Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Sunday, April 19, 2026)?

MacKenzie Gore (TEX) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K against SEA. A 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Sunday, April 19, 2026: MacKenzie Gore (~6.4 K), Jacob Misiorowski (~6.5 K), Kevin Gausman (~6.2 K), Joey Cantillo (~5.9 K), Garrett Crochet (~5.4 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Sunday, April 19, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Sunday, April 19, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Results show how each call played out.

★★ Plays of the Day

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls — where our model diverges a high percentage from the book's line (lineups final, so the play is locked). To date this season, strikeout PODs are hitting at a 67% rate — a +21% return.

Δ2.1Garrett CrochetFinal DET @ BOSwe project 5.4 K vs the 7.5 lineUnder 7.5-140✗

Δ1.7Bryan WooFinal TEX @ SEAwe project 4.8 K vs the 6.5 lineUnder 6.5-148✓

Δ1.7Cole RagansFinal KC @ NYYwe project 4.8 K vs the 6.5 lineUnder 6.5-137✓

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice — 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Final · 0–3

SFaway

WSHhomeTop matchup71 Final · 3–6

TBaway

PIThomeTop matchup50 Final · 0–7

KCaway

NYYhomeTop matchup70 Final · 4–8

BALaway

CLEhomeTop matchup81 Final · 3–5

MILaway

MIAhomeTop matchup95 Final · 7–5

STLaway

HOUhomeTop matchup56 Final · 7–4

CINaway

MINhomeTop matchup68 Final · 1–2

NYMaway

CHChomeTop matchup43 Final · 6–9

LADaway

COLhomeTop matchup71 Final · 7–4

CWSaway

ATHhomeTop matchup63 Final · 2–1

SDaway

LAAhomeTop matchup69 Final · 2–5

TEXaway

SEAhomeTop matchup100 Final · 10–4

TORaway

AZhomeTop matchup93 Final · 6–2

DETaway

BOShomeTop matchup72 Final · 4–2

ATLaway

PHIhomeTop matchup56

Sort

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate28.7% K / BF

vs LHB23.7%

vs RHB29.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Luke Raley (L)24.0%3.0

2. Cal Raleigh (R)24.8%3.0

3. Julio Rodríguez (R)22.0%3.0

4. Randy Arozarena (R)23.4%3.0

5. Mitch Garver (R)22.8%2.4

6. Connor Joe (R)24.2%2.0

7. J.P. Crawford (L)21.6%2.0

8. Cole Young (L)19.2%2.0

9. Leo Rivas (R)22.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-130-105

BOLBetOnline-109-119

BRBetRivers-109-122

BOVBovada-110-120

DKDraftKings-105-121

FANFanatics-110-120

FDFanDuel-110-120

MBMyBookie-113-123

We project 6.4 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate30.5% K / BF

vs LHB33.2%

vs RHB23.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jakob Marsee (L)19.9%3.0

2. Xavier Edwards (L)16.0%3.0

3. Otto Lopez (R)21.1%3.0

4. Kyle Stowers (L)31.1%3.0

5. Agustín Ramírez (R)22.7%2.7

6. Liam Hicks (L)15.8%2.0

7. Connor Norby (R)24.8%2.0

8. Owen Caissie (L)29.5%2.0

9. Javier Sanoja (R)17.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BOLBetOnline+115-149

BRBetRivers+123-165

BOVBovada+110-145

DKDraftKings+108-138

FDFanDuel+110-146

MBMyBookie+109-152

We project 6.5 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.9% K / BF

vs LHB25.1%

vs RHB24.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness24.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ketel Marte (L)21.2%3.0

2. Jorge Barrosa (L)29.3%3.0

3. Jose Fernandez (R)24.9%3.0

4. Aramis Garcia (R)25.9%3.0

5. Adrian Del Castillo (L)25.7%2.7

6. Ildemaro Vargas (L)16.5%2.0

7. Tim Tawa (R)21.9%2.0

8. James McCann (R)26.8%2.0

9. Alek Thomas (L)24.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BOLBetOnline+103-133

BRBetRivers+102-136

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings-105-122

FDFanDuel+104-138

MBMyBookie+100-138

We project 6.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.5% K / BF

vs LHB23.7%

vs RHB26.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Taylor Ward (R)19.8%3.0

2. Gunnar Henderson (L)24.5%3.0

3. Pete Alonso (R)24.1%3.0

4. Leody Taveras (R)24.9%3.0

5. Jeremiah Jackson (R)23.1%2.1

6. Dylan Beavers (L)19.0%2.0

7. Coby Mayo (R)23.0%2.0

8. Sam Huff (R)22.5%2.0

9. Colton Cowser (L)26.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-130

BOLBetOnline+100-130

BRBetRivers+107-141

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings-105-122

FANFanatics+100-130

FDFanDuel+104-138

MBMyBookie-104-133

We project 5.9 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

★★ Play of the Day

We're projecting 5.4 K, but the book line is 7.5 — so the play is Under 7.5.

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls, where our model diverges a high percentage from the book's line. To date this season, strikeout PODs are hitting at a 67% rate — a +21% return on the season.

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.5% K / BF

vs LHB20.5%

vs RHB25.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Kerry Carpenter (L)24.1%3.0

2. Gleyber Torres (R)20.0%3.0

3. Matt Vierling (R)20.4%3.0

4. Dillon Dingler (R)21.3%3.0

5. Riley Greene (L)24.1%3.0

6. Wenceel Pérez (R)19.1%2.0

7. Spencer Torkelson (R)22.7%2.0

8. Hao-Yu Lee (R)22.6%2.0

9. Javier Báez (R)20.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline+115-149

BRBetRivers+112-150

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+110-140

FDFanDuel+118-158

MBMyBookie+109-152

We project 5.4 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.4% K / BF

vs LHB22.9%

vs RHB25.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)24.1%3.0

2. Curtis Mead (R)17.6%3.0

3. Brady House (R)24.4%3.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)23.8%3.0

5. Jacob Young (R)18.9%2.7

6. Joey Wiemer (R)26.8%2.0

7. Luis García Jr. (L)22.1%2.0

8. Nasim Nuñez (R)22.2%2.0

9. Keibert Ruiz (R)20.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-160+120

BOLBetOnline-152+117

BRBetRivers-148+110

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-152+119

FANFanatics-160+120

FDFanDuel-144+108

MBMyBookie-154+111

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.4% K / BF

vs LHB20.3%

vs RHB24.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness24.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Edouard Julien (L)25.4%3.0

2. Mickey Moniak (L)22.6%3.0

3. Hunter Goodman (R)26.9%3.0

4. Tyler Freeman (R)19.0%3.0

5. Ezequiel Tovar (R)24.0%2.5

6. Troy Johnston (L)23.2%2.0

7. Willi Castro (L)27.9%2.0

8. Kyle Karros (R)22.5%2.0

9. Brenton Doyle (R)27.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-115-115

BOLBetOnline-110-118

BRBetRivers-124-107

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings-121-106

FDFanDuel-106-122

MBMyBookie-114-121

We project 5.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.4% K / BF

vs LHB29.2%

vs RHB23.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Maikel Garcia (R)18.0%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)18.0%3.0

3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)25.4%3.0

4. Salvador Perez (R)19.3%3.0

5. Lane Thomas (R)19.6%2.8

6. Starling Marte (R)24.5%2.0

7. Isaac Collins (R)26.2%2.0

8. Michael Massey (L)24.0%2.0

9. Elias Díaz (R)21.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-140

BOLBetOnline+113-147

BRBetRivers+120-162

BOVBovada+115-150

FDFanDuel+116-154

MBMyBookie+108-149

We project 5.5 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.1% K / BF

vs LHB21.2%

vs RHB23.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)26.1%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)21.6%3.0

3. Nolan Schanuel (L)18.1%3.0

4. Jorge Soler (R)26.6%3.0

5. Yoán Moncada (L)26.4%3.0

6. Jo Adell (R)23.1%2.1

7. Oswald Peraza (R)21.4%2.0

8. Vaughn Grissom (R)19.0%2.0

9. Logan O'Hoppe (R)24.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-130

BOLBetOnline+117-152

BRBetRivers-108-124

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+105-134

FANFanatics+110-145

FDFanDuel+116-154

MBMyBookie+111-154

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.9% K / BF

vs LHB18.6%

vs RHB22.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. P.J. Higgins (R)23.7%3.0

2. Matt McLain (R)25.7%3.0

3. Elly De La Cruz (L)25.5%3.0

4. Sal Stewart (R)20.4%3.0

5. Eugenio Suárez (R)23.0%2.4

6. Spencer Steer (R)25.5%2.0

7. Will Benson (L)25.5%2.0

8. Rece Hinds (R)24.8%2.0

9. Dane Myers (R)19.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-155+115

BOLBetOnline-156+121

BRBetRivers-167+125

BOVBovada-165+125

DKDraftKings-162+127

FDFanDuel-166+124

MBMyBookie-159+114

We project 5.2 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.9% K / BF

vs LHB18.6%

vs RHB23.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Chase Meidroth (R)21.4%3.0

2. Miguel Vargas (R)19.5%3.0

3. Munetaka Murakami (L)27.7%3.0

4. Everson Pereira (R)25.3%3.0

5. Edgar Quero (R)21.3%2.9

6. Colson Montgomery (L)24.6%2.0

7. Sam Antonacci (L)20.8%2.0

8. Derek Hill (R)23.7%2.0

9. Tristan Peters (L)24.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-140

BOLBetOnline+109-141

BRBetRivers+110-148

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings+108-137

FANFanatics+105-140

FDFanDuel+110-146

MBMyBookie+104-144

We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.1% K / BF

vs LHB22.9%

vs RHB21.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Garrett Mitchell (L)29.3%3.0

2. Brice Turang (L)21.8%3.0

3. Joey Ortiz (R)21.8%3.0

4. William Contreras (R)15.8%3.0

5. Luis Rengifo (L)18.7%2.9

6. Brandon Lockridge (R)20.7%2.0

7. Blake Perkins (L)27.7%2.0

8. Sal Frelick (L)17.0%2.0

9. David Hamilton (L)20.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-140+105

BOLBetOnline-143+110

BRBetRivers-113-118

BOVBovada-120-110

DKDraftKings-129+101

FANFanatics-130+100

FDFanDuel-120-110

MBMyBookie-145+105

We project 5.0 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.3% K / BF

vs LHB21.4%

vs RHB21.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Trea Turner (R)21.7%3.0

2. Kyle Schwarber (L)26.9%3.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)18.8%3.0

4. Adolis García (R)26.7%3.0

5. Brandon Marsh (L)22.5%2.7

6. Alec Bohm (R)21.6%2.0

7. Bryson Stott (L)19.8%2.0

8. Rafael Marchán (L)19.7%2.0

9. Justin Crawford (L)22.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+125-165

BRBetRivers+138-186

BOVBovada+130-170

FDFanDuel+130-174

We project 5.0 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.8% K / BF

vs LHB17.2%

vs RHB22.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)18.4%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)16.8%3.0

3. Alec Burleson (L)15.3%3.0

4. Jordan Walker (R)25.4%3.0

5. Ramón Urías (R)18.8%3.0

6. Masyn Winn (R)21.7%2.9

7. José Fermín (R)22.2%2.0

8. Pedro Pagés (R)20.5%2.0

9. Thomas Saggese (R)25.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-141+109

BRBetRivers-159+120

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-142+111

FANFanatics-145+110

FDFanDuel-146+110

MBMyBookie-145+105

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

★★ Play of the Day

We're projecting 4.8 K, but the book line is 6.5 — so the play is Under 6.5.

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.9% K / BF

vs LHB20.9%

vs RHB20.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Brandon Nimmo (L)21.6%3.0

2. Corey Seager (L)22.5%3.0

3. Wyatt Langford (R)21.8%3.0

4. Jake Burger (R)24.6%3.0

5. Joc Pederson (L)23.5%3.0

6. Josh Jung (R)19.3%2.4

7. Evan Carter (L)20.7%2.0

8. Josh Smith (L)18.3%2.0

9. Kyle Higashioka (R)21.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline+122-159

BRBetRivers+130-177

BOVBovada+125-165

DKDraftKings+116-148

FDFanDuel+124-166

MBMyBookie+116-160

We project 4.8 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.5% K / BF

vs LHB20.7%

vs RHB23.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Nathan Lukes (L)17.8%3.0

2. Ernie Clement (R)15.0%3.0

3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)17.7%3.0

4. Jesús Sánchez (L)20.9%3.0

5. Eloy Jiménez (R)22.6%2.5

6. Andrés Giménez (L)18.9%2.0

7. Kazuma Okamoto (R)29.6%2.0

8. Myles Straw (R)17.1%2.0

9. Brandon Valenzuela (L)24.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline+115-149

BRBetRivers+117-155

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+120-154

FANFanatics+110-145

FDFanDuel+118-158

MBMyBookie+109-152

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.8% K / BF

vs LHB23.8%

vs RHB20.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Steven Kwan (L)17.4%3.0

2. Angel Martínez (R)17.3%3.0

3. José Ramírez (R)16.2%3.0

4. Rhys Hoskins (R)24.6%3.0

5. David Fry (R)24.4%3.0

6. Daniel Schneemann (L)23.0%2.5

7. Juan Brito (R)25.8%2.0

8. Austin Hedges (R)20.0%2.0

9. Brayan Rocchio (R)20.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-145+110

BOLBetOnline-130+100

BRBetRivers-148+110

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-139+109

FDFanDuel-138+104

MBMyBookie-133-104

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.2% K / BF

vs LHB24.3%

vs RHB21.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)20.9%3.0

2. Drake Baldwin (L)20.7%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)23.0%3.0

4. Austin Riley (R)24.6%3.0

5. Ozzie Albies (L)19.4%2.3

6. Eli White (R)21.3%2.0

7. Dominic Smith (L)17.5%2.0

8. Mauricio Dubón (R)17.2%2.0

9. Michael Harris II (L)21.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BOLBetOnline-114-114

BRBetRivers-115-115

BOVBovada-120-110

DKDraftKings-122-104

FANFanatics-115-115

FDFanDuel-118-112

MBMyBookie-117-117

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

★★ Play of the Day

We're projecting 4.8 K, but the book line is 6.5 — so the play is Under 6.5.

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.0% K / BF

vs LHB21.6%

vs RHB23.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.9 BF

Expected batters faced20.9

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ben Rice (L)25.4%3.0

2. Aaron Judge (R)24.3%3.0

3. Cody Bellinger (L)18.7%2.9

4. Paul Goldschmidt (R)20.8%2.0

5. Trent Grisham (L)22.3%2.0

6. Amed Rosario (R)17.8%2.0

7. Austin Wells (L)21.7%2.0

8. José Caballero (R)26.1%2.0

9. Ryan McMahon (L)24.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-145

BOLBetOnline+110-143

BRBetRivers+104-137

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+111-142

FANFanatics+115-150

FDFanDuel+118-158

MBMyBookie+105-145

We project 4.8 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.1% K / BF

vs LHB22.1%

vs RHB22.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jake Mangum (R)18.0%3.0

2. Nick Gonzales (R)23.9%3.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (R)22.8%3.0

4. Marcell Ozuna (R)21.7%3.0

5. Oneil Cruz (L)25.0%2.1

6. Nick Yorke (R)22.2%2.0

7. Konnor Griffin (R)26.6%2.0

8. Joey Bart (R)28.6%2.0

9. Spencer Horwitz (L)22.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-145

BOLBetOnline+120-156

BRBetRivers+115-155

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+118-151

FDFanDuel+118-158

MBMyBookie+114-158

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.4% K / BF

vs LHB23.6%

vs RHB20.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jacob Wilson (R)17.3%3.0

2. Shea Langeliers (R)24.3%3.0

3. Nick Kurtz (L)28.0%3.0

4. Carlos Cortes (L)20.0%3.0

5. Max Muncy (R)25.4%2.7

6. Tyler Soderstrom (L)24.8%2.0

7. Darell Hernaiz (R)20.1%2.0

8. Lawrence Butler (L)25.7%2.0

9. Jeff McNeil (L)16.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-140+105

BOLBetOnline-167+128

BRBetRivers-139+104

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-148+116

FDFanDuel-144+108

MBMyBookie-168+121

We project 5.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.9% K / BF

vs LHB18.8%

vs RHB19.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Tommy Pham (R)24.5%3.0

2. Bo Bichette (R)21.7%3.0

3. Francisco Lindor (L)21.6%3.0

4. Luis Robert Jr. (R)24.0%3.0

5. MJ Melendez (L)26.3%2.9

6. Mark Vientos (R)24.8%2.0

7. Tyrone Taylor (R)21.4%2.0

8. Marcus Semien (R)19.7%2.0

9. Luis Torrens (R)19.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+125-165

BOLBetOnline+130-169

BRBetRivers+125-167

BOVBovada+130-170

DKDraftKings+133-171

FDFanDuel+128-172

MBMyBookie+123-171

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.5% K / BF

vs LHB21.6%

vs RHB17.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Byron Buxton (R)24.2%3.0

2. Austin Martin (R)23.5%3.0

3. Josh Bell (L)20.8%3.0

4. Victor Caratini (L)18.1%3.0

5. Kody Clemens (L)27.3%2.3

6. Luke Keaschall (R)18.6%2.0

7. Ryan Jeffers (R)22.6%2.0

8. Brooks Lee (L)19.5%2.0

9. James Outman (L)30.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-115-115

BOLBetOnline-128-101

BRBetRivers-125-106

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-133+105

FANFanatics-125-105

FDFanDuel-136+102

MBMyBookie-131-105

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.8% K / BF

vs LHB19.0%

vs RHB18.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.3 BF

Expected batters faced21.3

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)22.7%3.0

2. Kyle Tucker (L)19.6%3.0

3. Will Smith (R)17.0%3.0

4. Max Muncy (L)26.2%2.3

5. Andy Pages (R)25.3%2.0

6. Dalton Rushing (L)25.6%2.0

7. Ryan Ward (L)22.0%2.0

8. Hyeseong Kim (L)25.0%2.0

9. Alex Freeland (L)26.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-125-105

BOLBetOnline-112-115

BRBetRivers-134+100

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings+104-133

FANFanatics-110-120

FDFanDuel-114-114

MBMyBookie-116-119

We project 4.2 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.9% K / BF

vs LHB16.9%

vs RHB22.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Chandler Simpson (L)13.3%3.0

2. Junior Caminero (R)23.3%3.0

3. Jonathan Aranda (L)22.3%3.0

4. Yandy Díaz (R)15.3%3.0

5. Cedric Mullins (L)21.1%2.8

6. Richie Palacios (L)16.8%2.0

7. Jonny DeLuca (R)18.2%2.0

8. Hunter Feduccia (L)26.1%2.0

9. Taylor Walls (L)23.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline+152-200

BRBetRivers+125-167

BOVBovada+125-165

DKDraftKings+126-161

FDFanDuel+124-166

MBMyBookie+142-199

We project 3.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate16.3% K / BF

vs LHB21.7%

vs RHB15.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.0 BF

Expected batters faced24.0

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Roman Anthony (L)24.0%3.0

2. Andruw Monasterio (R)21.6%3.0

3. Willson Contreras (R)23.0%3.0

4. Trevor Story (R)24.9%3.0

5. Wilyer Abreu (L)20.6%3.0

6. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)24.2%3.0

7. Caleb Durbin (R)17.8%2.0

8. Masataka Yoshida (L)20.3%2.0

9. Marcelo Mayer (L)21.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline+113-147

BRBetRivers+112-148

BOVBovada+110-145

DKDraftKings+115-147

FANFanatics+115-150

FDFanDuel+110-146

MBMyBookie+108-149

We project 4.4 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.8% K / BF

vs LHB22.2%

vs RHB17.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Carlos Correa (R)21.2%3.0

2. Yordan Alvarez (L)18.1%3.0

3. Jose Altuve (R)23.1%3.0

4. Christian Walker (R)21.1%3.0

5. Brice Matthews (R)29.3%3.0

6. Cam Smith (R)23.1%2.2

7. Yainer Diaz (R)19.5%2.0

8. Dustin Harris (L)21.8%2.0

9. Taylor Trammell (L)21.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline+128-167

BRBetRivers+138-186

BOVBovada+125-165

DKDraftKings+130-167

FDFanDuel+124-166

MBMyBookie+121-168

We project 4.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.0% K / BF

vs LHB21.1%

vs RHB20.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.9 BF

Expected batters faced19.9

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ramón Laureano (R)22.9%3.0

2. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)20.2%2.9

3. Jackson Merrill (L)20.1%2.0

4. Manny Machado (R)21.3%2.0

5. Xander Bogaerts (R)16.3%2.0

6. Ty France (R)17.1%2.0

7. Miguel Andujar (R)18.3%2.0

8. Jake Cronenworth (L)22.4%2.0

9. Freddy Fermin (R)20.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.1% K / BF

vs LHB22.1%

vs RHB19.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.6 BF

Expected batters faced16.6

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Nico Hoerner (R)12.9%2.0

2. Michael Busch (L)24.5%2.0

3. Alex Bregman (R)16.8%2.0

4. Caleb Thielbar (R)22.0%2.0

5. Seiya Suzuki (R)24.7%2.0

6. Michael Conforto (L)25.0%2.0

7. Carson Kelly (R)18.3%2.0

8. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)21.8%1.6

9. Dansby Swanson (R)21.1%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.0% K / BF

vs LHB23.8%

vs RHB18.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.7 BF

Expected batters faced13.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Willy Adames (R)23.0%2.0

2. Luis Arraez (L)15.6%2.0

3. Matt Chapman (R)22.7%2.0

4. Rafael Devers (L)24.7%2.0

5. Casey Schmitt (R)23.2%1.7

6. Jerar Encarnacion (R)22.0%1.0

7. Heliot Ramos (R)25.8%1.0

8. Drew Gilbert (L)24.6%1.0

9. Daniel Susac (R)18.5%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Sunday, April 19, 2026

MacKenzie Gore (TEX) is the top strikeout start on the Sunday, April 19, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K, with Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: MacKenzie Gore

MacKenzie Gore (TEX) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K against SEA. He's missing bats at a 29% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and SEA has been around league average, going down 23% of the time. He's lined up for about 22 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) (95) — about 6.5 K vs MIA: a 31% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Kevin Gausman (TOR) (93) — about 6.2 K vs AZ: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
Joey Cantillo (CLE) (81) — about 5.9 K vs BAL: a 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Garrett Crochet (BOS) (72) — about 5.4 K vs DET: a 23% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Robbie Ray (SF) (71) — about 5.6 K vs WSH: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

COL is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Roki Sasaki is the arm to exploit it (71).
AZ is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Kevin Gausman is the arm to exploit it (93).
CIN is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Bailey Ober is the arm to exploit it (68).
PIT is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Shane McClanahan is the arm to exploit it (50).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 6.5 strikeouts. Top play MacKenzie Gore punched out 5. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) weighs his strikeout ability against every hitter in the lineup, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Higher means more whiffs point his way. The exact weighting is our own — we project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Sunday, April 19, 2026)?: MacKenzie Gore (TEX) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K against SEA. A 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Sunday, April 19, 2026: MacKenzie Gore (~6.4 K), Jacob Misiorowski (~6.5 K), Kevin Gausman (~6.2 K), Joey Cantillo (~5.9 K), Garrett Crochet (~5.4 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Sunday, April 19, 2026?: MacKenzie Gore punched out 5.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.