MatchWiz

Sal Frelick

Sal Frelick — hitting .230 in our graded log with 3 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
60.6
Stolen Bases · vs MIA · 2026-07-18
Our calls on him · hits
100%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
85
this season, box-score final
Sal Frelick
RFBats LThrows RMilwaukee Brewers
Stolen Bases60.6/100proj 0.1Hits26.1/100proj 0.9Runs22.1/100proj 0.4RBIs22/100proj 0.4H+R+RBI21.7/100proj 1.5Total Bases20.2/100proj 1.4Fantasy Points15.8/100proj 5.6Doubles10.7/100proj 0.2Singles10.7/100proj 0.6Triples10.7/100proj 0Walks10.2/100proj 0.2Home Runs7.8/100proj 0.1

Not on the current slate

Sal hasn't been scored in 36 days — his last matchup was against Miami Marlins on Saturday, July 18, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

He's in a cold stretch

Sal is 4-for-29 (.138) across his last 10 games, down from .230 on the season. Slumps this size are mostly noise at this sample — 29 at-bats is a fortnight, not a trend — and the model treats it that way, discounting the cold run rather than writing him off. If the matchup underneath is good, he'll still grade well here. That's a feature, and sometimes it's wrong.

What kind of hitter he is

Sal puts the ball in play — 31 strikeouts in 265 at-bats, about 12% of the time. Contact hitters carry their value on the hits board rather than the power boards, and they're less matchup-dependent than sluggers: a strikeout arm hurts him less than it hurts a hitter who sells out for damage. He's also run — 6 stolen bases — which shows up on the steals board.

He's a left-handed bat

Sal hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Sal has recorded at least one hit in 47 of 82 games he's batted in — 57% — with 13 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Sal is hitting .227 at home (27-for-119) and .233 on the road (34-for-146) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Sal a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 1 time so far. He's appeared in 85 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Sal was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: stolen bases graded 60.6/100 while home runs came in at 7.8/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Sal gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.

What we'd flag

Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample. For Sal specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Friday, July 17vs MIA10000
Sunday, July 12@ PIT40000
Saturday, July 11@ PIT41112
Thursday, July 9@ STL42001
Wednesday, July 8@ STL10000
Tuesday, July 7@ STL20000
Tuesday, July 7@ STL40000
Monday, July 6@ STL41010
Sunday, July 5@ AZ10010
Saturday, July 4@ AZ40000
Friday, July 3@ AZ30000
Thursday, July 2vs CIN20000

Sal Frelick — FAQ

Is Sal Frelick playing today?

Sal Frelick isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Saturday, July 18, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Sal Frelick been hitting lately?

Sal is 4-for-29 (.138) over his last 10 games, against .230 on the season across 265 at-bats in our log, with 3 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Sal Frelick appear on?

Sal was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — stolen bases, hits, runs, rbis, h+r+rbi. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Sal Frelick's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).