.524

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jonathan Aranda's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.132

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.18050 PA

Season.141269 PA

Last 2 Years.129878 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 30@ KC1

Jul 1@ KC1

Jul 2@ KC0

Jul 3@ HOU1

Jul 4@ HOU2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.129

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.14321 PA

Season.151139 PA

Last 2 Years.161211 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–5

ERA3.51

WHIP1.18

IP74.1

H / K / BB57 / 68 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.112170 PA

Season.099978 PA

Last 2 Years.0993351 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.360

Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.334

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.567

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Junior Caminero's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.123

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.15439 PA

Season.126215 PA

Last 2 Years.122780 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28vs AZ1

Jul 1@ KC1

Jul 2@ KC1

Jul 3@ HOU0

Jul 4@ HOU1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.097

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA

Season.047171 PA

Last 2 Years.060232 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–5

ERA3.51

WHIP1.18

IP74.1

H / K / BB57 / 68 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.127

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.132235 PA

Season.1371089 PA

Last 2 Years.1133055 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.495

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Cedric Mullins's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.2229 PA

Season.10060 PA

Last 2 Years.10387 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 21vs WSH1

Jun 22vs KC0

Jun 24vs KC0

Jun 30@ KC2

Jul 4@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.129

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.14321 PA

Season.151139 PA

Last 2 Years.161211 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–5

ERA3.51

WHIP1.18

IP74.1

H / K / BB57 / 68 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.112170 PA

Season.099978 PA

Last 2 Years.0993351 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.334

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.525

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ryan Vilade's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.119

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.10030 PA

Season.13972 PA

Last 2 Years.12298 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28vs AZ0

Jul 1@ KC1

Jul 2@ KC0

Jul 3@ HOU0

Jul 4@ HOU1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.097

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA

Season.047171 PA

Last 2 Years.060232 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–5

ERA3.51

WHIP1.18

IP74.1

H / K / BB57 / 68 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.127

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.132235 PA

Season.1371089 PA

Last 2 Years.1133055 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.465

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Victor Mesa Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.6×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.118

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.13023 PA

Season.12894 PA

Last 2 Years.109293 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 24vs KC0

Jun 26vs AZ0

Jun 30@ KC2

Jul 3@ HOU0

Jul 4@ HOU1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.129

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.14321 PA

Season.151139 PA

Last 2 Years.161211 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–5

ERA3.51

WHIP1.18

IP74.1

H / K / BB57 / 68 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.112170 PA

Season.099978 PA

Last 2 Years.0993351 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.334

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.491

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jonny DeLuca's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.120

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.12532 PA

Season.119177 PA

Last 2 Years.135274 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27vs AZ0

Jun 28vs AZ0

Jul 1@ KC0

Jul 2@ KC1

Jul 4@ HOU1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.097

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA

Season.047171 PA

Last 2 Years.060232 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–5

ERA3.51

WHIP1.18

IP74.1

H / K / BB57 / 68 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.127

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.132235 PA

Season.1371089 PA

Last 2 Years.1133055 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.457

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Richie Palacios's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.136

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.21038 PA

Season.165152 PA

Last 2 Years.132524 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 30@ KC1

Jul 1@ KC0

Jul 2@ KC1

Jul 3@ HOU1

Jul 4@ HOU1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.097

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA

Season.047171 PA

Last 2 Years.060232 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–5

ERA3.51

WHIP1.18

IP74.1

H / K / BB57 / 68 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.127

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.132235 PA

Season.1371089 PA

Last 2 Years.1133055 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.463

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Taylor Walls's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.113

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA

Season.114105 PA

Last 2 Years.095200 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26vs AZ1

Jun 27vs AZ0

Jul 1@ KC0

Jul 2@ KC0

Jul 4@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.097

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA

Season.047171 PA

Last 2 Years.060232 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–5

ERA3.51

WHIP1.18

IP74.1

H / K / BB57 / 68 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.127

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.132235 PA

Season.1371089 PA

Last 2 Years.1133055 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.423

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Hunter Feduccia's full player page →

HOU Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from HOU's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Probable pitcher not announcedMatchups for this lineup are shown neutrally for now and will sharpen automatically once the opposing starter is posted (usually a day or two before first pitch).

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.122

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.10756 PA

Season.135282 PA

Last 2 Years.1291248 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 29vs MIN0

Jun 30vs MIN1

Jul 1vs MIN1

Jul 3vs TB0

Jul 4vs TB3

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.096

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.070213 PA

Season.0961236 PA

Last 2 Years.1073434 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.527

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jose Altuve's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.137

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.17956 PA

Season.157383 PA

Last 2 Years.132861 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 29vs MIN0

Jun 30vs MIN1

Jul 1vs MIN0

Jul 3vs TB1

Jul 4vs TB2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.098

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.078230 PA

Season.0971170 PA

Last 2 Years.1063065 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.376

Hard-Hit %43%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.539

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Yordan Alvarez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.109

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09861 PA

Season.101348 PA

Last 2 Years.1101090 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 29vs MIN1

Jun 30vs MIN0

Jul 1vs MIN0

Jul 3vs TB0

Jul 4vs TB0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.096

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.070213 PA

Season.0961236 PA

Last 2 Years.1073434 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.330

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.49

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Isaac Paredes's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.111

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05654 PA

Season.123365 PA

Last 2 Years.1161194 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 29vs MIN0

Jun 30vs MIN0

Jul 1vs MIN0

Jul 3vs TB0

Jul 4vs TB1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.096

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.070213 PA

Season.0961236 PA

Last 2 Years.1073434 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.482

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Christian Walker's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.111

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.15413 PA

Last 2 Years.088475 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 4vs PIT0

Jun 6vs ATH2

Jun 7vs ATH0

Jun 8@ LAA0

Jul 4vs TB0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.098

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.078230 PA

Season.0971170 PA

Last 2 Years.1063065 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.313

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.473

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

LaMonte Wade Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.14648 PA

Season.108332 PA

Last 2 Years.110825 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 29vs MIN2

Jun 30vs MIN1

Jul 1vs MIN1

Jul 3vs TB0

Jul 4vs TB0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.096

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.070213 PA

Season.0961236 PA

Last 2 Years.1073434 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.311

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.449

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Cam Smith's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.105

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09343 PA

Season.078153 PA

Last 2 Years.1001041 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28@ DET0

Jun 30vs MIN1

Jul 1vs MIN0

Jul 3vs TB0

Jul 4vs TB1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.096

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.070213 PA

Season.0961236 PA

Last 2 Years.1073434 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.302

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.425

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Yainer Diaz's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.118

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.13829 PA

Season.116112 PA

Last 2 Years.113247 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 29vs MIN1

Jun 30vs MIN1

Jul 1vs MIN0

Jul 3vs TB0

Jul 4vs TB1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.098

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.078230 PA

Season.0971170 PA

Last 2 Years.1063065 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.432

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Taylor Trammell's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.112

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.14682 PA

Last 2 Years.087526 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 29vs MIN0

Jun 30vs MIN0

Jul 1vs MIN0

Jul 3vs TB0

Jul 4vs TB2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.096

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.070213 PA

Season.0961236 PA

Last 2 Years.1073434 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.297

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.413

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nick Allen's full player page →