MatchWiz

Richie Palacios

Richie Palacios — hitting .240 in our graded log with 10 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
74.9
Triples · @ NYY · 2026-10-07
Our calls on him · hits
75%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
117
this season, box-score final
Richie Palacios
2BBats LThrows RTampa Bay Rays
Triples74.9/100proj 0#3Walks31.5/100proj 0.3#26RBIs25.2/100proj 0.4#30Doubles10.6/100proj 0.1#33Runs9.9/100proj 0.4#34H+R+RBI9.8/100proj 1.3#33Home Runs8.7/100proj 0#33Stolen Bases8.3/100proj 0#25Fantasy Points6.9/100proj 5.3#33Singles2.7/100proj 0.5#36Total Bases2.2/100proj 1.3#34Hits0/100proj 0.8#36

Last scored matchup

Richie isn't on today's slate. He was last scored yesterday, away at New York Yankees on Wednesday, October 7, 2026, where he landed on triples (74.9/100), walks (31.5/100), rbis (25.2/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Richie is 7-for-30 (.233) over his last 10 games, in line with his .240 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Richie has 10 home runs and 26 extra-base hits in 334 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a left-handed bat

Richie hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Richie has recorded at least one hit in 62 of 112 games he's batted in — 55% — with 17 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Richie is hitting .245 at home (40-for-163) and .234 on the road (40-for-171) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

Against New York Yankees

Richie is 4-for-18 (.222) against New York Yankees in our log, over 6 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 18 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.

His best game in the log

Richie's biggest night was Saturday, September 26, 2026 at PHI — 2-for-4 with 4 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Richie a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 4 times so far. He's appeared in 117 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Richie was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: triples graded 74.9/100 while hits came in at 0/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Richie gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.

What we'd flag

Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample. For Richie specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Wednesday, October 7@ NYY30000
Monday, October 5vs NYY41002
Saturday, October 3vs NYY31000
Sunday, September 27@ PHI40000
Saturday, September 26@ PHI42004
Thursday, September 24@ NYY11000
Wednesday, September 23@ NYY41000
Tuesday, September 22@ NYY30000
Saturday, September 19vs BOS41001
Friday, September 18vs BOS00000
Thursday, September 17vs ATH21012
Wednesday, September 16vs ATH10000

Richie Palacios — FAQ

Is Richie Palacios playing today?

Richie Palacios isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Richie Palacios been hitting lately?

Richie is 7-for-30 (.233) over his last 10 games, against .240 on the season across 334 at-bats in our log, with 10 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Richie Palacios appear on?

Richie was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — triples, walks, rbis, doubles, runs. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Richie Palacios's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).