MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Stolen Bases · Tuesday, July 7, 2026

MIL @ STL Stolen Bases matchups · Tuesday, July 7, 2026

MIL
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
vs
2:15 PM EDT
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft

MIL MIL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from MIL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).
?
Probable pitcher not announcedMatchups for this lineup are shown neutrally for now and will sharpen automatically once the opposing starter is posted (usually a day or two before first pitch).
Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.017

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02051 PA
Season.025243 PA
Last 2 Years.026934 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 2vs CIN1
Jul 3@ AZ0
Jul 4@ AZ0
Jul 5@ AZ0
Jul 6@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.069

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Christian Yelich's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.019

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01663 PA
Season.024250 PA
Last 2 Years.0351147 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0
Jul 4@ AZ0
Jul 5@ AZ0
Jul 6@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.072

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jackson Chourio's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 9-game hitting streak

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01565 PA
Season.034383 PA
Last 2 Years.0451320 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0
Jul 4@ AZ0
Jul 5@ AZ0
Jul 6@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.079

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Brice Turang's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.009

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00055 PA
Season.003360 PA
Last 2 Years.0081314 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 1vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0
Jul 4@ AZ0
Jul 6@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.05

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

William Contreras's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.015

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00056 PA
Season.016314 PA
Last 2 Years.028674 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0
Jul 4@ AZ0
Jul 5@ AZ0
Jul 6@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.06

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jake Bauers's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.017

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00046 PA
Season.021280 PA
Last 2 Years.035569 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0
Jul 4@ AZ0
Jul 5@ AZ0
Jul 6@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.062

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Garrett Mitchell's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02540 PA
Season.021289 PA
Last 2 Years.0281110 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0
Jul 4@ AZ0
Jul 5@ AZ0
Jul 6@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.06

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Sal Frelick's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07142 PA
Season.10060 PA
Last 2 Years.10060 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 1vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ1
Jul 4@ AZ0
Jul 6@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.065

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Cooper Pratt's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09731 PA
Season.077235 PA
Last 2 Years.089561 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 30vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN1
Jul 3@ AZ0
Jul 5@ AZ0
Jul 6@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.089

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

David Hamilton's full player page →

STL STL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from STL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.168
Hard-Hit %31%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.249
Hard-Hit %25%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.032249 PA
Last 2 Years.032249 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 2@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC0
Jul 4@ CHC0
Jul 5@ CHC0
Jul 6vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA1.47
WHIP0.78
IP104.0
H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.283
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Stolen Bases0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.046

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

JJ Wetherholt's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.014

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00037 PA
Season.018276 PA
Last 2 Years.020649 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 2@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC0
Jul 4@ CHC0
Jul 5@ CHC0
Jul 6vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA1.47
WHIP0.78
IP104.0
H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-9

Stolen Bases0 in 10 PA
Career Average.300
Plate Appearances10
HR · K · BB1 · 3 · 1

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.041

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Iván Herrera's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.019

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA
Season.037273 PA
Last 2 Years.028640 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 2@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC0
Jul 4@ CHC0
Jul 5@ CHC0
Jul 6vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA1.47
WHIP0.78
IP104.0
H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Stolen Bases0 in 5 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.046

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jordan Walker's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.00013 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC0
Jul 5@ CHC0
Jul 6vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA1.47
WHIP0.78
IP104.0
H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.036

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nelson Velázquez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.01569 PA
Last 2 Years.013151 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 2@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC0
Jul 4@ CHC0
Jul 5@ CHC0
Jul 6vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA1.47
WHIP0.78
IP104.0
H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.036

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

José Fermín's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.014

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02540 PA
Season.024249 PA
Last 2 Years.013860 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 2@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC0
Jul 4@ CHC0
Jul 5@ CHC0
Jul 6vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA1.47
WHIP0.78
IP104.0
H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Stolen Bases0 in 5 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.037

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Masyn Winn's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.014

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02934 PA
Season.017180 PA
Last 2 Years.017231 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 2@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC0
Jul 4@ CHC0
Jul 5@ CHC0
Jul 6vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA1.47
WHIP0.78
IP104.0
H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.283
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.035

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nathan Church's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.011

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.00051 PA
Last 2 Years.00051 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC0
Jul 6vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA1.47
WHIP0.78
IP104.0
H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.031

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Blaze Jordan's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.011

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.02196 PA
Last 2 Years.004455 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 28vs MIA0
Jul 2@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC0
Jul 4@ CHC0
Jul 6vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA1.47
WHIP0.78
IP104.0
H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-8

Stolen Bases0 in 8 PA
Career Average.375
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.031

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Pedro Pagés's full player page →