MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Stolen Bases · Sunday, July 5, 2026

TB @ HOU Stolen Bases matchups · Sunday, July 5, 2026

TB
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
vs
3:30 PM EDT
HOU
Houston Astros
HOU
Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft

TB TB Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from TB's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.262
Hard-Hit %34%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.336
Hard-Hit %33%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.007

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00047 PA
Season.000256 PA
Last 2 Years.000659 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 30@ KC0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0
Jul 3@ HOU0
Jul 4@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.51
WHIP1.18
IP74.1
H / K / BB57 / 68 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.349
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Stolen Bases0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.045

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jonathan Aranda's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.009

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00050 PA
Season.000269 PA
Last 2 Years.008878 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 30@ KC0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0
Jul 3@ HOU0
Jul 4@ HOU1

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.51
WHIP1.18
IP74.1
H / K / BB57 / 68 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.344
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.046

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Junior Caminero's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA
Season.042215 PA
Last 2 Years.054780 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 28vs AZ0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0
Jul 3@ HOU0
Jul 4@ HOU1

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.51
WHIP1.18
IP74.1
H / K / BB57 / 68 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.072

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Cedric Mullins's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.01760 PA
Last 2 Years.01187 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 21vs WSH0
Jun 22vs KC0
Jun 24vs KC0
Jun 30@ KC0
Jul 4@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.51
WHIP1.18
IP74.1
H / K / BB57 / 68 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.049

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ryan Vilade's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.013

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.01472 PA
Last 2 Years.01098 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 28vs AZ1
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0
Jul 3@ HOU0
Jul 4@ HOU1

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.51
WHIP1.18
IP74.1
H / K / BB57 / 68 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.049

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Victor Mesa Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.06494 PA
Last 2 Years.068293 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 24vs KC0
Jun 26vs AZ0
Jun 30@ KC0
Jul 3@ HOU0
Jul 4@ HOU2

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.51
WHIP1.18
IP74.1
H / K / BB57 / 68 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.064

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jonny DeLuca's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.019

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA
Season.034177 PA
Last 2 Years.051274 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27vs AZ0
Jun 28vs AZ0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0
Jul 4@ HOU1

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.51
WHIP1.18
IP74.1
H / K / BB57 / 68 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.056

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Richie Palacios's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.059152 PA
Last 2 Years.057524 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 30@ KC0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0
Jul 3@ HOU1
Jul 4@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.51
WHIP1.18
IP74.1
H / K / BB57 / 68 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.066

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Taylor Walls's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.010

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.000105 PA
Last 2 Years.005200 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 26vs AZ0
Jun 27vs AZ0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0
Jul 4@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.51
WHIP1.18
IP74.1
H / K / BB57 / 68 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.04

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Hunter Feduccia's full player page →

HOU HOU Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from HOU's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).
?
Probable pitcher not announcedMatchups for this lineup are shown neutrally for now and will sharpen automatically once the opposing starter is posted (usually a day or two before first pitch).
Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.011

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00056 PA
Season.004282 PA
Last 2 Years.0161248 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 29vs MIN0
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0
Jul 3vs TB0
Jul 4vs TB0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.061

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jose Altuve's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.008

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00056 PA
Season.003383 PA
Last 2 Years.005861 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 29vs MIN0
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0
Jul 3vs TB0
Jul 4vs TB0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.363
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.054

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Yordan Alvarez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.007

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00061 PA
Season.000348 PA
Last 2 Years.0011090 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 29vs MIN0
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0
Jul 3vs TB0
Jul 4vs TB0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.05

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Isaac Paredes's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.007

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00054 PA
Season.000365 PA
Last 2 Years.0021194 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 29vs MIN0
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0
Jul 3vs TB0
Jul 4vs TB0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.049

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Christian Walker's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.010

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.004475 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 4vs PIT0
Jun 6vs ATH0
Jun 7vs ATH0
Jun 8@ LAA0
Jul 4vs TB0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.053

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

LaMonte Wade Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.017

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02148 PA
Season.027332 PA
Last 2 Years.021825 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 29vs MIN0
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0
Jul 3vs TB0
Jul 4vs TB0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.064

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Cam Smith's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.008

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00043 PA
Season.000153 PA
Last 2 Years.0021041 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 28@ DET0
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0
Jul 3vs TB0
Jul 4vs TB0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.047

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Yainer Diaz's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.009112 PA
Last 2 Years.016247 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 29vs MIN0
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0
Jul 3vs TB0
Jul 4vs TB0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.053

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Taylor Trammell's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.013

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.01282 PA
Last 2 Years.017526 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 29vs MIN0
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0
Jul 3vs TB0
Jul 4vs TB0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.053

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nick Allen's full player page →