MIL @ STL Runs matchups · Tuesday, July 7, 2026

MIL

Milwaukee Brewers

2:15 PM EDT

STL

St. Louis Cardinals

◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft

MIL Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from MIL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Probable pitcher not announcedMatchups for this lineup are shown neutrally for now and will sharpen automatically once the opposing starter is posted (usually a day or two before first pitch).

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.130

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09851 PA

Season.165243 PA

Last 2 Years.143934 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jul 2vs CIN0

Jul 3@ AZ1

Jul 4@ AZ1

Jul 5@ AZ0

Jul 6@ STL1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.113

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.096240 PA

Season.1181543 PA

Last 2 Years.1263832 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.307

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.557

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Christian Yelich's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.134

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.14363 PA

Season.152250 PA

Last 2 Years.1481147 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jul 2vs CIN1

Jul 3@ AZ1

Jul 4@ AZ1

Jul 5@ AZ0

Jul 6@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.119

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.126223 PA

Season.1141554 PA

Last 2 Years.1224591 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.343

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.557

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jackson Chourio's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 9-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.132

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.10865 PA

Season.162383 PA

Last 2 Years.1431320 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jul 2vs CIN0

Jul 3@ AZ1

Jul 4@ AZ1

Jul 5@ AZ0

Jul 6@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.113

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.096240 PA

Season.1181543 PA

Last 2 Years.1263832 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.332

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.536

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Brice Turang's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.122

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.10955 PA

Season.131360 PA

Last 2 Years.1341314 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jul 1vs CIN0

Jul 2vs CIN0

Jul 3@ AZ0

Jul 4@ AZ0

Jul 6@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.119

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.126223 PA

Season.1141554 PA

Last 2 Years.1224591 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.337

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.518

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

William Contreras's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.140

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.17956 PA

Season.162314 PA

Last 2 Years.148674 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jul 2vs CIN0

Jul 3@ AZ1

Jul 4@ AZ0

Jul 5@ AZ1

Jul 6@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.113

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.096240 PA

Season.1181543 PA

Last 2 Years.1263832 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.338

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.524

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jake Bauers's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.128

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.15246 PA

Season.132280 PA

Last 2 Years.139569 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jul 2vs CIN1

Jul 3@ AZ1

Jul 4@ AZ0

Jul 5@ AZ0

Jul 6@ STL1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.113

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.096240 PA

Season.1181543 PA

Last 2 Years.1263832 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.346

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.487

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Garrett Mitchell's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.114

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.10040 PA

Season.107289 PA

Last 2 Years.1201110 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jul 2vs CIN0

Jul 3@ AZ0

Jul 4@ AZ0

Jul 5@ AZ1

Jul 6@ STL1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.113

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.096240 PA

Season.1181543 PA

Last 2 Years.1263832 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.313

Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.459

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Sal Frelick's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.107

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07142 PA

Season.08360 PA

Last 2 Years.08360 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jul 1vs CIN0

Jul 2vs CIN0

Jul 3@ AZ1

Jul 4@ AZ0

Jul 6@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.119

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.126223 PA

Season.1141554 PA

Last 2 Years.1224591 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.301

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.448

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Cooper Pratt's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.116

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA

Season.132235 PA

Last 2 Years.134561 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 30vs CIN0

Jul 2vs CIN0

Jul 3@ AZ0

Jul 5@ AZ0

Jul 6@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.113

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.096240 PA

Season.1181543 PA

Last 2 Years.1263832 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.304

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.439

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

David Hamilton's full player page →

STL Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from STL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00021 BF

Season.028212 BF

Last 2 Years.077352 BF

wOBA allowed.168

Hard-Hit %31%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.26123 BF

Season.097185 BF

Last 2 Years.098318 BF

wOBA allowed.249

Hard-Hit %25%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.143

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.19436 PA

Season.173249 PA

Last 2 Years.173249 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jul 2@ ATL2

Jul 3@ CHC0

Jul 4@ CHC1

Jul 5@ CHC2

Jul 6vs MIL1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.087

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA

Season.028212 PA

Last 2 Years.077352 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4

ERA1.47

WHIP0.78

IP104.0

H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.099

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.071113 PA

Season.102734 PA

Last 2 Years.0911778 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.262

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Runs0 in 3 PA

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.496

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

JJ Wetherholt's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.130

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.16237 PA

Season.145276 PA

Last 2 Years.134649 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jul 2@ ATL1

Jul 3@ CHC3

Jul 4@ CHC0

Jul 5@ CHC0

Jul 6vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.119

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.26123 PA

Season.097185 PA

Last 2 Years.098318 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4

ERA1.47

WHIP0.78

IP104.0

H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.103

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.097186 PA

Season.098962 PA

Last 2 Years.1022530 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-9

Runs0 in 10 PA

Career Average.300

Plate Appearances10

HR · K · BB1 · 3 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.54

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Iván Herrera's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.125

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.17135 PA

Season.139273 PA

Last 2 Years.108640 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jul 2@ ATL2

Jul 3@ CHC3

Jul 4@ CHC1

Jul 5@ CHC1

Jul 6vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.119

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.26123 PA

Season.097185 PA

Last 2 Years.098318 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4

ERA1.47

WHIP0.78

IP104.0

H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.103

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.097186 PA

Season.098962 PA

Last 2 Years.1022530 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Runs0 in 5 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances5

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.522

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jordan Walker's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.127

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.3333 PA

Season.30813 PA

Last 2 Years.30813 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 30@ ATL1

Jul 1@ ATL0

Jul 3@ CHC1

Jul 5@ CHC0

Jul 6vs MIL1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.119

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.26123 PA

Season.097185 PA

Last 2 Years.098318 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4

ERA1.47

WHIP0.78

IP104.0

H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.103

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.097186 PA

Season.098962 PA

Last 2 Years.1022530 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.514

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nelson Velázquez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.109

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.15819 PA

Season.05869 PA

Last 2 Years.080151 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jul 2@ ATL1

Jul 3@ CHC1

Jul 4@ CHC0

Jul 5@ CHC0

Jul 6vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.119

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.26123 PA

Season.097185 PA

Last 2 Years.098318 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4

ERA1.47

WHIP0.78

IP104.0

H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.103

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.097186 PA

Season.098962 PA

Last 2 Years.1022530 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.479

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

José Fermín's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.122

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.15040 PA

Season.112249 PA

Last 2 Years.135860 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jul 2@ ATL1

Jul 3@ CHC2

Jul 4@ CHC0

Jul 5@ CHC0

Jul 6vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.119

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.26123 PA

Season.097185 PA

Last 2 Years.098318 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4

ERA1.47

WHIP0.78

IP104.0

H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.103

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.097186 PA

Season.098962 PA

Last 2 Years.1022530 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Runs0 in 5 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances5

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.478

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Masyn Winn's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.122

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.14734 PA

Season.122180 PA

Last 2 Years.130231 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jul 2@ ATL1

Jul 3@ CHC2

Jul 4@ CHC1

Jul 5@ CHC0

Jul 6vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.087

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA

Season.028212 PA

Last 2 Years.077352 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4

ERA1.47

WHIP0.78

IP104.0

H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.099

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.071113 PA

Season.102734 PA

Last 2 Years.0911778 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.262

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.406

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nathan Church's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.111

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA

Season.09851 PA

Last 2 Years.09851 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 30@ ATL0

Jul 1@ ATL0

Jul 2@ ATL0

Jul 3@ CHC3

Jul 6vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.119

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.26123 PA

Season.097185 PA

Last 2 Years.098318 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4

ERA1.47

WHIP0.78

IP104.0

H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.103

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.097186 PA

Season.098962 PA

Last 2 Years.1022530 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.434

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Blaze Jordan's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.111

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA

Season.10496 PA

Last 2 Years.097455 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28vs MIA0

Jul 2@ ATL0

Jul 3@ CHC0

Jul 4@ CHC0

Jul 6vs MIL1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.119

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.26123 PA

Season.097185 PA

Last 2 Years.098318 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4

ERA1.47

WHIP0.78

IP104.0

H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.103

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.097186 PA

Season.098962 PA

Last 2 Years.1022530 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-8

Runs0 in 8 PA

Career Average.375

Plate Appearances8

HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.423

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Pedro Pagés's full player page →