Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Monday, April 20, 2026)?

Dylan Cease (TOR) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.8 K against LAA. A 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Monday, April 20, 2026: Dylan Cease (~6.8 K), Jack Flaherty (~5.9 K), Aaron Nola (~5.3 K), Spencer Arrighetti (~5.7 K), Seth Lugo (~5.6 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Monday, April 20, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Monday, April 20, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Results show how each call played out.

★★ Plays of the Day

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls — where our model diverges a high percentage from the book's line (lineups final, so the play is locked). To date this season, strikeout PODs are hitting at a 67% rate — a +21% return.

Δ1.7Jose QuintanaFinal LAD @ COLwe project 4.2 K vs the 2.5 lineOver 2.5-150✗

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice — 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Final · 6–8

DETaway

BOShomeTop matchup79 Final · 9–2

HOUaway

CLEhomeTop matchup60 Final · 6–1

CINaway

TBhomeTop matchup27 Final · 3–5

STLaway

MIAhomeTop matchup25 Final · 9–4

ATLaway

WSHhomeTop matchup38 Final · 7–5

BALaway

KChomeTop matchup51 Final · 1–5

PHIaway

CHChomeTop matchup64 Final · 12–3

LADaway

COLhomeTop matchup12 Final · 5–2

TORaway

LAAhomeTop matchup100 Final · 6–4

ATHaway

SEAhomeTop matchup50

Sort

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate29.1% K / BF

vs LHB25.6%

vs RHB29.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness24.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)26.1%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)20.9%3.0

3. Nolan Schanuel (L)17.7%3.0

4. Jorge Soler (R)27.8%3.0

5. Yoán Moncada (L)25.8%2.8

6. Jo Adell (R)23.4%2.0

7. Josh Lowe (L)26.3%2.0

8. Logan O'Hoppe (R)24.5%2.0

9. Adam Frazier (L)23.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-115-115

BOLBetOnline-110-118

BRBetRivers-104-129

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings+101-129

FANFanatics+100-130

FDFanDuel-112-118

MBMyBookie-114-121

We project 6.8 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.9% K / BF

vs LHB20.9%

vs RHB28.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Roman Anthony (L)22.9%3.0

2. Willson Contreras (R)26.8%3.0

3. Wilyer Abreu (L)24.1%3.0

4. Masataka Yoshida (L)17.6%3.0

5. Trevor Story (R)27.3%2.7

6. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)19.0%2.0

7. Caleb Durbin (R)16.6%2.0

8. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)20.1%2.0

9. Carlos Narváez (R)26.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-150+110

BOLBetOnline-147+113

BRBetRivers-137+104

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-146+115

FDFanDuel-148+112

MBMyBookie-149+108

We project 5.9 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.8% K / BF

vs LHB18.6%

vs RHB27.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Nico Hoerner (R)12.6%3.0

2. Michael Busch (L)24.9%3.0

3. Alex Bregman (R)16.4%3.0

4. Ian Happ (L)24.2%3.0

5. Seiya Suzuki (R)26.0%3.0

6. Matt Shaw (R)21.9%2.1

7. Miguel Amaya (R)24.1%2.0

8. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)22.5%2.0

9. Dansby Swanson (R)21.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+110-150

BOLBetOnline+117-152

BRBetRivers+112-148

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+118-150

FANFanatics+120-160

FDFanDuel+116-154

MBMyBookie+111-154

We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.0% K / BF

vs LHB26.2%

vs RHB24.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Steven Kwan (L)14.9%3.0

2. Chase DeLauter (L)16.5%3.0

3. José Ramírez (L)16.6%3.0

4. Kyle Manzardo (L)28.8%3.0

5. Rhys Hoskins (R)25.7%3.0

6. George Valera (L)21.1%2.4

7. Juan Brito (L)23.3%2.0

8. Bo Naylor (L)22.5%2.0

9. Brayan Rocchio (L)17.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-125-103

BRBetRivers-124-108

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-142+112

FANFanatics-145+110

FDFanDuel-138+104

MBMyBookie-128-107

We project 5.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.4% K / BF

vs LHB24.5%

vs RHB19.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness24.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Gunnar Henderson (L)25.4%3.0

2. Taylor Ward (R)21.3%3.0

3. Dylan Beavers (L)25.4%3.0

4. Coby Mayo (R)25.1%3.0

5. Samuel Basallo (L)24.8%3.0

6. Jeremiah Jackson (R)23.9%2.0

7. Weston Wilson (R)27.1%2.0

8. Leody Taveras (L)20.8%2.0

9. Blaze Alexander (R)26.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BOLBetOnline+102-132

BRBetRivers+102-134

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings+100-127

FANFanatics+100-130

FDFanDuel+102-136

MBMyBookie-102-135

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.9% K / BF

vs LHB24.1%

vs RHB22.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Nick Kurtz (L)26.5%3.0

2. Shea Langeliers (R)23.3%3.0

3. Carlos Cortes (L)14.8%3.0

4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)20.0%3.0

5. Jacob Wilson (R)15.3%2.4

6. Jeff McNeil (L)17.7%2.0

7. Max Muncy (R)30.5%2.0

8. Lawrence Butler (L)23.1%2.0

9. Denzel Clarke (R)31.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline+115-149

BRBetRivers+114-152

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+111-141

FDFanDuel+118-158

MBMyBookie+109-152

We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.7% K / BF

vs LHB24.9%

vs RHB24.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Nathan Lukes (L)21.7%3.0

2. Ernie Clement (R)16.1%3.0

3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)16.9%3.0

4. Jesús Sánchez (L)21.3%3.0

5. Kazuma Okamoto (R)19.6%3.0

6. Andrés Giménez (L)19.0%2.2

7. Daulton Varsho (L)19.0%2.0

8. Myles Straw (R)21.8%2.0

9. Tyler Heineman (R)19.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-115-115

BOLBetOnline-123-105

BRBetRivers-130-103

BOVBovada-125-105

DKDraftKings-126-101

FDFanDuel-125-106

MBMyBookie-127-109

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.7% K / BF

vs LHB21.0%

vs RHB24.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)28.7%3.0

2. Luis García Jr. (L)16.6%3.0

3. Brady House (R)25.4%3.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)15.1%3.0

5. Daylen Lile (L)18.6%2.9

6. Jacob Young (R)20.3%2.0

7. José Tena (L)21.8%2.0

8. Drew Millas (L)17.7%2.0

9. Nasim Nuñez (L)20.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+120-160

BOLBetOnline+128-167

BRBetRivers+145-195

BOVBovada+135-180

FDFanDuel+130-174

MBMyBookie+121-168

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.3% K / BF

vs LHB25.5%

vs RHB21.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Maikel Garcia (R)19.2%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)21.3%3.0

3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)17.3%3.0

4. Salvador Perez (R)23.5%3.0

5. Lane Thomas (R)23.4%2.7

6. Nick Loftin (R)17.8%2.0

7. Elias Díaz (R)21.9%2.0

8. Isaac Collins (L)27.7%2.0

9. Kyle Isbel (L)19.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-155+115

BOLBetOnline-154+118

BRBetRivers-152+114

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-148+116

FDFanDuel-154+116

MBMyBookie-156+112

We project 5.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.9% K / BF

vs LHB22.5%

vs RHB20.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Eli White (R)21.3%3.0

2. Drake Baldwin (L)21.2%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)23.2%3.0

4. Austin Riley (R)23.5%3.0

5. Ozzie Albies (L)19.9%2.6

6. Michael Harris II (L)20.9%2.0

7. Dominic Smith (L)17.3%2.0

8. Jorge Mateo (R)22.0%2.0

9. Mike Yastrzemski (L)22.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-145+105

BOLBetOnline-137+106

BRBetRivers-143+108

BOVBovada-130+100

DKDraftKings-140+110

FANFanatics-130+100

FDFanDuel-132+100

MBMyBookie-140+101

We project 4.8 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.6% K / BF

vs LHB23.1%

vs RHB20.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. TJ Friedl (L)21.7%3.0

2. Matt McLain (R)25.4%3.0

3. Elly De La Cruz (L)25.5%3.0

4. Sal Stewart (R)20.3%3.0

5. Eugenio Suárez (R)23.3%2.0

6. Dane Myers (R)20.6%2.0

7. Tyler Stephenson (R)26.7%2.0

8. Rece Hinds (R)25.8%2.0

9. Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)17.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-130+100

BRBetRivers-112-120

DKDraftKings-103-123

MBMyBookie-133-104

We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.9% K / BF

vs LHB23.6%

vs RHB20.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)19.4%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)18.2%3.0

3. Alec Burleson (L)15.6%3.0

4. Jordan Walker (R)26.2%3.0

5. Nolan Gorman (L)26.8%2.7

6. Masyn Winn (R)22.6%2.0

7. Ramón Urías (R)18.8%2.0

8. Thomas Saggese (R)25.2%2.0

9. José Fermín (R)22.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline+120-156

BRBetRivers+143-195

BOVBovada+125-165

DKDraftKings+121-155

FDFanDuel+124-166

MBMyBookie+114-158

We project 4.8 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.6% K / BF

vs LHB20.4%

vs RHB21.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.1 BF

Expected batters faced21.1

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Trea Turner (R)21.3%3.0

2. Kyle Schwarber (L)25.7%3.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)18.7%3.0

4. Adolis García (R)27.6%2.1

5. Brandon Marsh (L)22.6%2.0

6. Alec Bohm (R)20.6%2.0

7. Bryson Stott (L)19.4%2.0

8. Justin Crawford (L)21.8%2.0

9. Rafael Marchán (L)21.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+110-150

BOLBetOnline+117-152

BRBetRivers+123-165

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+118-151

FDFanDuel+116-154

MBMyBookie+111-154

We project 4.4 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.7% K / BF

vs LHB19.7%

vs RHB18.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Kevin McGonigle (L)17.2%3.0

2. Gleyber Torres (R)19.7%3.0

3. Spencer Torkelson (R)24.7%3.0

4. Riley Greene (L)24.1%3.0

5. Dillon Dingler (R)19.2%2.7

6. Wenceel Pérez (L)20.3%2.0

7. Matt Vierling (R)22.0%2.0

8. Hao-Yu Lee (R)21.1%2.0

9. Jake Rogers (R)25.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-140

BOLBetOnline+109-141

BRBetRivers+102-136

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings+110-140

FANFanatics+110-145

FDFanDuel+104-138

MBMyBookie+102-141

We project 4.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate16.6% K / BF

vs LHB19.7%

vs RHB17.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jordan Beck (R)21.8%3.0

2. Brenton Doyle (R)23.8%3.0

3. Hunter Goodman (R)30.7%3.0

4. TJ Rumfield (L)19.9%3.0

5. Ezequiel Tovar (R)26.4%2.5

6. Troy Johnston (L)19.1%2.0

7. Willi Castro (R)25.9%2.0

8. Kyle Karros (R)20.6%2.0

9. Brett Sullivan (L)21.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BOLBetOnline+103-133

BRBetRivers-106-125

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings+104-133

FDFanDuel+104-138

MBMyBookie-101-136

We project 4.4 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.7% K / BF

vs LHB23.7%

vs RHB18.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.0 BF

Expected batters faced19.0

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. J.P. Crawford (L)20.7%3.0

2. Cal Raleigh (L)25.2%2.0

3. Julio Rodríguez (R)24.2%2.0

4. Josh Naylor (L)18.4%2.0

5. Randy Arozarena (R)20.6%2.0

6. Rob Refsnyder (R)22.1%2.0

7. Dominic Canzone (L)20.8%2.0

8. Cole Young (L)22.9%2.0

9. Leo Rivas (L)27.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+115-155

BOLBetOnline+107-139

BRBetRivers+102-136

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings+108-138

FANFanatics+110-145

FDFanDuel-102-130

MBMyBookie+102-141

We project 4.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate16.4% K / BF

vs LHB16.6%

vs RHB19.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jakob Marsee (L)21.0%3.0

2. Kyle Stowers (L)24.0%3.0

3. Otto Lopez (R)19.8%3.0

4. Xavier Edwards (L)17.1%3.0

5. Liam Hicks (L)15.6%2.2

6. Agustín Ramírez (R)22.8%2.0

7. Owen Caissie (L)30.1%2.0

8. Graham Pauley (L)24.6%2.0

9. Connor Norby (R)26.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline+128-167

BRBetRivers+125-167

BOVBovada+125-165

DKDraftKings+127-162

FANFanatics+130-170

FDFanDuel+124-166

MBMyBookie+121-168

We project 3.9 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.5% K / BF

vs LHB17.6%

vs RHB20.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Chandler Simpson (L)13.9%3.0

2. Junior Caminero (R)22.9%3.0

3. Jonathan Aranda (L)22.0%3.0

4. Yandy Díaz (R)15.8%3.0

5. Jake Fraley (L)22.1%3.0

6. Cedric Mullins (L)21.2%2.2

7. Nick Fortes (R)19.0%2.0

8. Richie Palacios (L)18.7%2.0

9. Taylor Walls (L)22.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-101-128

BRBetRivers+105-139

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings-103-124

FANFanatics+105-140

FDFanDuel-106-125

MBMyBookie-105-131

We project 3.8 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.8% K / BF

vs LHB23.1%

vs RHB18.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Carlos Correa (R)18.9%3.0

2. Yordan Alvarez (L)16.3%3.0

3. Jose Altuve (R)19.4%3.0

4. Christian Walker (R)20.6%3.0

5. Isaac Paredes (R)21.3%2.7

6. Cam Smith (R)22.3%2.0

7. Yainer Diaz (R)19.6%2.0

8. Dustin Harris (L)18.9%2.0

9. Brice Matthews (R)27.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+120-160

BOLBetOnline+120-156

BRBetRivers+125-167

DKDraftKings+120-154

MBMyBookie+114-158

We project 4.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

★★ Play of the Day

We're projecting 4.2 K, but the book line is 2.5 — so the play is Over 2.5.

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls, where our model diverges a high percentage from the book's line. To date this season, strikeout PODs are hitting at a 67% rate — a +21% return on the season.

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate16.9% K / BF

vs LHB20.8%

vs RHB17.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)5.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)21.8%3.0

2. Alex Call (R)19.6%3.0

3. Will Smith (R)23.3%3.0

4. Teoscar Hernández (R)22.9%3.0

5. Andy Pages (R)23.3%2.1

6. Max Muncy (L)25.8%2.0

7. Hyeseong Kim (L)23.1%2.0

8. Santiago Espinal (R)17.8%2.0

9. Dalton Rushing (L)23.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-150+110

BOLBetOnline-167+128

BRBetRivers-200+148

BOVBovada-180+135

DKDraftKings-171+134

FANFanatics-170+130

FDFanDuel-178+132

MBMyBookie-168+121

We project 4.2 K vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Monday, April 20, 2026

Dylan Cease (TOR) is the top strikeout start on the Monday, April 20, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.8 K, with Jack Flaherty (DET) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Dylan Cease

Dylan Cease (TOR) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.8 K against LAA. He's missing bats at a 29% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and LAA has been whiff-prone, going down 24% of the time. He's lined up for about 23 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Jack Flaherty (DET) (79) — about 5.9 K vs BOS: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Aaron Nola (PHI) (64) — about 5.3 K vs CHC: a 23% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) (60) — about 5.7 K vs CLE: a 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
Seth Lugo (KC) (51) — about 5.6 K vs BAL: a 22% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
Emerson Hancock (SEA) (50) — about 5.3 K vs ATH: a 24% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

BAL is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Seth Lugo is the arm to exploit it (51).
LAA is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Dylan Cease is the arm to exploit it (100).
COL is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Justin Wrobleski is the arm to exploit it (12).
CIN is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Jesse Scholtens is the arm to exploit it (27).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 5.5 strikeouts. Top play Dylan Cease punched out 12. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) weighs his strikeout ability against every hitter in the lineup, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Higher means more whiffs point his way. The exact weighting is our own — we project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Monday, April 20, 2026)?: Dylan Cease (TOR) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.8 K against LAA. A 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Monday, April 20, 2026: Dylan Cease (~6.8 K), Jack Flaherty (~5.9 K), Aaron Nola (~5.3 K), Spencer Arrighetti (~5.7 K), Seth Lugo (~5.6 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Monday, April 20, 2026?: Dylan Cease punched out 12.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.