MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · 1B · Tampa Bay Rays

Jonathan Aranda

Jonathan Aranda — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: rbis at 83.8/100.

Today's top board
83.8
RBIs · @ HOU
Our calls on him · hits
81%
1+ hit in 13/16 top-20 calls
Games graded
78
this season, box-score final
Jonathan Aranda
1BBats LThrows RTampa Bay Rays
RBIs83.8/100proj 0.7#6Fantasy Points83.1/100proj 8.6#4Total Bases83.1/100proj 1.9#4Walks82.8/100proj 0.8#6H+R+RBI72.3/100proj 2.1#8Runs72.2/100proj 0.6#15Hits62.3/100proj 1.1#32Home Runs56.8/100proj 0.3#20Stolen Bases12.4/100proj 0#166

Today's matchup

Jonathan is at Houston Astros on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — rbis (83.8/100, #6), fantasy points (83.1/100, #4), total bases (83.1/100, #4), walks (82.8/100, #6). We project Jonathan for 0.7 on the rbis board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Jonathan is 6-for-16 (.375) with 1 homer. The full log's below.

How our calls on Jonathan have done

When we've ranked Jonathan a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 13 of 16 games (81%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Jonathan's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Thursday, July 2@ KC51000
Wednesday, July 1@ KC32010
Tuesday, June 30@ KC32011
Sunday, June 28vs AZ30000
Saturday, June 27vs AZ21112
Friday, June 26vs AZ31011
Thursday, June 25vs KC53021
Wednesday, June 24vs KC42001
Tuesday, June 23vs KC52011
Monday, June 22vs KC31000
Sunday, June 21vs WSH31000
Saturday, June 20vs WSH41000

Jonathan Aranda — FAQ

Who is Jonathan Aranda facing today?

Jonathan Aranda is facing Houston Astros on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 83.8/100 on our rbis board.

What's Jonathan Aranda's projection today?

We project Jonathan for 0.7 on the rbis board (away vs HOU). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Jonathan Aranda done?

In the 16 games where our model ranked Jonathan a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 13 times (81%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).