MatchWiz

William Contreras

William Contreras — today's matchup, what the model projects, and how our calls on him have graded. Top board: rbis at 67/100.

Today's top board
67
RBIs · vs ATL
Our calls on him · hits
68%
1+ hit in 17/25 top-20 calls
Games graded
119
this season, box-score final
William Contreras
CBats RThrows RMilwaukee Brewers
RBIs67/100proj 0.5#23Hits65.4/100proj 1#33H+R+RBI65/100proj 1.8#29Singles64.2/100proj 0.7#15Runs59.4/100proj 0.5#34Walks51.5/100proj 0.4#31Total Bases51.3/100proj 1.6#37Fantasy Points41.2/100proj 6.5#45Doubles37.5/100proj 0.2#48Home Runs17.7/100proj 0.1#54Stolen Bases8.4/100proj 0#65Triples4.8/100proj 0#70

Today's matchup

William is hosting Atlanta Braves on the Sunday, August 23, 2026 slate. He shows up on 12 boards — rbis (67/100, #23), hits (65.4/100, #33), h+r+rbi (65/100, #29), singles (64.2/100, #15). We've got him at 0.5 on the rbis board. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.

Recent form

William is 11-for-36 (.306) over his last 10 games, in line with his .268 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

William has 12 home runs and 32 extra-base hits in 452 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a right-handed bat

William hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

William has recorded at least one hit in 74 of 118 games he's batted in — 63% — with 34 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

William is hitting .273 at home (65-for-238) and .262 on the road (56-for-214) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

William's biggest night was Friday, August 21, 2026 against ATL — 4-for-4 with 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on William have graded

We've ranked William a top-20 hitter matchup 25 times this season. He got a hit in 17 of them — 68%. That's the model reading him well, and it's the number we'd point to if you asked why we keep ranking him. It's also a season-sized sample on one player, which is smaller than it sounds; don't extrapolate it into a promise about tonight.

Where he lands across our boards

William was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: rbis graded 67/100 while triples came in at 4.8/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off William and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, August 22vs ATL42011
Friday, August 21vs ATL44001
Wednesday, August 19vs SEA40010
Tuesday, August 18vs SEA42022
Sunday, August 16@ LAD41000
Saturday, August 15@ LAD42122
Friday, August 14@ LAD30000
Thursday, August 13@ LAD30000
Wednesday, August 12@ SD30000
Tuesday, August 11@ SD30000
Monday, August 10@ SD20010
Sunday, August 9vs MIN50000

William Contreras — FAQ

Who is William Contreras facing today?

William Contreras is hosting Atlanta Braves on Sunday, August 23, 2026. His strongest matchup grades 67/100 on our rbis board, ranked #23.

What is William Contreras's projection today?

We project William for 0.5 on the rbis board. That's the model's number for this specific matchup — the opposing arm, the park, the weather, and his expected playing time all feed it. It's graded against the real box score tonight.

How have MatchWiz's calls on William Contreras graded?

In the 25 games where our model ranked William a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 17 times — 68%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has William Contreras been hitting lately?

William is 11-for-36 (.306) over his last 10 games, against .268 on the season across 452 at-bats in our log, with 12 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does William Contreras appear on?

William was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — rbis, hits, h+r+rbi, singles, runs. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are William Contreras's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).