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Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchupsSaturday, April 25, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Saturday, April 25, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Results show how each call played out.

★★ Plays of the Day

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls — where our model diverges a high percentage from the book's line (lineups final, so the play is locked). To date this season, strikeout PODs are hitting at a 64% ratea +16% return.

Δ2.1Germán MárquezFinal SD @ AZwe project 4.6 K vs the 2.5 lineOver 2.5-120
Δ1.7Garrett CrochetFinal BOS @ BALwe project 5.8 K vs the 7.5 lineUnder 7.5-114

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice — 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate30.3% K / BF

vs LHB29.7%
vs RHB30.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)25.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)19.0%3.0
2. Drake Baldwin (L)22.3%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)21.2%3.0
4. Ozzie Albies (L)17.5%3.0
5. Michael Harris II (L)18.9%3.0
6. Austin Riley (R)24.8%2.0
7. Jorge Mateo (R)23.8%2.0
8. Mike Yastrzemski (L)23.5%2.0
9. Eli White (R)21.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOLBetOnline+110-143
BRBetRivers+102-134
BOVBovada+110-145
DKDraftKings+121-155
FDFanDuel+108-144
MBMyBookie+105-145

We project 6.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate30.6% K / BF

vs LHB32.6%
vs RHB24.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Oneil Cruz (L)27.3%3.0
2. Nick Yorke (R)20.1%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)24.4%3.0
4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)20.2%3.0
5. Nick Gonzales (R)18.2%2.7
6. Spencer Horwitz (L)17.5%2.0
7. Jake Mangum (L)20.3%2.0
8. Konnor Griffin (R)24.4%2.0
9. Henry Davis (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOLBetOnline-119-109
BRBetRivers-112-120
BOVBovada+100-130
DKDraftKings+103-131
FANFanatics-105-125
FDFanDuel+104-138
MBMyBookie-123-113

We project 6.5 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.0% K / BF

vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB26.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Shea Langeliers (R)24.1%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)27.7%3.0
3. Colby Thomas (R)30.3%3.0
4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)23.9%3.0
5. Jacob Wilson (R)18.4%2.5
6. Carlos Cortes (L)20.4%2.0
7. Jeff McNeil (L)16.8%2.0
8. Austin Wynns (R)20.8%2.0
9. Zack Gelof (R)25.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOLBetOnline-135+104
BRBetRivers-139+105
BOVBovada-130+100
DKDraftKings-133+104
FDFanDuel-132+100
MBMyBookie-135-102

We project 6.0 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

★★ Play of the Day

We're projecting 5.8 K, but the book line is 7.5 — so the play is Under 7.5.

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls, where our model diverges a high percentage from the book's line. To date this season, strikeout PODs are hitting at a 64% ratea +16% return on the season.

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.8% K / BF

vs LHB23.2%
vs RHB25.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)19.4%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)23.2%3.0
3. Adley Rutschman (R)19.7%3.0
4. Pete Alonso (R)23.7%3.0
5. Tyler O'Neill (R)23.7%3.0
6. Jeremiah Jackson (R)22.3%2.1
7. Leody Taveras (R)23.8%2.0
8. Coby Mayo (R)23.9%2.0
9. Colton Cowser (L)26.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOLBetOnline+104-135
BRBetRivers-108-122
BOVBovada-115-115
DKDraftKings-112-114
FDFanDuel-114-114
MBMyBookie+100-138

We project 5.8 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.9% K / BF

vs LHB28.5%
vs RHB25.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Carlos Correa (R)19.3%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)16.3%3.0
3. Isaac Paredes (R)19.1%3.0
4. Jose Altuve (R)21.3%3.0
5. Christian Walker (R)22.1%3.0
6. Yainer Diaz (R)18.9%2.1
7. Cam Smith (R)24.0%2.0
8. Christian Vázquez (R)22.0%2.0
9. Brice Matthews (R)28.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-145
BOLBetOnline+115-149
BRBetRivers+115-155
BOVBovada+115-150
DKDraftKings+128-164
FDFanDuel+110-146
MBMyBookie+109-152

We project 5.7 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.5% K / BF

vs LHB21.0%
vs RHB26.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. TJ Friedl (L)20.8%3.0
2. Matt McLain (R)24.8%3.0
3. Elly De La Cruz (L)24.8%3.0
4. Sal Stewart (R)21.3%3.0
5. Nathaniel Lowe (L)21.1%2.5
6. Spencer Steer (R)27.0%2.0
7. Tyler Stephenson (R)27.6%2.0
8. Dane Myers (R)21.2%2.0
9. Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)18.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOLBetOnline-125-103
BRBetRivers-129-104
BOVBovada-135+105
DKDraftKings-136+107
FDFanDuel-138+104
MBMyBookie-128-107

We project 5.7 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.5% K / BF

vs LHB24.0%
vs RHB25.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Agustín Ramírez (R)21.0%3.0
2. Otto Lopez (R)18.6%3.0
3. Kyle Stowers (L)21.7%3.0
4. Connor Norby (R)23.2%3.0
5. Xavier Edwards (R)18.9%2.9
6. Heriberto Hernández (R)23.4%2.0
7. Owen Caissie (L)31.0%2.0
8. Liam Hicks (L)16.9%2.0
9. Jakob Marsee (L)21.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOLBetOnline-152+116
BOVBovada-150+115
DKDraftKings-147+115
FANFanatics-150+115
FDFanDuel-158+118
MBMyBookie-153+111

We project 5.5 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.7% K / BF

vs LHB19.8%
vs RHB24.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness24.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Brandon Nimmo (L)23.4%3.0
2. Joc Pederson (L)25.7%3.0
3. Corey Seager (L)23.7%3.0
4. Jake Burger (R)23.6%3.0
5. Josh Jung (R)20.9%3.0
6. Ezequiel Duran (R)23.1%2.1
7. Danny Jansen (R)24.9%2.0
8. Evan Carter (L)24.0%2.0
9. Sam Haggerty (R)28.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOLBetOnline-135+105
BRBetRivers-143+108
DKDraftKings-148+116
FANFanatics-140+105
MBMyBookie-138+100

We project 5.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.5% K / BF

vs LHB24.5%
vs RHB23.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Angel Martínez (L)25.1%3.0
2. Chase DeLauter (L)14.8%3.0
3. José Ramírez (L)17.0%3.0
4. Rhys Hoskins (R)27.1%3.0
5. George Valera (L)18.6%2.9
6. Daniel Schneemann (L)25.9%2.0
7. Juan Brito (L)23.8%2.0
8. Bo Naylor (L)23.3%2.0
9. Brayan Rocchio (L)17.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-145+105
BOLBetOnline-120-108
BRBetRivers-139+104
BOVBovada-115-115
DKDraftKings-132+104
FDFanDuel-114-114
MBMyBookie-124-111

We project 5.4 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.6% K / BF

vs LHB21.5%
vs RHB23.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)21.2%3.0
2. Dylan Moore (R)24.5%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)18.5%3.0
4. Adolis García (R)26.9%3.0
5. Brandon Marsh (L)20.0%3.0
6. Bryson Stott (L)19.0%2.2
7. Alec Bohm (R)21.0%2.0
8. Justin Crawford (L)19.9%2.0
9. Garrett Stubbs (L)20.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOLBetOnline-110-118
BRBetRivers-109-122
BOVBovada-115-115
DKDraftKings-104-123
FANFanatics-105-125
FDFanDuel-114-114
MBMyBookie-114-121

We project 5.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.2% K / BF

vs LHB20.1%
vs RHB22.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)20.7%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)18.1%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)16.8%3.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)27.8%3.0
5. Nolan Gorman (L)26.9%3.0
6. Masyn Winn (R)21.9%2.6
7. Nathan Church (L)23.3%2.0
8. Yohel Pozo (R)19.1%2.0
9. Victor Scott II (L)25.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline-105-123
BRBetRivers-107-124
BOVBovada+105-135
DKDraftKings-103-124
FANFanatics+100-130
FDFanDuel+102-136
MBMyBookie-109-127

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.7% K / BF

vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Andrew Benintendi (L)24.6%3.0
2. Munetaka Murakami (L)25.6%3.0
3. Miguel Vargas (R)17.7%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)26.7%3.0
5. Everson Pereira (R)23.6%2.3
6. Tanner Murray (R)22.0%2.0
7. Chase Meidroth (R)20.3%2.0
8. Derek Hill (R)25.8%2.0
9. Drew Romo (L)27.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOLBetOnline+113-147
BRBetRivers+120-162
BOVBovada+110-145
DKDraftKings+111-141
FDFanDuel+108-144
MBMyBookie+108-149

We project 5.2 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.9% K / BF

vs LHB25.4%
vs RHB21.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness24.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)25.4%3.0
2. Curtis Mead (R)19.8%3.0
3. Luis García Jr. (L)23.4%3.0
4. Brady House (R)26.1%3.0
5. Daylen Lile (L)20.9%2.2
6. Brad Lord (R)22.0%2.0
7. Joey Wiemer (R)26.9%2.0
8. Nasim Nuñez (R)23.5%2.0
9. Drew Millas (R)28.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOLBetOnline-154+118
BRBetRivers-130-103
BOVBovada-135+105
DKDraftKings-146+114
FANFanatics-145+110
FDFanDuel-136+102
MBMyBookie-156+112

We project 5.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.4% K / BF

vs LHB19.8%
vs RHB23.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Trent Grisham (L)19.5%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)23.4%3.0
3. Aaron Judge (R)24.4%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)17.7%3.0
5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)25.1%3.0
6. Amed Rosario (R)21.4%2.5
7. Austin Wells (L)19.9%2.0
8. Ryan McMahon (L)25.2%2.0
9. José Caballero (R)21.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline+124-161
BRBetRivers+123-165
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+123-158
FANFanatics+110-145
FDFanDuel+118-158
MBMyBookie+117-163

We project 5.0 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.5% K / BF

vs LHB24.1%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Willy Adames (R)28.1%3.0
2. Luis Arraez (L)9.8%3.0
3. Matt Chapman (R)20.0%3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)28.6%3.0
5. Casey Schmitt (R)22.1%2.8
6. Jung Hoo Lee (L)15.3%2.0
7. Heliot Ramos (R)24.6%2.0
8. Drew Gilbert (L)21.3%2.0
9. Patrick Bailey (L)21.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline-139+107
BRBetRivers-165+123
BOVBovada-145+110
DKDraftKings-146+115
FDFanDuel-140+106
MBMyBookie-141+102

We project 5.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.1% K / BF

vs LHB20.2%
vs RHB25.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.2 BF

Expected batters faced21.2
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)23.2%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)24.2%3.0
3. Jo Adell (R)18.3%3.0
4. Yoán Moncada (R)27.9%2.2
5. Oswald Peraza (R)23.9%2.0
6. Vaughn Grissom (R)17.5%2.0
7. Adam Frazier (L)22.0%2.0
8. Travis d'Arnaud (R)21.6%2.0
9. Josh Lowe (L)22.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BRBetRivers-109-122
BOVBovada-115-115
DKDraftKings-119-107
FDFanDuel-110-120

We project 5.2 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.4% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB26.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Myles Straw (R)19.9%3.0
2. Ernie Clement (R)15.6%3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)16.3%3.0
4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)21.8%3.0
5. Jesús Sánchez (L)21.3%2.1
6. Daulton Varsho (L)20.6%2.0
7. Davis Schneider (R)25.3%2.0
8. Andrés Giménez (L)19.1%2.0
9. Tyler Heineman (R)20.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOLBetOnline+100-130
BRBetRivers-118-113
BOVBovada+100-130
DKDraftKings+103-131
FANFanatics+100-130
FDFanDuel-106-125
MBMyBookie-104-133

We project 5.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.5% K / BF

vs LHB23.7%
vs RHB20.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)27.5%3.0
2. Willson Contreras (R)24.5%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)18.7%3.0
4. Marcelo Mayer (L)21.4%3.0
5. Andruw Monasterio (R)22.4%3.0
6. Jarren Duran (L)21.2%2.5
7. Caleb Durbin (R)18.3%2.0
8. Connor Wong (R)22.3%2.0
9. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)22.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BOLBetOnline+113-147
BRBetRivers+106-139
BOVBovada+110-145
DKDraftKings+109-139
FANFanatics+110-145
FDFanDuel+108-144
MBMyBookie+108-149

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.0% K / BF

vs LHB18.8%
vs RHB27.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Chandler Simpson (L)13.0%3.0
2. Junior Caminero (R)20.7%3.0
3. Jonathan Aranda (L)22.3%3.0
4. Yandy Díaz (R)15.5%3.0
5. Jonny DeLuca (R)19.0%2.7
6. Ben Williamson (R)22.2%2.0
7. Cedric Mullins (L)21.1%2.0
8. Nick Fortes (R)18.7%2.0
9. Richie Palacios (L)18.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOLBetOnline-154+118
BRBetRivers-162+120
DKDraftKings-148+116
MBMyBookie-156+112

We project 4.6 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.3% K / BF

vs LHB20.2%
vs RHB26.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.3 BF

Expected batters faced20.3
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)25.1%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)20.0%3.0
3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)17.1%2.3
4. Salvador Perez (R)23.6%2.0
5. Jac Caglianone (L)24.2%2.0
6. Isaac Collins (L)27.4%2.0
7. Michael Massey (L)20.3%2.0
8. Nick Loftin (R)19.3%2.0
9. Kyle Isbel (L)21.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline-103-125
BRBetRivers-108-124
DKDraftKings-106-120
FANFanatics-115-115
FDFanDuel-112-118
MBMyBookie-107-128

We project 4.5 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.2% K / BF

vs LHB17.6%
vs RHB24.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Nicky Lopez (L)16.6%3.0
2. Michael Busch (L)24.9%3.0
3. Michael Conforto (L)24.7%3.0
4. Matt Shaw (R)21.9%3.0
5. Seiya Suzuki (R)24.6%2.4
6. Moisés Ballesteros (L)19.8%2.0
7. Dansby Swanson (R)21.4%2.0
8. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)22.9%2.0
9. Miguel Amaya (R)25.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOLBetOnline+113-147
BRBetRivers+120-159
BOVBovada+115-150
DKDraftKings+123-157
FANFanatics+110-145
FDFanDuel+116-154
MBMyBookie+108-149

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

★★ Play of the Day

We're projecting 4.6 K, but the book line is 2.5 — so the play is Over 2.5.

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls, where our model diverges a high percentage from the book's line. To date this season, strikeout PODs are hitting at a 64% ratea +16% return on the season.

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.3% K / BF

vs LHB19.7%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jorge Barrosa (L)31.0%3.0
2. Ketel Marte (L)19.0%3.0
3. Corbin Carroll (L)25.5%3.0
4. Adrian Del Castillo (L)24.1%2.9
5. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)18.8%2.0
6. Ildemaro Vargas (L)16.1%2.0
7. Nolan Arenado (R)21.2%2.0
8. Jose Fernandez (R)24.1%2.0
9. Alek Thomas (L)22.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOLBetOnline-120-108
BRBetRivers-129-105
BOVBovada-130+100
DKDraftKings-128+100
FANFanatics-125-105
FDFanDuel-132+100
MBMyBookie-124-111

We project 4.6 K vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.8% K / BF

vs LHB20.4%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.6 BF

Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)25.4%3.0
2. Freddie Freeman (L)16.0%3.0
3. Santiago Espinal (R)19.9%3.0
4. Kyle Tucker (L)21.1%2.6
5. Alex Call (R)20.0%2.0
6. Dalton Rushing (L)24.2%2.0
7. Andy Pages (R)22.5%2.0
8. Hyeseong Kim (L)23.5%2.0
9. Alex Freeland (L)27.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOLBetOnline+117-152
BRBetRivers+132-177
DKDraftKings+113-145
MBMyBookie+111-154

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.2% K / BF

vs LHB17.4%
vs RHB22.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Brice Turang (L)21.7%3.0
2. William Contreras (R)15.9%3.0
3. Jake Bauers (L)22.4%3.0
4. Tyler Black (L)23.1%3.0
5. Garrett Mitchell (L)31.7%3.0
6. Sal Frelick (L)15.9%2.0
7. Greg Jones (L)23.7%2.0
8. Luis Rengifo (L)17.8%2.0
9. Joey Ortiz (R)21.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOLBetOnline+107-139
BRBetRivers-107-124
BOVBovada+105-135
DKDraftKings-101-126
FDFanDuel+100-132
MBMyBookie+102-141

We project 4.2 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.2% K / BF

vs LHB16.8%
vs RHB20.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Ramón Laureano (R)26.2%3.0
2. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)22.6%3.0
3. Jackson Merrill (L)23.9%3.0
4. Manny Machado (R)21.1%3.0
5. Xander Bogaerts (R)16.6%2.6
6. Gavin Sheets (L)21.8%2.0
7. Ty France (R)17.2%2.0
8. Freddy Fermin (R)20.2%2.0
9. Jake Cronenworth (L)22.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOLBetOnline+113-147
BRBetRivers+114-152
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+115-147
FDFanDuel+114-152
MBMyBookie+108-149

We project 4.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.9% K / BF

vs LHB24.4%
vs RHB20.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Byron Buxton (R)23.8%3.0
2. Austin Martin (R)17.2%3.0
3. Josh Bell (R)18.7%3.0
4. Ryan Jeffers (R)17.9%3.0
5. Victor Caratini (R)19.2%2.0
6. Luke Keaschall (R)18.0%2.0
7. Matt Wallner (L)27.5%2.0
8. Royce Lewis (R)22.1%2.0
9. Brooks Lee (R)19.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline-154+118
BRBetRivers-162+120
DKDraftKings-142+111
FANFanatics-160+120
MBMyBookie-156+112

We project 4.2 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.3% K / BF

vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB16.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Connor Joe (R)24.3%3.0
2. Cal Raleigh (R)23.4%3.0
3. Julio Rodríguez (R)20.4%3.0
4. Josh Naylor (L)21.0%3.0
5. Randy Arozarena (R)21.7%3.0
6. J.P. Crawford (L)21.9%2.1
7. Mitch Garver (R)22.1%2.0
8. Cole Young (L)19.1%2.0
9. Leo Rivas (R)23.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline+118-154
BRBetRivers+114-152
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+116-148
FDFanDuel+114-152
MBMyBookie+112-156

We project 4.2 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate16.8% K / BF

vs LHB19.7%
vs RHB16.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)17.5%3.0
2. Matt Vierling (R)22.6%3.0
3. Colt Keith (L)20.0%3.0
4. Riley Greene (L)23.1%3.0
5. Dillon Dingler (R)18.6%2.6
6. Jahmai Jones (R)23.1%2.0
7. Spencer Torkelson (R)26.5%2.0
8. Wenceel Pérez (L)19.6%2.0
9. Hao-Yu Lee (R)22.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOLBetOnline-135+104
BRBetRivers-141+106
BOVBovada-145+110
DKDraftKings-132+104
FANFanatics-145+110
FDFanDuel-144+108
MBMyBookie-138+100

We project 4.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.