MatchWiz

Jackson Chourio

Jackson Chourio — today's matchup, what the model projects, and how our calls on him have graded. Top board: singles at 100/100.

Today's top board
100
Singles · vs ATL
Our calls on him · hits
67%
1+ hit in 31/46 top-20 calls
Games graded
96
this season, box-score final
Jackson Chourio
LFBats RThrows RMilwaukee Brewers
Singles100/100proj 0.8#1Hits94.4/100proj 1.1#6H+R+RBI85.3/100proj 1.9#8RBIs75.2/100proj 0.5#12Runs72.7/100proj 0.5#21Total Bases69.7/100proj 1.7#14Fantasy Points63/100proj 7.4#11Doubles48.5/100proj 0.2#28Walks45.7/100proj 0.4#44Stolen Bases36.1/100proj 0.1#21Home Runs29.9/100proj 0.2#29Triples5.6/100proj 0#66

Today's matchup

Today it's Atlanta Braves for Jackson, at home. He shows up on 12 boards — singles (100/100, #1), hits (94.4/100, #6), h+r+rbi (85.3/100, #8), rbis (75.2/100, #12). We've got him at 0.8 on the singles board. That's one of the stronger spots on the board today. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.

Recent form

Jackson is 10-for-38 (.263) over his last 10 games, in line with his .278 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Jackson has 17 home runs and 39 extra-base hits in 389 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a right-handed bat

Jackson hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Jackson has recorded at least one hit in 70 of 96 games he's batted in — 73% — with 27 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Jackson is hitting .276 at home (53-for-192) and .279 on the road (55-for-197) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Jackson's biggest night was Wednesday, August 19, 2026 against SEA — 3-for-5. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Jackson have graded

We've ranked Jackson a top-20 hitter matchup 46 times this season. He got a hit in 31 of them — 67%. That's the model reading him well, and it's the number we'd point to if you asked why we keep ranking him. It's also a season-sized sample on one player, which is smaller than it sounds; don't extrapolate it into a promise about tonight.

Where he lands across our boards

Jackson was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: singles graded 100/100 while triples came in at 5.6/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Jackson's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, August 22vs ATL30000
Friday, August 21vs ATL31010
Thursday, August 20vs SEA31000
Wednesday, August 19vs SEA53000
Tuesday, August 18vs SEA41011
Sunday, August 16@ LAD53030
Saturday, August 15@ LAD40000
Friday, August 14@ LAD41000
Thursday, August 13@ LAD20000
Wednesday, August 12@ SD50000
Tuesday, August 11@ SD20001
Monday, August 10@ SD43000

Jackson Chourio — FAQ

Who is Jackson Chourio facing today?

Jackson Chourio is hosting Atlanta Braves on Sunday, August 23, 2026. His strongest matchup grades 100/100 on our singles board, ranked #1.

What is Jackson Chourio's projection today?

We project Jackson for 0.8 on the singles board. That's the model's number for this specific matchup — the opposing arm, the park, the weather, and his expected playing time all feed it. It's graded against the real box score tonight.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Jackson Chourio graded?

In the 46 games where our model ranked Jackson a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 31 times — 67%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Jackson Chourio been hitting lately?

Jackson is 10-for-38 (.263) over his last 10 games, against .278 on the season across 389 at-bats in our log, with 17 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Jackson Chourio appear on?

Jackson was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — singles, hits, h+r+rbi, rbis, runs. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Jackson Chourio's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).