Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Friday, April 24, 2026)?

Will Warren (NYY) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 5.8 K against HOU. A 28% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Friday, April 24, 2026: Will Warren (~5.8 K), Drew Rasmussen (~5.5 K), George Kirby (~5.3 K), Nathan Eovaldi (~5.1 K), Paul Skenes (~5.2 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Friday, April 24, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Friday, April 24, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Results show how each call played out.

★ Plays of the Day

No identified Plays of the Day on this slate — our model didn't find a strikeout disagreement with the book big enough to clear our edge threshold. The model still ran every matchup; it just didn't flag a play worth posting today. This season strikeout PODs are hitting 65% — a +17% return.

Final · 8–9

DETaway

CINhomeTop matchup58 Final · 3–10

BOSaway

BALhomeTop matchup48 Final · 8–6

CLEaway

TORhomeTop matchup70 Final · 4–3

COLaway

NYMhomeTop matchup76 Final · 2–6

MINaway

TBhomeTop matchup86 Final · 3–5

PHIaway

ATLhomeTop matchup67 Final · 3–6

LAAaway

KChomeTop matchup71 Final · 4–5

WSHaway

CWShomeTop matchup31 Final · 6–0

PITaway

MILhomeTop matchup81 Final · 8–1

ATHaway

TEXhomeTop matchup81 Final · 12–4

NYYaway

HOUhomeTop matchup100 Final · 3–2

SEAaway

STLhomeTop matchup83 Final · 6–4

CHCaway

LADhomeTop matchup74 Final · 9–4

MIAaway

SFhomeTop matchup52

Sort

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.8% K / BF

vs LHB26.6%

vs RHB25.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Braden Shewmake (L)20.3%3.0

2. Christian Vázquez (R)20.8%3.0

3. Shay Whitcomb (R)26.2%3.0

4. Daniel Johnson (L)22.4%3.0

5. Christian Walker (R)20.8%2.2

6. Cam Smith (R)22.8%2.0

7. Dustin Harris (L)18.6%2.0

8. Yainer Diaz (R)19.2%2.0

9. Brice Matthews (R)24.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers+123-165

BOVBovada+125-165

DKDraftKings+129-165

FDFanDuel+126-168

We project 5.8 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.7% K / BF

vs LHB24.4%

vs RHB23.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Byron Buxton (R)27.0%3.0

2. Trevor Larnach (L)21.2%3.0

3. Austin Martin (R)22.4%3.0

4. Victor Caratini (L)17.3%2.5

5. Kody Clemens (L)26.3%2.0

6. Royce Lewis (R)26.8%2.0

7. Matt Wallner (L)29.0%2.0

8. Brooks Lee (L)21.0%2.0

9. Tristan Gray (L)24.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-169+130

BRBetRivers-162+120

BOVBovada-170+130

FDFanDuel-168+126

MBMyBookie-171+123

We project 5.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.7% K / BF

vs LHB21.5%

vs RHB22.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.1 BF

Expected batters faced24.1

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)21.3%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)18.5%3.0

3. Alec Burleson (L)17.3%3.0

4. Jordan Walker (R)27.1%3.0

5. Nolan Gorman (L)27.7%3.0

6. Masyn Winn (R)21.8%3.0

7. Nathan Church (L)24.2%2.1

8. Ramón Urías (R)19.5%2.0

9. José Fermín (R)23.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline+132-172

BRBetRivers+114-152

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+122-156

FDFanDuel+116-154

MBMyBookie+124-173

We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.7% K / BF

vs LHB20.0%

vs RHB26.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Nick Kurtz (L)25.4%3.0

2. Shea Langeliers (R)22.9%3.0

3. Carlos Cortes (L)15.3%3.0

4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)18.3%3.0

5. Jacob Wilson (R)14.4%3.0

6. Jeff McNeil (L)16.7%2.5

7. Max Muncy (R)29.6%2.0

8. Lawrence Butler (L)24.1%2.0

9. Zack Gelof (R)26.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BOLBetOnline+104-135

BRBetRivers+102-136

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings+105-134

FANFanatics+105-140

FDFanDuel+106-140

MBMyBookie+100-138

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.1% K / BF

vs LHB25.1%

vs RHB25.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.9 BF

Expected batters faced20.9

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Brice Turang (L)20.8%3.0

2. William Contreras (R)16.4%3.0

3. Jake Bauers (L)22.1%2.9

4. Tyler Black (L)24.8%2.0

5. Luis Rengifo (L)18.2%2.0

6. Blake Perkins (L)26.8%2.0

7. Greg Jones (L)23.7%2.0

8. Brandon Lockridge (R)23.6%2.0

9. Joey Ortiz (R)21.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BOLBetOnline+103-133

BRBetRivers+112-150

BOVBovada+110-145

DKDraftKings+119-153

FDFanDuel-102-130

MBMyBookie-101-136

We project 5.2 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.9% K / BF

vs LHB23.0%

vs RHB22.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Oneil Cruz (L)27.9%3.0

2. Brandon Lowe (L)19.4%3.0

3. Jake Mangum (L)20.3%3.0

4. Marcell Ozuna (R)25.7%3.0

5. Ryan O'Hearn (L)20.5%3.0

6. Nick Gonzales (R)18.5%2.2

7. Billy Cook (R)24.9%2.0

8. Konnor Griffin (R)24.9%2.0

9. Henry Davis (R)22.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-140

BOLBetOnline+128-167

BRBetRivers+128-175

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+125-159

FANFanatics+115-150

FDFanDuel+118-158

MBMyBookie+121-168

We project 5.5 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.4% K / BF

vs LHB23.2%

vs RHB23.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Mickey Moniak (L)21.5%3.0

2. Hunter Goodman (R)29.1%3.0

3. TJ Rumfield (L)19.6%3.0

4. Tyler Freeman (R)17.8%3.0

5. Troy Johnston (L)22.7%2.8

6. Kyle Karros (R)19.3%2.0

7. Ezequiel Tovar (R)23.1%2.0

8. Jordan Beck (R)24.3%2.0

9. Brenton Doyle (R)27.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-150+110

BOLBetOnline-139+107

BRBetRivers-143+108

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-132+104

FANFanatics-145+110

FDFanDuel-144+108

MBMyBookie-141+102

We project 5.4 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.5% K / BF

vs LHB23.6%

vs RHB20.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)24.5%3.0

2. Freddie Freeman (L)16.4%3.0

3. Will Smith (R)18.5%3.0

4. Kyle Tucker (L)21.4%3.0

5. Teoscar Hernández (R)27.6%3.0

6. Max Muncy (L)22.7%2.3

7. Andy Pages (R)23.0%2.0

8. Hyeseong Kim (L)24.0%2.0

9. Alex Freeland (L)27.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-145

BOLBetOnline+112-145

BRBetRivers+108-143

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings+114-146

FDFanDuel+104-138

MBMyBookie+107-148

We project 5.4 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.0% K / BF

vs LHB24.1%

vs RHB23.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Nick Loftin (R)20.9%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)19.1%3.0

3. Salvador Perez (R)21.1%3.0

4. Lane Thomas (R)19.0%3.0

5. Kyle Isbel (L)24.9%2.7

6. Carter Jensen (L)19.6%2.0

7. Isaac Collins (R)24.0%2.0

8. Elias Díaz (R)21.2%2.0

9. Michael Massey (L)24.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-149+115

BRBetRivers-159+120

BOVBovada-160+120

DKDraftKings-152+119

FDFanDuel-158+118

MBMyBookie-149+108

We project 5.2 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate28.2% K / BF

vs LHB29.0%

vs RHB24.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Davis Schneider (R)25.8%3.0

2. Ernie Clement (R)14.3%3.0

3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)18.1%3.0

4. Myles Straw (R)17.2%3.0

5. Lenyn Sosa (R)18.4%3.0

6. Daulton Varsho (L)21.3%2.0

7. Kazuma Okamoto (R)28.3%2.0

8. Andrés Giménez (L)19.2%2.0

9. Eloy Jiménez (R)21.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BOLBetOnline+102-132

BRBetRivers+100-132

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings+114-145

FANFanatics+110-145

FDFanDuel+102-136

MBMyBookie-102-135

We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.0% K / BF

vs LHB21.8%

vs RHB24.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Nico Hoerner (R)14.4%3.0

2. Michael Busch (L)24.7%3.0

3. Alex Bregman (R)15.9%3.0

4. Ian Happ (L)24.0%3.0

5. Seiya Suzuki (R)24.5%2.5

6. Matt Shaw (R)21.9%2.0

7. Carson Kelly (R)19.9%2.0

8. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)22.4%2.0

9. Dansby Swanson (R)20.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-150+110

BOLBetOnline-152+116

BRBetRivers-162+120

BOVBovada-160+120

DKDraftKings-155+121

FANFanatics-150+115

FDFanDuel-158+118

MBMyBookie-153+111

We project 5.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.3% K / BF

vs LHB24.2%

vs RHB22.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)19.6%3.0

2. Drake Baldwin (L)22.1%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)21.7%3.0

4. Ozzie Albies (L)17.9%3.0

5. Austin Riley (R)25.6%2.0

6. Dominic Smith (L)16.4%2.0

7. Mauricio Dubón (R)20.1%2.0

8. Mike Yastrzemski (L)24.1%2.0

9. Jorge Mateo (R)23.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-165+125

BOLBetOnline-161+124

BRBetRivers-182+135

BOVBovada-160+120

DKDraftKings-168+131

FDFanDuel-160+120

MBMyBookie-165+119

We project 5.0 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.3% K / BF

vs LHB20.3%

vs RHB23.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Trea Turner (R)21.3%3.0

2. Kyle Schwarber (L)28.2%3.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)17.4%3.0

4. Adolis García (R)27.9%3.0

5. Brandon Marsh (L)20.7%2.4

6. Bryson Stott (L)19.6%2.0

7. Alec Bohm (R)21.7%2.0

8. Justin Crawford (L)20.7%2.0

9. Garrett Stubbs (L)21.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-147+113

BRBetRivers-143+108

BOVBovada-160+120

DKDraftKings-140+110

FANFanatics-145+110

FDFanDuel-152+114

MBMyBookie-150+108

We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.2% K / BF

vs LHB20.7%

vs RHB23.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Trent Grisham (L)20.4%3.0

2. Amed Rosario (R)21.2%3.0

3. Cody Bellinger (L)17.5%3.0

4. Ben Rice (L)23.4%3.0

5. Randal Grichuk (R)21.3%2.5

6. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)24.9%2.0

7. J.C. Escarra (L)22.5%2.0

8. Ryan McMahon (L)25.5%2.0

9. José Caballero (R)22.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BOLBetOnline+110-143

BRBetRivers-106-127

BOVBovada+100-130

DKDraftKings-101-126

FANFanatics+105-140

FDFanDuel+100-132

MBMyBookie+105-145

We project 4.9 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.1% K / BF

vs LHB27.2%

vs RHB21.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Chandler Simpson (L)13.5%3.0

2. Junior Caminero (R)21.3%3.0

3. Jonathan Aranda (L)22.0%3.0

4. Yandy Díaz (R)15.8%3.0

5. Jonny DeLuca (R)19.8%3.0

6. Cedric Mullins (L)21.0%2.2

7. Ben Williamson (R)21.0%2.0

8. Nick Fortes (R)19.4%2.0

9. Taylor Walls (L)24.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-155+115

BOLBetOnline-156+120

BRBetRivers-162+120

DKDraftKings-160+125

FANFanatics-160+120

MBMyBookie-158+114

We project 5.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.2% K / BF

vs LHB21.2%

vs RHB19.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Dane Myers (R)22.3%3.0

2. Matt McLain (R)21.5%3.0

3. Elly De La Cruz (R)26.7%3.0

4. Sal Stewart (R)21.2%3.0

5. Spencer Steer (R)21.3%3.0

6. Nathaniel Lowe (L)24.1%2.9

7. Tyler Stephenson (R)21.3%2.0

8. Rece Hinds (R)28.1%2.0

9. TJ Friedl (L)19.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-120

BOLBetOnline-115-112

BRBetRivers-124-108

BOVBovada-125-105

DKDraftKings-116-110

FDFanDuel-125-106

MBMyBookie-119-116

We project 4.9 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.8% K / BF

vs LHB24.0%

vs RHB19.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Brandon Nimmo (L)21.6%3.0

2. Andrew McCutchen (R)30.4%3.0

3. Corey Seager (L)22.6%3.0

4. Jake Burger (R)26.0%3.0

5. Josh Jung (R)19.4%2.7

6. Evan Carter (L)21.5%2.0

7. Kyle Higashioka (R)22.1%2.0

8. Josh Smith (L)17.0%2.0

9. Sam Haggerty (L)21.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-130-105

BOLBetOnline-127-102

BRBetRivers-143+107

BOVBovada-130+100

DKDraftKings-110-116

FDFanDuel-130-102

MBMyBookie-130-106

We project 5.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.8% K / BF

vs LHB19.4%

vs RHB21.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)24.3%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)22.7%3.0

3. Jo Adell (R)17.8%3.0

4. Jorge Soler (R)21.7%3.0

5. Yoán Moncada (R)26.9%2.8

6. Nolan Schanuel (L)19.2%2.0

7. Vaughn Grissom (R)18.5%2.0

8. Logan O'Hoppe (R)21.0%2.0

9. Adam Frazier (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-160+120

BOLBetOnline-137+106

BRBetRivers-115-115

BOVBovada-130+100

DKDraftKings-134+105

FANFanatics-140+105

FDFanDuel-130-102

MBMyBookie-140+101

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.2% K / BF

vs LHB16.9%

vs RHB19.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.9 BF

Expected batters faced24.9

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Willy Adames (R)28.3%3.0

2. Luis Arraez (L)10.2%3.0

3. Matt Chapman (R)20.6%3.0

4. Rafael Devers (L)28.0%3.0

5. Casey Schmitt (R)22.9%3.0

6. Jung Hoo Lee (L)15.8%3.0

7. Heliot Ramos (R)24.5%2.9

8. Jerar Encarnacion (R)21.9%2.0

9. Christian Koss (R)20.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+115-155

BOLBetOnline+120-156

BRBetRivers+114-152

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+111-141

FDFanDuel+114-152

MBMyBookie+114-158

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.6% K / BF

vs LHB17.2%

vs RHB20.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Blaze Alexander (R)27.6%3.0

2. Taylor Ward (R)19.8%3.0

3. Adley Rutschman (L)19.6%3.0

4. Pete Alonso (R)24.5%3.0

5. Dylan Beavers (L)23.6%3.0

6. Samuel Basallo (L)21.9%2.0

7. Leody Taveras (L)19.6%2.0

8. Coby Mayo (R)24.8%2.0

9. Jeremiah Jackson (R)22.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+125-165

BOLBetOnline+120-156

BRBetRivers+107-141

BOVBovada+110-145

DKDraftKings+120-153

FANFanatics+125-165

FDFanDuel+108-144

MBMyBookie+114-158

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.9% K / BF

vs LHB20.4%

vs RHB19.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jarren Duran (L)25.5%3.0

2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)19.0%3.0

3. Masataka Yoshida (L)16.2%3.0

4. Willson Contreras (R)25.8%3.0

5. Wilyer Abreu (L)22.2%2.4

6. Trevor Story (R)25.9%2.0

7. Marcelo Mayer (L)20.1%2.0

8. Caleb Durbin (R)16.8%2.0

9. Carlos Narváez (R)27.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BOLBetOnline-135+104

BRBetRivers-130-103

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-156+122

FDFanDuel-136+102

MBMyBookie-138+100

We project 4.5 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.5% K / BF

vs LHB19.1%

vs RHB18.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Bo Bichette (R)22.6%3.0

2. Juan Soto (L)18.6%3.0

3. Luis Torrens (R)20.8%3.0

4. Brett Baty (L)26.9%2.4

5. Mark Vientos (R)22.7%2.0

6. Marcus Semien (R)19.8%2.0

7. Carson Benge (L)20.2%2.0

8. MJ Melendez (L)28.1%2.0

9. Ronny Mauricio (L)26.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+125-165

BOLBetOnline+152-200

BRBetRivers+138-186

BOVBovada+130-170

FDFanDuel+128-172

MBMyBookie+142-199

We project 4.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.4% K / BF

vs LHB17.0%

vs RHB22.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.0 BF

Expected batters faced21.0

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Daniel Schneemann (L)26.6%3.0

2. Chase DeLauter (L)15.3%3.0

3. José Ramírez (L)17.5%3.0

4. Kyle Manzardo (L)30.6%2.0

5. Rhys Hoskins (R)26.5%2.0

6. Steven Kwan (L)14.0%2.0

7. Angel Martínez (L)24.2%2.0

8. Bo Naylor (L)23.7%2.0

9. Brayan Rocchio (L)17.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-160+120

BOLBetOnline-139+107

BRBetRivers-152+114

BOVBovada-150+115

DKDraftKings-157+123

FDFanDuel-154+116

MBMyBookie-141+102

We project 3.6 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.1% K / BF

vs LHB17.5%

vs RHB19.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. J.P. Crawford (L)18.6%3.0

2. Cal Raleigh (L)25.0%3.0

3. Julio Rodríguez (R)23.5%3.0

4. Josh Naylor (L)17.8%3.0

5. Randy Arozarena (R)21.1%2.9

6. Rob Refsnyder (R)23.3%2.0

7. Dominic Canzone (L)21.7%2.0

8. Cole Young (L)22.3%2.0

9. Leo Rivas (L)25.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-120

BOLBetOnline-120-108

BRBetRivers-115-115

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-123-104

FANFanatics-115-115

FDFanDuel-136+102

MBMyBookie-124-111

We project 4.1 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate15.2% K / BF

vs LHB15.5%

vs RHB18.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jakob Marsee (L)20.2%3.0

2. Esteury Ruiz (R)26.9%3.0

3. Otto Lopez (R)20.0%3.0

4. Xavier Edwards (L)16.4%3.0

5. Liam Hicks (L)13.8%3.0

6. Agustín Ramírez (R)22.7%2.8

7. Heriberto Hernández (R)20.9%2.0

8. Javier Sanoja (R)16.5%2.0

9. Connor Norby (R)28.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-120

BOLBetOnline-108-120

BRBetRivers-109-122

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings-112-113

FANFanatics-110-120

FDFanDuel-106-125

MBMyBookie-111-124

We project 3.9 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate16.9% K / BF

vs LHB22.7%

vs RHB15.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)5.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Kerry Carpenter (L)26.1%3.0

2. Gleyber Torres (R)19.7%3.0

3. Kevin McGonigle (L)18.0%3.0

4. Matt Vierling (R)19.2%3.0

5. Dillon Dingler (R)21.4%2.9

6. Riley Greene (L)25.4%2.0

7. Spencer Torkelson (R)23.9%2.0

8. Colt Keith (L)21.8%2.0

9. Javier Báez (R)21.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BOLBetOnline+110-143

BRBetRivers-106-127

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings+111-142

FANFanatics+100-130

FDFanDuel-104-128

MBMyBookie+105-145

We project 4.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.3% K / BF

vs LHB24.7%

vs RHB24.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.4 BF

Expected batters faced13.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)25.7%2.0

2. Daylen Lile (L)20.2%2.0

3. Brady House (R)25.2%2.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)25.4%2.0

5. Jacob Young (R)18.3%1.4

6. Jorbit Vivas (L)18.6%1.0

7. Nasim Nuñez (R)23.5%1.0

8. Joey Wiemer (R)27.0%1.0

9. José Tena (L)21.6%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.4% K / BF

vs LHB22.1%

vs RHB17.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.2 BF

Expected batters faced13.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Andrew Benintendi (L)24.3%2.0

2. Chase Meidroth (R)21.3%2.0

3. Munetaka Murakami (L)28.3%2.0

4. Miguel Vargas (R)18.0%2.0

5. Colson Montgomery (L)24.8%1.3

6. Edgar Quero (R)20.9%1.0

7. Derek Hill (R)23.4%1.0

8. Luisangel Acuña (R)19.5%1.0

9. Tristan Peters (L)24.4%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Friday, April 24, 2026

Will Warren (NYY) is the top strikeout start on the Friday, April 24, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 5.8 K, with Drew Rasmussen (TB) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Will Warren

Will Warren (NYY) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 5.8 K against HOU. He's missing bats at a 28% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and HOU has been around league average, going down 22% of the time. He's lined up for about 22 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Drew Rasmussen (TB) (86) — about 5.5 K vs MIN: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
George Kirby (SEA) (83) — about 5.3 K vs STL: a 22% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) (81) — about 5.1 K vs ATH: a 23% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Paul Skenes (PIT) (81) — about 5.2 K vs MIL: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Brandon Woodruff (MIL) (81) — about 5.5 K vs PIT: a 23% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

MIN is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Drew Rasmussen is the arm to exploit it (86).
CIN is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Framber Valdez is the arm to exploit it (58).
NYM is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Michael Lorenzen is the arm to exploit it (36).
LAD is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Jameson Taillon is the arm to exploit it (74).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 4.8 strikeouts. Top play Will Warren punched out 6. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) weighs his strikeout ability against every hitter in the lineup, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Higher means more whiffs point his way. The exact weighting is our own — we project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Friday, April 24, 2026)?: Will Warren (NYY) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 5.8 K against HOU. A 28% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Friday, April 24, 2026: Will Warren (~5.8 K), Drew Rasmussen (~5.5 K), George Kirby (~5.3 K), Nathan Eovaldi (~5.1 K), Paul Skenes (~5.2 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Friday, April 24, 2026?: Will Warren punched out 6.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.