Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Tuesday, April 28, 2026)?

Payton Tolle (BOS) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.0 K against TOR. A 30% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Tuesday, April 28, 2026: Payton Tolle (~6.0 K), Shohei Ohtani (~5.8 K), Jacob deGrom (~5.8 K), Chase Burns (~6.0 K), Cam Schlittler (~5.9 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Tuesday, April 28, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Tuesday, April 28, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Results show how each call played out.

★★ Plays of the Day

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls — where our model diverges a high percentage from the book's line (lineups final, so the play is locked). To date this season, strikeout PODs are hitting at a 64% rate — a +15% return.

Δ1.7Jacob deGromFinal NYY @ TEXwe project 5.8 K vs the 7.5 lineUnder 7.5-150✓

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice — 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Final · 1–0

TBaway

CLEhomeTop matchup30 Final · 3–5

HOUaway

BALhomeTop matchup42 Final · 2–7

COLaway

CINhomeTop matchup97 Final · 11–7

STLaway

PIThomeTop matchup75 Final · 0–7

SFaway

PHIhomeTop matchup61 Final · 0–3

BOSaway

TORhomeTop matchup100 Final · 0–8

WSHaway

NYMhomeTop matchup26 Final · 2–5

DETaway

ATLhomeTop matchup62 Final · 7–1

SEAaway

MINhomeTop matchup81 Final · 2–5

LAAaway

CWShomeTop matchup78 Final · 2–13

AZaway

MILhomeTop matchup36 Final · 3–2

NYYaway

TEXhomeTop matchup97 Final · 4–1

KCaway

ATHhomeTop matchup54 Final · 8–3

CHCaway

SDhomeTop matchup69 Final · 2–1

MIAaway

LADhomeTop matchup98

Sort

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate30.1% K / BF

vs LHB23.6%

vs RHB29.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Myles Straw (R)19.5%3.0

2. Ernie Clement (R)16.0%3.0

3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)17.6%3.0

4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)21.6%3.0

5. Daulton Varsho (L)20.0%2.9

6. Jesús Sánchez (L)23.7%2.0

7. Davis Schneider (R)26.6%2.0

8. Tyler Heineman (R)22.3%2.0

9. Andrés Giménez (L)20.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-145+105

BOLBetOnline-167+128

BRBetRivers-152+115

BOVBovada-150+115

DKDraftKings-154+121

FANFanatics-160+120

FDFanDuel-152+114

MBMyBookie-168+121

We project 6.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.7% K / BF

vs LHB22.8%

vs RHB29.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jakob Marsee (L)18.6%3.0

2. Kyle Stowers (L)21.4%3.0

3. Otto Lopez (R)21.9%3.0

4. Xavier Edwards (L)15.0%3.0

5. Agustín Ramírez (R)21.3%3.0

6. Connor Norby (R)27.9%2.0

7. Esteury Ruiz (R)25.7%2.0

8. Javier Sanoja (R)15.7%2.0

9. Graham Pauley (L)24.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BOLBetOnline-116-111

BRBetRivers-114-117

BOVBovada-110-120

DKDraftKings-123-104

FANFanatics-115-115

FDFanDuel-108-122

MBMyBookie-120-115

We project 5.8 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

★★ Play of the Day

We're projecting 5.8 K, but the book line is 7.5 — so the play is Under 7.5.

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls, where our model diverges a high percentage from the book's line. To date this season, strikeout PODs are hitting at a 64% rate — a +15% return on the season.

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate28.7% K / BF

vs LHB26.4%

vs RHB28.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Trent Grisham (L)19.6%3.0

2. Ben Rice (L)21.7%3.0

3. Aaron Judge (R)23.9%3.0

4. Cody Bellinger (L)17.3%2.9

5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)26.2%2.0

6. Jasson Domínguez (L)22.8%2.0

7. Austin Wells (L)19.3%2.0

8. Ryan McMahon (L)26.2%2.0

9. José Caballero (R)20.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+110-150

BOLBetOnline+120-156

BRBetRivers+118-159

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+123-158

FDFanDuel+118-158

MBMyBookie+114-158

We project 5.8 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.5% K / BF

vs LHB25.5%

vs RHB25.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Edouard Julien (L)24.9%3.0

2. Mickey Moniak (L)21.3%3.0

3. Hunter Goodman (R)29.2%3.0

4. TJ Rumfield (L)18.1%3.0

5. Tyler Freeman (R)17.5%2.7

6. Troy Johnston (L)21.9%2.0

7. Willi Castro (L)25.9%2.0

8. Ezequiel Tovar (R)24.6%2.0

9. Jordan Beck (R)24.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline+110-143

BRBetRivers+128-175

DKDraftKings+115-147

FANFanatics+120-160

MBMyBookie+105-145

We project 6.0 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.9% K / BF

vs LHB24.5%

vs RHB26.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Brandon Nimmo (L)20.9%3.0

2. Josh Jung (R)20.2%3.0

3. Corey Seager (L)20.8%3.0

4. Joc Pederson (L)24.0%3.0

5. Jake Burger (R)26.0%2.6

6. Ezequiel Duran (R)20.4%2.0

7. Josh Smith (L)16.0%2.0

8. Andrew McCutchen (R)29.6%2.0

9. Danny Jansen (R)27.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline+115-149

BRBetRivers+120-162

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+115-146

FANFanatics+115-150

FDFanDuel+114-152

MBMyBookie+109-152

We project 5.9 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.2% K / BF

vs LHB21.9%

vs RHB25.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. J.P. Crawford (L)19.7%3.0

2. Cal Raleigh (L)25.2%3.0

3. Julio Rodríguez (R)22.4%3.0

4. Josh Naylor (L)18.1%3.0

5. Randy Arozarena (R)24.1%2.6

6. Luke Raley (L)29.0%2.0

7. Mitch Garver (R)27.2%2.0

8. Cole Young (L)23.4%2.0

9. Leo Rivas (L)26.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BOLBetOnline-119-109

BRBetRivers-115-115

BOVBovada-120-110

DKDraftKings-114-111

FANFanatics-120-110

FDFanDuel-122-110

MBMyBookie-123-113

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.6% K / BF

vs LHB25.5%

vs RHB22.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Byron Buxton (R)25.8%3.0

2. Trevor Larnach (L)20.2%3.0

3. Austin Martin (R)22.0%3.0

4. Josh Bell (L)18.2%3.0

5. Kody Clemens (L)25.7%2.9

6. Victor Caratini (L)19.3%2.0

7. Luke Keaschall (R)18.6%2.0

8. Tristan Gray (L)25.0%2.0

9. Royce Lewis (R)25.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-118-110

BOLBetOnline-127-102

BRBetRivers-115-115

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-130+102

FDFanDuel-136+102

MBMyBookie-130-106

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.8% K / BF

vs LHB25.6%

vs RHB24.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Derek Hill (R)26.5%3.0

2. Munetaka Murakami (L)25.5%3.0

3. Miguel Vargas (R)18.7%3.0

4. Colson Montgomery (L)26.8%3.0

5. Austin Hays (R)26.3%3.0

6. Sam Antonacci (L)15.1%2.1

7. Chase Meidroth (R)21.6%2.0

8. Drew Romo (L)22.8%2.0

9. Luisangel Acuña (R)18.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-143+108

BOVBovada-150+115

DKDraftKings-156+122

FANFanatics-160+120

FDFanDuel-154+116

We project 6.0 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.6% K / BF

vs LHB20.0%

vs RHB23.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)27.0%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)20.2%3.0

3. Vaughn Grissom (R)19.1%3.0

4. Jorge Soler (R)29.0%3.0

5. Nolan Schanuel (L)16.4%3.0

6. Jo Adell (R)24.3%2.2

7. Josh Lowe (L)25.3%2.0

8. Sebastián Rivero (R)25.3%2.0

9. Oswald Peraza (R)23.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+125-165

BRBetRivers+165-230

BOVBovada+150-200

FDFanDuel+148-200

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.7% K / BF

vs LHB25.8%

vs RHB22.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)19.6%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)18.3%3.0

3. Alec Burleson (L)16.8%3.0

4. Jordan Walker (R)28.3%3.0

5. Nolan Gorman (L)26.6%3.0

6. Masyn Winn (R)22.3%2.1

7. Nathan Church (L)23.0%2.0

8. Pedro Pagés (R)19.6%2.0

9. Victor Scott II (L)25.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-125-105

BOLBetOnline-114-114

BOVBovada-120-110

DKDraftKings-118-108

FDFanDuel-122-108

MBMyBookie-114-121

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.4% K / BF

vs LHB18.1%

vs RHB24.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ramón Laureano (R)28.1%3.0

2. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)22.2%3.0

3. Jackson Merrill (L)24.6%3.0

4. Xander Bogaerts (R)18.7%3.0

5. Ty France (R)16.4%3.0

6. Nick Castellanos (R)26.0%2.3

7. Luis Campusano (R)18.7%2.0

8. Bryce Johnson (L)24.3%2.0

9. Jake Cronenworth (L)21.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-143+110

BRBetRivers-136+102

BOVBovada-120-110

DKDraftKings-132+103

FANFanatics-140+105

FDFanDuel-120-110

MBMyBookie-145+105

We project 5.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.9% K / BF

vs LHB25.5%

vs RHB22.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)20.5%3.0

2. Drake Baldwin (L)23.1%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)21.8%3.0

4. Ozzie Albies (L)16.9%3.0

5. Michael Harris II (L)19.6%3.0

6. Austin Riley (R)24.0%2.1

7. Kyle Farmer (R)21.2%2.0

8. Mauricio Dubón (R)19.3%2.0

9. Mike Yastrzemski (L)23.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-118

BOLBetOnline-110-118

BRBetRivers-121-109

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings-113-113

FANFanatics-115-115

FDFanDuel-114-114

MBMyBookie-114-121

We project 5.4 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.1% K / BF

vs LHB24.6%

vs RHB22.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jung Hoo Lee (L)20.1%3.0

2. Matt Chapman (R)20.7%3.0

3. Luis Arraez (L)14.5%3.0

4. Casey Schmitt (R)21.4%3.0

5. Rafael Devers (L)24.1%3.0

6. Willy Adames (R)24.8%2.5

7. Heliot Ramos (R)25.3%2.0

8. Drew Gilbert (L)23.0%2.0

9. Jerar Encarnacion (R)22.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-140+105

BOLBetOnline-110-118

BRBetRivers-132-103

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-127+100

FDFanDuel-130-102

MBMyBookie-114-121

We project 5.4 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.1% K / BF

vs LHB25.9%

vs RHB20.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jarren Duran (L)23.9%3.0

2. Willson Contreras (R)27.0%3.0

3. Roman Anthony (L)24.7%3.0

4. Wilyer Abreu (L)21.1%3.0

5. Trevor Story (R)25.4%3.0

6. Masataka Yoshida (L)15.7%2.0

7. Carlos Narváez (R)27.8%2.0

8. Marcelo Mayer (L)18.6%2.0

9. Caleb Durbin (R)15.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BOLBetOnline-103-125

BRBetRivers+100-132

BOVBovada-110-120

DKDraftKings+100-127

FDFanDuel-106-125

MBMyBookie-107-128

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.4% K / BF

vs LHB22.1%

vs RHB22.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jacob Wilson (R)17.6%3.0

2. Shea Langeliers (R)24.8%3.0

3. Nick Kurtz (L)27.9%3.0

4. Brent Rooker (R)25.0%3.0

5. Lawrence Butler (L)25.1%2.9

6. Carlos Cortes (L)20.4%2.0

7. Zack Gelof (R)24.5%2.0

8. Darell Hernaiz (R)18.6%2.0

9. Jeff McNeil (L)16.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BOLBetOnline-108-120

BRBetRivers+102-136

BOVBovada-125-105

DKDraftKings-111-115

FANFanatics-110-120

FDFanDuel-118-112

MBMyBookie-111-124

We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.0% K / BF

vs LHB19.8%

vs RHB21.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Maikel Garcia (R)19.9%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)19.6%3.0

3. Michael Massey (L)19.2%3.0

4. Salvador Perez (R)22.8%3.0

5. Jac Caglianone (L)24.5%2.8

6. Starling Marte (R)22.5%2.0

7. Isaac Collins (L)26.8%2.0

8. Nick Loftin (R)17.5%2.0

9. Kyle Isbel (L)21.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BOLBetOnline-147+113

BRBetRivers-165+123

BOVBovada-165+125

DKDraftKings-149+117

FDFanDuel-160+120

MBMyBookie-152+109

We project 4.6 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.3% K / BF

vs LHB20.4%

vs RHB21.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Carlos Correa (R)20.3%3.0

2. Yordan Alvarez (L)14.6%3.0

3. Isaac Paredes (R)19.1%3.0

4. Jose Altuve (R)19.8%3.0

5. Christian Walker (R)21.1%3.0

6. Yainer Diaz (R)19.1%2.9

7. Dustin Harris (L)21.3%2.0

8. Cam Smith (R)23.4%2.0

9. Brice Matthews (R)26.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-145+105

BOLBetOnline-132+102

BRBetRivers-137+104

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-130+102

FANFanatics-130+100

FDFanDuel-144+108

MBMyBookie-135-102

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.9% K / BF

vs LHB22.8%

vs RHB20.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Trea Turner (R)19.9%3.0

2. Kyle Schwarber (L)27.5%3.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)18.6%3.0

4. Adolis García (R)25.8%3.0

5. Brandon Marsh (L)19.5%2.9

6. Bryson Stott (L)19.1%2.0

7. Alec Bohm (R)18.9%2.0

8. Justin Crawford (L)20.2%2.0

9. Rafael Marchán (L)22.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BOLBetOnline-111-116

BRBetRivers-114-117

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings-109-117

FANFanatics-110-120

FDFanDuel-114-114

MBMyBookie-115-120

We project 5.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.5% K / BF

vs LHB19.6%

vs RHB21.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Greg Jones (L)25.4%3.0

2. William Contreras (R)15.7%3.0

3. Luis Rengifo (L)16.5%3.0

4. Tyler Black (L)24.4%3.0

5. Jake Bauers (L)23.2%3.0

6. Brandon Lockridge (R)23.7%2.4

7. Blake Perkins (L)26.8%2.0

8. David Hamilton (L)22.2%2.0

9. Joey Ortiz (R)20.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BOLBetOnline-118-110

BRBetRivers-136+102

BOVBovada-125-105

DKDraftKings-112-114

FANFanatics-115-115

FDFanDuel-125-104

MBMyBookie-121-114

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.3% K / BF

vs LHB20.9%

vs RHB21.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.2 BF

Expected batters faced21.2

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Nico Hoerner (R)14.1%3.0

2. Moisés Ballesteros (L)18.8%3.0

3. Seiya Suzuki (R)24.3%3.0

4. Ian Happ (L)26.1%2.2

5. Michael Busch (L)24.9%2.0

6. Carson Kelly (R)21.4%2.0

7. Alex Bregman (R)17.5%2.0

8. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)24.7%2.0

9. Matt Shaw (R)20.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-155+115

BOLBetOnline-143+110

BRBetRivers-148+110

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-147+115

FDFanDuel-136+102

MBMyBookie-145+105

We project 4.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.4% K / BF

vs LHB19.3%

vs RHB19.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Steven Kwan (L)15.7%3.0

2. Chase DeLauter (L)15.2%3.0

3. José Ramírez (L)16.2%3.0

4. Kyle Manzardo (L)28.7%3.0

5. Daniel Schneemann (L)25.9%3.0

6. Angel Martínez (L)25.2%2.5

7. Travis Bazzana (L)22.0%2.0

8. George Valera (L)20.7%2.0

9. Brayan Rocchio (L)17.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-130-105

BOLBetOnline-110-118

BRBetRivers-122-109

BOVBovada+100-130

DKDraftKings-113-113

FDFanDuel-104-128

MBMyBookie-114-121

We project 4.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.0% K / BF

vs LHB18.7%

vs RHB19.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Oneil Cruz (L)28.2%3.0

2. Nick Yorke (R)21.0%3.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (L)23.6%3.0

4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)20.6%3.0

5. Nick Gonzales (R)17.7%2.7

6. Spencer Horwitz (L)17.6%2.0

7. Konnor Griffin (R)24.1%2.0

8. Jake Mangum (L)21.9%2.0

9. Marcell Ozuna (R)27.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BOLBetOnline-149+115

BRBetRivers-162+120

BOVBovada-170+130

DKDraftKings-162+127

FANFanatics-150+115

FDFanDuel-172+128

MBMyBookie-152+109

We project 4.4 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate16.2% K / BF

vs LHB15.3%

vs RHB20.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Bo Bichette (R)21.1%3.0

2. Juan Soto (L)17.8%3.0

3. Francisco Alvarez (R)21.8%3.0

4. Tyrone Taylor (R)22.0%3.0

5. Mark Vientos (R)23.8%3.0

6. Brett Baty (L)24.8%2.1

7. Marcus Semien (R)20.6%2.0

8. Carson Benge (L)18.7%2.0

9. Ronny Mauricio (L)24.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BOLBetOnline-101-128

BRBetRivers-118-113

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings-122-104

FANFanatics-105-125

FDFanDuel-114-114

MBMyBookie-105-131

We project 4.2 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.6% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB20.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Chandler Simpson (L)14.5%3.0

2. Ben Williamson (R)21.5%3.0

3. Jonathan Aranda (L)21.5%3.0

4. Yandy Díaz (R)14.9%3.0

5. Jake Fraley (L)21.8%2.5

6. Cedric Mullins (L)21.3%2.0

7. Nick Fortes (R)18.4%2.0

8. Richie Palacios (L)18.1%2.0

9. Taylor Walls (L)25.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-115-115

BOLBetOnline-118-110

BRBetRivers-122-109

BOVBovada-110-120

DKDraftKings-127-101

FANFanatics-115-115

FDFanDuel-112-118

MBMyBookie-121-114

We project 4.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.8% K / BF

vs LHB20.7%

vs RHB20.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.9 BF

Expected batters faced20.9

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Dane Myers (R)22.2%3.0

2. Matt McLain (R)20.9%3.0

3. Elly De La Cruz (R)26.3%2.9

4. Sal Stewart (R)20.4%2.0

5. Spencer Steer (R)20.5%2.0

6. Nathaniel Lowe (L)21.8%2.0

7. Tyler Stephenson (R)21.8%2.0

8. TJ Friedl (L)19.9%2.0

9. Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)18.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-160+120

BOLBetOnline-161+123

BRBetRivers-152+114

BOVBovada-160+120

DKDraftKings-158+124

FDFanDuel-160+120

MBMyBookie-162+117

We project 4.1 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.3% K / BF

vs LHB18.2%

vs RHB20.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)28.6%3.0

2. Luis García Jr. (L)16.8%3.0

3. Brady House (R)28.2%3.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)16.4%3.0

5. Daylen Lile (L)17.1%3.0

6. Jacob Young (R)19.1%2.4

7. Jorbit Vivas (L)18.2%2.0

8. Drew Millas (L)18.7%2.0

9. Nasim Nuñez (L)19.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline+118-154

BRBetRivers+120-162

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+122-155

FDFanDuel+120-160

MBMyBookie+112-156

We project 4.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.5% K / BF

vs LHB18.3%

vs RHB18.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Dalton Rushing (L)24.0%3.0

2. Freddie Freeman (L)16.3%3.0

3. Will Smith (R)19.2%3.0

4. Kyle Tucker (L)20.2%3.0

5. Max Muncy (L)21.0%2.6

6. Teoscar Hernández (R)28.7%2.0

7. Andy Pages (R)21.4%2.0

8. Hyeseong Kim (L)22.3%2.0

9. Alex Freeland (L)27.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BOLBetOnline-118-110

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings-112-114

FDFanDuel-114-114

MBMyBookie-121-114

We project 4.2 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.1% K / BF

vs LHB16.9%

vs RHB20.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ildemaro Vargas (L)15.6%3.0

2. Jorge Barrosa (L)29.6%3.0

3. Aramis Garcia (R)23.8%3.0

4. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)18.2%2.4

5. Adrian Del Castillo (L)24.6%2.0

6. Jose Fernandez (R)22.4%2.0

7. Tim Tawa (R)21.8%2.0

8. Alek Thomas (L)21.2%2.0

9. James McCann (R)25.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline+126-164

BRBetRivers+125-167

BOVBovada+125-165

DKDraftKings+126-162

FDFanDuel+124-166

MBMyBookie+119-165

We project 4.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.2% K / BF

vs LHB20.4%

vs RHB19.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.2 BF

Expected batters faced21.2

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Kerry Carpenter (L)25.9%3.0

2. Gleyber Torres (R)19.9%3.0

3. Kevin McGonigle (L)18.4%3.0

4. Matt Vierling (R)17.9%2.1

5. Dillon Dingler (R)21.6%2.0

6. Riley Greene (L)25.6%2.0

7. Spencer Torkelson (R)23.2%2.0

8. Colt Keith (L)21.8%2.0

9. Wenceel Pérez (R)19.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BOLBetOnline-118-110

BRBetRivers-118-113

BOVBovada-125-105

DKDraftKings-127+100

FDFanDuel-122-108

MBMyBookie-121-114

We project 4.1 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.6% K / BF

vs LHB22.7%

vs RHB23.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.1 BF

Expected batters faced14.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Gunnar Henderson (L)26.6%2.0

2. Taylor Ward (R)19.0%2.0

3. Adley Rutschman (L)19.0%2.0

4. Pete Alonso (R)23.4%2.0

5. Samuel Basallo (L)21.6%2.0

6. Leody Taveras (L)20.6%1.1

7. Tyler O'Neill (R)22.7%1.0

8. Blaze Alexander (R)27.1%1.0

9. Jeremiah Jackson (R)21.5%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Tuesday, April 28, 2026

Payton Tolle (BOS) is the top strikeout start on the Tuesday, April 28, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.0 K, with Shohei Ohtani (LAD) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Payton Tolle

Payton Tolle (BOS) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.0 K against TOR. He's missing bats at a 30% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and TOR has been around league average, going down 21% of the time. He's lined up for about 23 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (98) — about 5.8 K vs MIA: a 28% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
Jacob deGrom (TEX) (97) — about 5.8 K vs NYY: a 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Chase Burns (CIN) (97) — about 6.0 K vs COL: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Cam Schlittler (NYY) (93) — about 5.9 K vs TEX: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Joe Ryan (MIN) (81) — about 5.6 K vs SEA: a 24% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

SEA is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Joe Ryan is the arm to exploit it (81).
LAA is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Davis Martin is the arm to exploit it (76).
COL is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Chase Burns is the arm to exploit it (97).
TEX is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Cam Schlittler is the arm to exploit it (93).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 6.5 strikeouts. Top play Payton Tolle punched out 4. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) weighs his strikeout ability against every hitter in the lineup, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Higher means more whiffs point his way. The exact weighting is our own — we project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Tuesday, April 28, 2026)?: Payton Tolle (BOS) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.0 K against TOR. A 30% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Tuesday, April 28, 2026: Payton Tolle (~6.0 K), Shohei Ohtani (~5.8 K), Jacob deGrom (~5.8 K), Chase Burns (~6.0 K), Cam Schlittler (~5.9 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Tuesday, April 28, 2026?: Payton Tolle punched out 4.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.