MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · LF · St. Louis Cardinals

Nathan Church

Nathan Church — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: rbis at 59.8/100.

Today's top board
59.8
RBIs · @ CHC
Our calls on him · hits
0%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
60
this season, box-score final
Nathan Church
LFBats LThrows LSt. Louis Cardinals
RBIs59.8/100proj 0.5#71H+R+RBI48.3/100proj 1.7#127Fantasy Points32.8/100proj 6.2#143Total Bases30/100proj 1.5#170Hits29.9/100proj 0.9#166Runs26.6/100proj 0.5#182Walks22.9/100proj 0.3#138Stolen Bases19.5/100proj 0.1#114Home Runs15.1/100proj 0.1#177

Today's matchup

Nathan is at Chicago Cubs on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — rbis (59.8/100, #71), h+r+rbi (48.3/100, #127), fantasy points (32.8/100, #143), total bases (30/100, #170). We project Nathan for 0.5 on the rbis board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Nathan is 3-for-18 (.167) with 2 homers. The full log's below.

How the model reads him

Nathan's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Thursday, July 2@ ATL51112
Wednesday, July 1@ ATL20000
Tuesday, June 30@ ATL41113
Sunday, June 28vs MIA31000
Saturday, June 27vs MIA40000
Friday, June 26vs MIA30000
Wednesday, June 24@ 10000
Tuesday, June 23vs AZ10000
Monday, June 22vs AZ32011
Sunday, June 21@ KC41020
Friday, June 19@ KC11010
Thursday, June 18@ KC00000

Nathan Church — FAQ

Who is Nathan Church facing today?

Nathan Church is facing Chicago Cubs on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 59.8/100 on our rbis board.

What's Nathan Church's projection today?

We project Nathan for 0.5 on the rbis board (away vs CHC). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).