Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Wednesday, April 22, 2026)?

Braxton Ashcraft (PIT) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.0 K against TEX. A 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Wednesday, April 22, 2026: Braxton Ashcraft (~6.0 K), Logan Gilbert (~5.9 K), Matthew Boyd (~5.7 K), Shohei Ohtani (~5.4 K), José Soriano (~5.7 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Wednesday, April 22, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Wednesday, April 22, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Results show how each call played out.

★★ Plays of the Day

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls — where our model diverges a high percentage from the book's line (lineups final, so the play is locked). To date this season, strikeout PODs are hitting at a 67% rate — a +20% return.

Δ1.8Walker BuehlerFinal SD @ COLwe project 5.3 K vs the 3.5 lineOver 3.5-129✗

Δ1.8Peter LambertFinal HOU @ CLEwe project 5.3 K vs the 3.5 lineOver 3.5-117✓

Δ1.6Connor PrielippFinal MIN @ NYMwe project 5.1 K vs the 3.5 lineOver 3.5-153✓

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice — 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Final · 1–4

STLaway

MIAhomeTop matchup47 Final · 2–0

HOUaway

CLEhomeTop matchup65 Final · 1–6

CINaway

TBhomeTop matchup47 Final · 8–6

BALaway

KChomeTop matchup80 Final · 3–7

TORaway

LAAhomeTop matchup80 Final · 4–5

ATHaway

SEAhomeTop matchup100 Final · 2–5

MILaway

DEThomeTop matchup67 Final · 8–6

ATLaway

WSHhomeTop matchup48 Final · 4–1

NYYaway

BOShomeTop matchup61 Final · 2–3

MINaway

NYMhomeTop matchup62 Final · 2–7

PHIaway

CHChomeTop matchup96 Final · 8–4

PITaway

TEXhomeTop matchup100 Final · 3–8

SDaway

COLhomeTop matchup75 Final · 7–11

CWSaway

AZhomeTop matchup41 Final · 0–3

LADaway

SFhomeTop matchup81

Sort

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.1% K / BF

vs LHB26.9%

vs RHB24.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Brandon Nimmo (L)20.6%3.0

2. Corey Seager (L)23.1%3.0

3. Jake Burger (R)26.1%3.0

4. Sam Haggerty (L)21.7%3.0

5. Josh Jung (R)19.8%2.9

6. Evan Carter (L)19.9%2.0

7. Kyle Higashioka (R)22.1%2.0

8. Andrew McCutchen (R)29.5%2.0

9. Ezequiel Duran (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-120

BOLBetOnline-105-123

BRBetRivers-112-120

BOVBovada+110-145

DKDraftKings-105-122

FDFanDuel-102-130

MBMyBookie-109-127

We project 6.0 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.5% K / BF

vs LHB27.4%

vs RHB23.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Nick Kurtz (L)26.6%3.0

2. Shea Langeliers (R)23.6%3.0

3. Zack Gelof (R)26.8%3.0

4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)18.9%3.0

5. Jacob Wilson (R)15.3%3.0

6. Jeff McNeil (L)17.2%2.0

7. Max Muncy (R)30.6%2.0

8. Lawrence Butler (L)23.0%2.0

9. Austin Wynns (R)22.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BOLBetOnline-127-102

BRBetRivers-130-103

BOVBovada-125-105

DKDraftKings-129+101

FANFanatics-130+100

FDFanDuel-125-106

MBMyBookie-128-107

We project 5.9 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate29.5% K / BF

vs LHB24.8%

vs RHB28.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Kyle Schwarber (L)27.2%3.0

2. Trea Turner (R)18.2%3.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)21.6%3.0

4. Felix Reyes (R)22.0%3.0

5. Adolis García (R)20.3%2.1

6. Alec Bohm (R)17.2%2.0

7. Bryson Stott (L)19.1%2.0

8. Justin Crawford (L)20.6%2.0

9. Rafael Marchán (R)21.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-150+110

BOLBetOnline-156+120

BRBetRivers-159+118

DKDraftKings-146+114

FANFanatics-150+115

MBMyBookie-158+114

We project 5.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.3% K / BF

vs LHB22.7%

vs RHB26.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Willy Adames (R)26.1%3.0

2. Luis Arraez (L)10.6%3.0

3. Matt Chapman (R)19.9%3.0

4. Rafael Devers (L)27.1%3.0

5. Casey Schmitt (R)21.8%3.0

6. Jung Hoo Lee (L)15.3%2.0

7. Heliot Ramos (R)23.7%2.0

8. Drew Gilbert (L)20.7%2.0

9. Patrick Bailey (L)21.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+110-150

BOLBetOnline+113-147

BRBetRivers-105-129

DKDraftKings+107-137

FDFanDuel+100-132

MBMyBookie+108-149

We project 5.4 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.9% K / BF

vs LHB27.5%

vs RHB25.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Nathan Lukes (L)16.2%3.0

2. Ernie Clement (R)14.4%3.0

3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)17.7%3.0

4. Davis Schneider (R)26.0%3.0

5. Lenyn Sosa (R)19.0%3.0

6. Daulton Varsho (L)21.7%2.4

7. Kazuma Okamoto (R)28.4%2.0

8. Andrés Giménez (L)18.6%2.0

9. Brandon Valenzuela (L)24.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-120

BOLBetOnline-122-106

BRBetRivers-117-114

BOVBovada-120-110

DKDraftKings-122-104

FANFanatics-120-110

FDFanDuel-118-112

MBMyBookie-125-110

We project 5.7 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.5% K / BF

vs LHB21.0%

vs RHB23.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Gunnar Henderson (L)25.2%3.0

2. Taylor Ward (R)20.6%3.0

3. Dylan Beavers (L)25.1%3.0

4. Pete Alonso (R)25.1%3.0

5. Samuel Basallo (L)22.4%3.0

6. Leody Taveras (L)19.8%2.5

7. Jeremiah Jackson (R)23.3%2.0

8. Colton Cowser (L)27.3%2.0

9. Coby Mayo (R)24.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers+148-200

BOVBovada+125-165

DKDraftKings+127-162

FDFanDuel+126-168

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

★★ Play of the Day

We're projecting 5.3 K, but the book line is 3.5 — so the play is Over 3.5.

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls, where our model diverges a high percentage from the book's line. To date this season, strikeout PODs are hitting at a 67% rate — a +20% return on the season.

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.8% K / BF

vs LHB21.0%

vs RHB23.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ezequiel Tovar (R)23.6%3.0

2. Jordan Beck (R)24.1%3.0

3. Hunter Goodman (R)28.3%3.0

4. Tyler Freeman (R)19.1%2.4

5. TJ Rumfield (L)20.6%2.0

6. Brenton Doyle (R)28.5%2.0

7. Kyle Karros (R)20.5%2.0

8. Willi Castro (L)28.7%2.0

9. Jake McCarthy (L)19.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-140+105

BOLBetOnline-137+106

BRBetRivers-129-104

BOVBovada-130+100

DKDraftKings-135+106

FDFanDuel-146+110

MBMyBookie-140+101

We project 5.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.3% K / BF

vs LHB21.1%

vs RHB23.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Oneil Cruz (L)26.1%3.0

2. Brandon Lowe (L)19.5%3.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (L)24.2%3.0

4. Marcell Ozuna (R)24.8%3.0

5. Ryan O'Hearn (L)20.3%2.8

6. Nick Gonzales (R)19.6%2.0

7. Billy Cook (R)24.9%2.0

8. Konnor Griffin (R)22.6%2.0

9. Joey Bart (R)25.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-140+105

BOLBetOnline-130+101

BRBetRivers-124-108

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-120-107

FANFanatics-130+100

FDFanDuel-136+102

MBMyBookie-133-103

We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.6% K / BF

vs LHB24.6%

vs RHB21.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Brice Turang (L)20.9%3.0

2. William Contreras (R)15.4%3.0

3. Jake Bauers (L)22.1%3.0

4. Gary Sánchez (R)23.0%3.0

5. Garrett Mitchell (L)29.2%3.0

6. Brandon Lockridge (R)23.5%2.2

7. Sal Frelick (L)16.7%2.0

8. David Hamilton (L)19.8%2.0

9. Greg Jones (L)23.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-165+125

BOLBetOnline-159+122

BRBetRivers-152+115

BOVBovada-160+120

DKDraftKings-159+124

FDFanDuel-158+118

We project 5.4 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

★★ Play of the Day

We're projecting 5.3 K, but the book line is 3.5 — so the play is Over 3.5.

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.4% K / BF

vs LHB26.0%

vs RHB20.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Steven Kwan (L)14.1%3.0

2. Chase DeLauter (L)15.9%3.0

3. José Ramírez (L)16.5%3.0

4. Rhys Hoskins (R)25.3%3.0

5. George Valera (L)19.2%3.0

6. Daniel Schneemann (L)26.0%2.1

7. Angel Martínez (L)24.0%2.0

8. Bo Naylor (L)23.6%2.0

9. Brayan Rocchio (L)17.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-155+115

BOLBetOnline-130+100

BRBetRivers-139+105

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-117-109

FANFanatics-125-105

FDFanDuel-136+102

MBMyBookie-133-104

We project 5.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

★★ Play of the Day

We're projecting 5.1 K, but the book line is 3.5 — so the play is Over 3.5.

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.0% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Bo Bichette (R)20.7%3.0

2. Juan Soto (L)22.4%3.0

3. Luis Robert Jr. (R)21.5%3.0

4. Brett Baty (L)23.9%3.0

5. Francisco Alvarez (R)23.2%3.0

6. Mark Vientos (R)20.9%2.0

7. Marcus Semien (R)20.3%2.0

8. Carson Benge (L)27.0%2.0

9. Tyrone Taylor (R)20.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-167+128

BOVBovada-160+120

DKDraftKings-153+119

MBMyBookie-168+121

We project 5.1 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.2% K / BF

vs LHB21.3%

vs RHB20.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)24.7%3.0

2. Willson Contreras (R)24.0%3.0

3. Wilyer Abreu (L)19.7%3.0

4. Trevor Story (R)25.8%3.0

5. Andruw Monasterio (R)23.4%3.0

6. Jarren Duran (L)22.1%2.9

7. Caleb Durbin (R)18.1%2.0

8. Connor Wong (R)21.9%2.0

9. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)21.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BOLBetOnline+109-141

BRBetRivers+108-143

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings+111-141

FANFanatics+115-150

FDFanDuel+106-140

MBMyBookie+104-144

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.9% K / BF

vs LHB19.1%

vs RHB21.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. J.P. Crawford (L)19.4%3.0

2. Cal Raleigh (L)24.8%3.0

3. Julio Rodríguez (R)23.6%3.0

4. Josh Naylor (L)18.3%3.0

5. Randy Arozarena (R)22.1%2.8

6. Mitch Garver (R)27.7%2.0

7. Rob Refsnyder (R)21.9%2.0

8. Cole Young (L)22.8%2.0

9. Leo Rivas (L)25.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-115-115

BOLBetOnline-132+102

BRBetRivers-125-106

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-129+101

FDFanDuel-146+110

MBMyBookie-135-102

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.6% K / BF

vs LHB23.0%

vs RHB20.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Paul Goldschmidt (R)21.3%3.0

2. Aaron Judge (R)24.6%3.0

3. Cody Bellinger (L)17.5%3.0

4. Giancarlo Stanton (R)24.6%3.0

5. Ryan McMahon (L)25.7%2.5

6. Trent Grisham (L)22.9%2.0

7. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)25.9%2.0

8. José Caballero (R)25.8%2.0

9. Austin Wells (L)20.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BOLBetOnline-147+113

BRBetRivers-167+125

DKDraftKings-151+118

MBMyBookie-149+108

We project 5.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.2% K / BF

vs LHB19.3%

vs RHB20.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Byron Buxton (R)26.2%3.0

2. Austin Martin (R)23.2%3.0

3. Josh Bell (L)19.5%3.0

4. Victor Caratini (L)17.7%3.0

5. Ryan Jeffers (R)23.2%3.0

6. Luke Keaschall (R)18.3%2.1

7. Matt Wallner (L)29.5%2.0

8. Royce Lewis (R)24.2%2.0

9. James Outman (L)27.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-145

BOLBetOnline+100-130

BRBetRivers-105-127

BOVBovada-125-105

DKDraftKings-108-118

FANFanatics-105-125

FDFanDuel-118-112

MBMyBookie-104-133

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.7% K / BF

vs LHB23.6%

vs RHB21.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)23.9%3.0

2. Kyle Tucker (L)21.3%3.0

3. Will Smith (R)18.7%3.0

4. Freddie Freeman (L)17.2%3.0

5. Teoscar Hernández (R)27.7%2.7

6. Max Muncy (L)24.3%2.0

7. Andy Pages (R)25.3%2.0

8. Hyeseong Kim (L)23.7%2.0

9. Miguel Rojas (R)19.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BOLBetOnline+102-132

BRBetRivers+107-141

DKDraftKings+103-132

FANFanatics+100-130

FDFanDuel-104-128

MBMyBookie-102-135

We project 5.2 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.2% K / BF

vs LHB23.0%

vs RHB21.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)28.4%3.0

2. Curtis Mead (R)20.5%3.0

3. Brady House (R)27.0%3.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)15.1%3.0

5. Daylen Lile (L)17.2%2.1

6. Jacob Young (R)19.8%2.0

7. Jorbit Vivas (L)17.8%2.0

8. Joey Wiemer (R)27.4%2.0

9. Keibert Ruiz (L)16.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-145

BOLBetOnline+117-152

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+119-152

FDFanDuel+116-154

MBMyBookie+111-154

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.0% K / BF

vs LHB19.4%

vs RHB18.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. TJ Friedl (L)20.6%3.0

2. Matt McLain (R)24.6%3.0

3. Elly De La Cruz (L)24.8%3.0

4. Sal Stewart (R)19.9%3.0

5. Eugenio Suárez (R)24.4%3.0

6. Nathaniel Lowe (L)21.6%2.0

7. Spencer Steer (R)26.6%2.0

8. Will Benson (L)25.3%2.0

9. P.J. Higgins (R)23.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-130

BOLBetOnline+112-145

BRBetRivers-113-118

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+111-142

FANFanatics+105-140

FDFanDuel+118-158

MBMyBookie+107-148

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.2% K / BF

vs LHB18.3%

vs RHB20.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)20.6%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)18.3%3.0

3. Nolan Gorman (L)27.6%3.0

4. Ramón Urías (R)20.4%3.0

5. José Fermín (R)23.3%3.0

6. Nathan Church (L)23.9%2.1

7. Thomas Saggese (R)26.5%2.0

8. Pedro Pagés (R)20.4%2.0

9. Victor Scott II (L)25.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-155+115

BOLBetOnline-161+124

BRBetRivers-157+117

BOVBovada-165+125

DKDraftKings-157+122

FDFanDuel-158+118

MBMyBookie-163+117

We project 4.6 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.6% K / BF

vs LHB22.5%

vs RHB20.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Carlos Correa (R)20.3%3.0

2. Yordan Alvarez (L)15.4%3.0

3. Jose Altuve (R)19.9%3.0

4. Christian Walker (R)21.0%3.0

5. Isaac Paredes (R)20.0%2.4

6. Cam Smith (R)22.2%2.0

7. Daniel Johnson (L)21.8%2.0

8. Christian Vázquez (R)21.1%2.0

9. Brice Matthews (R)25.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-149+115

BRBetRivers-157+118

BOVBovada-160+120

DKDraftKings-161+126

FDFanDuel-158+118

MBMyBookie-152+109

We project 4.4 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.6% K / BF

vs LHB22.1%

vs RHB20.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)24.3%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)22.4%3.0

3. Jo Adell (R)18.4%3.0

4. Josh Lowe (L)22.4%2.9

5. Adam Frazier (L)21.9%2.0

6. Nolan Schanuel (L)19.1%2.0

7. Vaughn Grissom (R)19.0%2.0

8. Logan O'Hoppe (R)20.4%2.0

9. Bryce Teodosio (R)27.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-150+110

BOLBetOnline-125-103

BRBetRivers-130-103

BOVBovada-120-110

DKDraftKings-128+100

FDFanDuel-118-112

MBMyBookie-128-107

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.5% K / BF

vs LHB17.5%

vs RHB21.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)21.5%3.0

2. Drake Baldwin (L)21.1%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)21.6%3.0

4. Austin Riley (R)24.5%3.0

5. Ozzie Albies (L)18.6%2.8

6. Michael Harris II (L)19.8%2.0

7. Mauricio Dubón (R)18.3%2.0

8. Mike Yastrzemski (L)24.1%2.0

9. Jonah Heim (L)21.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BOLBetOnline+120-156

BRBetRivers+108-143

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings+117-149

FANFanatics+105-140

FDFanDuel-106-125

MBMyBookie+114-158

We project 4.2 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.7% K / BF

vs LHB20.6%

vs RHB17.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Chase Meidroth (R)21.7%3.0

2. Miguel Vargas (R)19.1%3.0

3. Munetaka Murakami (L)28.5%3.0

4. Everson Pereira (R)25.7%3.0

5. Edgar Quero (R)20.6%3.0

6. Colson Montgomery (L)24.8%2.3

7. Sam Antonacci (L)20.8%2.0

8. Tristan Peters (L)24.4%2.0

9. Andrew Benintendi (L)24.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-125-105

BOLBetOnline-123-104

BRBetRivers-130-103

BOVBovada-130+100

DKDraftKings-130+102

FANFanatics-120-110

FDFanDuel-130-102

MBMyBookie-127-108

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.4% K / BF

vs LHB19.7%

vs RHB20.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jakob Marsee (L)20.6%3.0

2. Xavier Edwards (L)15.9%3.0

3. Otto Lopez (R)19.3%3.0

4. Liam Hicks (L)14.7%3.0

5. Agustín Ramírez (R)23.3%2.5

6. Heriberto Hernández (R)21.7%2.0

7. Owen Caissie (L)31.1%2.0

8. Graham Pauley (L)24.5%2.0

9. Javier Sanoja (R)17.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BOLBetOnline-103-125

BRBetRivers-124-108

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings-107-119

FANFanatics-110-120

FDFanDuel-114-114

MBMyBookie-107-128

We project 4.2 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.1% K / BF

vs LHB19.6%

vs RHB18.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ramón Laureano (R)26.2%3.0

2. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)20.8%3.0

3. Jackson Merrill (L)22.7%3.0

4. Manny Machado (R)21.4%3.0

5. Xander Bogaerts (R)17.9%2.5

6. Gavin Sheets (L)21.8%2.0

7. Nick Castellanos (R)24.4%2.0

8. Luis Campusano (R)20.3%2.0

9. Jake Cronenworth (L)22.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline+124-161

BRBetRivers+125-167

DKDraftKings+122-156

FANFanatics+130-170

MBMyBookie+117-163

We project 4.2 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate16.1% K / BF

vs LHB16.3%

vs RHB19.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Nick Loftin (R)18.7%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)20.4%3.0

3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)17.7%3.0

4. Salvador Perez (R)22.6%3.0

5. Carter Jensen (L)26.9%2.3

6. Michael Massey (L)20.3%2.0

7. Jac Caglianone (L)25.6%2.0

8. Lane Thomas (R)23.3%2.0

9. Kyle Isbel (L)21.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BOLBetOnline-122-106

BRBetRivers-124-108

BOVBovada-120-110

DKDraftKings-129+101

FANFanatics-130+100

FDFanDuel-118-112

MBMyBookie-125-110

We project 3.9 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.6% K / BF

vs LHB24.8%

vs RHB22.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.1 BF

Expected batters faced14.1

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Nico Hoerner (R)16.6%2.0

2. Alex Bregman (R)20.1%2.0

3. Ian Happ (R)24.1%2.0

4. Seiya Suzuki (R)20.5%2.0

5. Michael Busch (L)19.6%2.0

6. Dansby Swanson (R)23.9%1.1

7. Moisés Ballesteros (L)22.7%1.0

8. Miguel Amaya (R)19.4%1.0

9. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)27.3%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate16.9% K / BF

vs LHB21.8%

vs RHB16.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)2.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Yandy Díaz (R)19.3%3.0

2. Jonathan Aranda (L)24.3%3.0

3. Junior Caminero (R)15.4%3.0

4. Richie Palacios (L)23.1%3.0

5. Jonny DeLuca (R)22.6%2.8

6. Ben Williamson (R)23.8%2.0

7. Chandler Simpson (L)16.9%2.0

8. Nick Fortes (R)18.8%2.0

9. Taylor Walls (R)23.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BOLBetOnline+106-137

BRBetRivers-108-124

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings+108-138

FDFanDuel+102-136

MBMyBookie+101-140

We project 4.0 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.2% K / BF

vs LHB22.1%

vs RHB22.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.7 BF

Expected batters faced13.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Kevin McGonigle (L)18.1%2.0

2. Gleyber Torres (R)19.4%2.0

3. Colt Keith (L)21.8%2.0

4. Riley Greene (L)24.1%2.0

5. Spencer Torkelson (R)24.0%1.7

6. Wenceel Pérez (R)19.6%1.0

7. Matt Vierling (R)19.4%1.0

8. Javier Báez (R)21.7%1.0

9. Jake Rogers (R)22.2%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.8% K / BF

vs LHB26.5%

vs RHB15.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)4.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.8 BF

Expected batters faced21.8

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ketel Marte (R)21.0%3.0

2. Corbin Carroll (L)22.8%3.0

3. Geraldo Perdomo (R)18.5%3.0

4. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)14.7%2.8

5. Jose Fernandez (R)22.7%2.0

6. Nolan Arenado (R)19.4%2.0

7. Ildemaro Vargas (R)19.6%2.0

8. James McCann (R)21.4%2.0

9. Jorge Barrosa (R)22.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+125-165

BOLBetOnline+102-132

BRBetRivers+117-155

BOVBovada+110-145

DKDraftKings+109-140

FDFanDuel+110-146

MBMyBookie-102-135

We project 3.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Wednesday, April 22, 2026

Braxton Ashcraft (PIT) is the top strikeout start on the Wednesday, April 22, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.0 K, with Logan Gilbert (SEA) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Braxton Ashcraft

Braxton Ashcraft (PIT) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.0 K against TEX. He's missing bats at a 27% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and TEX has been around league average, going down 23% of the time. He's lined up for about 23 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Logan Gilbert (SEA) (100) — about 5.9 K vs ATH: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Matthew Boyd (CHC) (96) — about 5.7 K vs PHI: a 30% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (81) — about 5.4 K vs SF: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
José Soriano (LAA) (80) — about 5.7 K vs TOR: a 28% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
Michael Wacha (KC) (80) — about 5.6 K vs BAL: a 22% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

BAL is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Michael Wacha is the arm to exploit it (80).
COL is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Walker Buehler is the arm to exploit it (75).
CIN is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Nick Martinez is the arm to exploit it (47).
CWS is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Eduardo Rodriguez is the arm to exploit it (41).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 5.1 strikeouts. Top play Braxton Ashcraft punched out 5. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) weighs his strikeout ability against every hitter in the lineup, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Higher means more whiffs point his way. The exact weighting is our own — we project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Wednesday, April 22, 2026)?: Braxton Ashcraft (PIT) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.0 K against TEX. A 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Wednesday, April 22, 2026: Braxton Ashcraft (~6.0 K), Logan Gilbert (~5.9 K), Matthew Boyd (~5.7 K), Shohei Ohtani (~5.4 K), José Soriano (~5.7 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Wednesday, April 22, 2026?: Braxton Ashcraft punched out 5.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.