Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Wednesday, April 29, 2026)?

Tyler Glasnow (LAD) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 5.9 K against MIA. A 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Wednesday, April 29, 2026: Tyler Glasnow (~5.9 K), Tarik Skubal (~5.4 K), Yusei Kikuchi (~5.8 K), Gavin Williams (~5.7 K), Taj Bradley (~5.9 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Wednesday, April 29, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Wednesday, April 29, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Results show how each call played out.

★★ Plays of the Day

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls — where our model diverges a high percentage from the book's line (lineups final, so the play is locked). To date this season, strikeout PODs are hitting at a 64% rate — a +15% return.

Δ1.7Elmer RodríguezFinal NYY @ TEXwe project 5.2 K vs the 3.5 lineOver 3.5-160✗

Δ1.7Andre PallanteFinal STL @ PITwe project 5.2 K vs the 3.5 lineOver 3.5-146✓

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice — 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Final · 1–3

TBaway

CLEhomeTop matchup67 Final · 2–3

LAAaway

CWShomeTop matchup75 Final · 5–3

SEAaway

MINhomeTop matchup67 Final · 0–3

NYYaway

TEXhomeTop matchup61 Final · 1–8

BOSaway

TORhomeTop matchup33 Final · 3–2

MIAaway

LADhomeTop matchup100 Final · 5–4

CHCaway

SDhomeTop matchup38 Final · 13–2

COLaway

CINhomeTop matchup36 Final · 5–4

STLaway

PIThomeTop matchup45 Final · 14–2

WSHaway

NYMhomeTop matchup39 Final · 3–4

DETaway

ATLhomeTop matchup83 Final · 6–2

AZaway

MILhomeTop matchup31 Final · 2–5

KCaway

ATHhomeTop matchup38

Sort

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate28.6% K / BF

vs LHB26.2%

vs RHB28.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jakob Marsee (L)19.8%3.0

2. Kyle Stowers (L)22.9%3.0

3. Otto Lopez (R)21.3%3.0

4. Xavier Edwards (L)14.5%3.0

5. Liam Hicks (L)14.9%3.0

6. Connor Norby (R)28.6%2.4

7. Javier Sanoja (R)15.7%2.0

8. Graham Pauley (L)24.0%2.0

9. Esteury Ruiz (R)24.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-143+110

BRBetRivers-159+120

BOVBovada-150+115

FDFanDuel-154+116

MBMyBookie-146+106

We project 5.9 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.0% K / BF

vs LHB23.7%

vs RHB27.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)22.3%3.0

2. Drake Baldwin (L)17.3%3.0

3. Ozzie Albies (R)14.3%3.0

4. Matt Olson (L)22.5%3.0

5. Austin Riley (R)19.0%3.0

6. Mauricio Dubón (R)18.9%2.3

7. Michael Harris II (L)19.3%2.0

8. Mike Yastrzemski (L)23.4%2.0

9. Reynaldo López (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline+113-147

BRBetRivers+107-141

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings+110-140

FANFanatics+110-145

FDFanDuel+104-138

MBMyBookie+116-160

We project 5.4 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.5% K / BF

vs LHB24.4%

vs RHB23.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Chase Meidroth (R)20.1%3.0

2. Miguel Vargas (R)17.3%3.0

3. Munetaka Murakami (L)29.0%3.0

4. Austin Hays (R)24.1%3.0

5. Colson Montgomery (L)26.2%2.6

6. Edgar Quero (R)20.3%2.0

7. Tristan Peters (L)24.4%2.0

8. Jarred Kelenic (L)28.3%2.0

9. Sam Antonacci (L)21.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-125-105

BOLBetOnline-110-118

BRBetRivers-136+102

DKDraftKings-103-124

FDFanDuel-108-122

MBMyBookie-134-103

We project 5.8 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.7% K / BF

vs LHB26.9%

vs RHB24.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Chandler Simpson (L)14.0%3.0

2. Ben Williamson (R)20.9%3.0

3. Jonathan Aranda (L)21.6%3.0

4. Yandy Díaz (R)15.2%3.0

5. Jake Fraley (L)22.2%3.0

6. Cedric Mullins (L)22.4%2.3

7. Richie Palacios (L)19.6%2.0

8. Hunter Feduccia (L)25.8%2.0

9. Taylor Walls (L)24.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-120

BOLBetOnline-123-104

BRBetRivers-125-106

BOVBovada-130+100

DKDraftKings-131+103

FANFanatics-130+100

FDFanDuel-130-102

MBMyBookie-121-114

We project 5.7 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.1% K / BF

vs LHB25.0%

vs RHB19.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness24.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. J.P. Crawford (L)19.4%3.0

2. Cal Raleigh (L)26.3%3.0

3. Julio Rodríguez (R)22.0%3.0

4. Josh Naylor (L)17.7%3.0

5. Randy Arozarena (R)24.5%3.0

6. Luke Raley (L)29.2%2.6

7. Leo Rivas (L)26.2%2.0

8. Cole Young (L)22.8%2.0

9. Will Wilson (R)29.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-155+115

BOLBetOnline-169+130

BOVBovada-160+120

DKDraftKings-157+123

FDFanDuel-158+118

MBMyBookie-156+112

We project 5.9 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.6% K / BF

vs LHB18.9%

vs RHB24.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Trent Grisham (L)19.2%3.0

2. Ben Rice (L)21.9%3.0

3. Aaron Judge (R)23.7%3.0

4. Cody Bellinger (L)17.7%3.0

5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)26.6%3.0

6. Max Schuemann (R)23.8%2.6

7. J.C. Escarra (L)24.6%2.0

8. Ryan McMahon (L)26.8%2.0

9. José Caballero (R)20.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-115-115

BOLBetOnline-111-116

BRBetRivers-113-118

BOVBovada-110-120

DKDraftKings-109-116

FANFanatics-110-120

FDFanDuel-112-118

MBMyBookie-116-119

We project 5.0 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.8% K / BF

vs LHB19.7%

vs RHB21.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.1 BF

Expected batters faced24.1

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Byron Buxton (R)25.7%3.0

2. Austin Martin (R)20.8%3.0

3. Josh Bell (L)18.6%3.0

4. James Outman (L)25.4%3.0

5. Kody Clemens (L)24.8%3.0

6. Luke Keaschall (R)19.3%3.0

7. Victor Caratini (L)20.5%2.1

8. Brooks Lee (L)19.0%2.0

9. Royce Lewis (R)24.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+120-160

BOLBetOnline+124-161

BRBetRivers+115-152

BOVBovada+125-165

DKDraftKings+124-158

FDFanDuel+126-168

MBMyBookie+115-159

We project 5.0 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

★★ Play of the Day

We're projecting 5.2 K, but the book line is 3.5 — so the play is Over 3.5.

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls, where our model diverges a high percentage from the book's line. To date this season, strikeout PODs are hitting at a 64% rate — a +15% return on the season.

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.0% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Sam Haggerty (L)24.1%3.0

2. Josh Jung (R)20.2%3.0

3. Corey Seager (L)21.6%3.0

4. Joc Pederson (L)24.1%3.0

5. Jake Burger (R)26.8%3.0

6. Evan Carter (L)21.0%2.0

7. Kyle Higashioka (R)24.2%2.0

8. Alejandro Osuna (L)20.1%2.0

9. Ezequiel Duran (R)21.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOVBovada-160+120

FDFanDuel-162+122

We project 5.2 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.8% K / BF

vs LHB24.3%

vs RHB22.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.7 BF

Expected batters faced21.7

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Steven Kwan (L)15.4%3.0

2. Chase DeLauter (L)14.8%3.0

3. José Ramírez (L)15.9%3.0

4. Kyle Manzardo (L)28.6%2.7

5. Daniel Schneemann (L)25.7%2.0

6. Angel Martínez (L)25.4%2.0

7. Travis Bazzana (L)22.2%2.0

8. Bo Naylor (L)24.4%2.0

9. Brayan Rocchio (L)17.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BOLBetOnline-102-127

BRBetRivers-103-130

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings-104-123

FDFanDuel-106-125

MBMyBookie-105-132

We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.7% K / BF

vs LHB23.3%

vs RHB22.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Kevin McGonigle (L)16.6%3.0

2. Gleyber Torres (R)18.1%3.0

3. Colt Keith (L)20.9%3.0

4. Riley Greene (L)24.0%3.0

5. Dillon Dingler (R)18.8%3.0

6. Matt Vierling (R)21.0%2.3

7. Spencer Torkelson (R)26.8%2.0

8. Wenceel Pérez (L)18.8%2.0

9. Jahmai Jones (R)24.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-161+124

BRBetRivers-127-105

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-134+105

FDFanDuel-136+102

MBMyBookie-147+106

We project 5.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

★★ Play of the Day

We're projecting 5.2 K, but the book line is 3.5 — so the play is Over 3.5.

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.9% K / BF

vs LHB20.4%

vs RHB21.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Oneil Cruz (L)29.4%3.0

2. Nick Yorke (R)20.7%3.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (L)23.8%3.0

4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)20.1%3.0

5. Marcell Ozuna (R)27.8%2.9

6. Nick Gonzales (R)17.4%2.0

7. Billy Cook (R)25.9%2.0

8. Konnor Griffin (R)23.9%2.0

9. Henry Davis (R)21.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-165+125

BOLBetOnline-154+119

BRBetRivers-165+123

BOVBovada-160+120

DKDraftKings-146+114

FDFanDuel-158+118

MBMyBookie-158+114

We project 5.2 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.6% K / BF

vs LHB24.4%

vs RHB22.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Bo Bichette (R)20.4%3.0

2. Juan Soto (L)17.0%3.0

3. Austin Slater (R)23.1%3.0

4. Francisco Alvarez (R)21.1%2.4

5. Brett Baty (L)24.1%2.0

6. Tyrone Taylor (R)21.8%2.0

7. Carson Benge (L)18.0%2.0

8. Luis Torrens (R)21.4%2.0

9. Ronny Mauricio (L)24.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-120

BOLBetOnline-101-128

BRBetRivers+108-143

BOVBovada-110-120

DKDraftKings+107-136

FANFanatics+100-130

FDFanDuel-110-120

MBMyBookie-104-133

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.8% K / BF

vs LHB21.4%

vs RHB22.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Nick Kurtz (L)26.0%3.0

2. Shea Langeliers (R)21.0%3.0

3. Carlos Cortes (L)14.8%3.0

4. Brent Rooker (R)25.1%3.0

5. Jacob Wilson (R)14.3%3.0

6. Jeff McNeil (L)16.2%2.6

7. Zack Gelof (R)25.4%2.0

8. Lawrence Butler (L)24.8%2.0

9. Darell Hernaiz (R)18.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+110-150

BOLBetOnline+115-149

BRBetRivers+108-143

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+110-141

FANFanatics+115-150

FDFanDuel+116-154

MBMyBookie+109-150

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.6% K / BF

vs LHB21.3%

vs RHB20.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jackson Merrill (L)24.1%3.0

2. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)23.0%3.0

3. Manny Machado (R)21.2%3.0

4. Xander Bogaerts (R)19.0%3.0

5. Ty France (R)15.9%3.0

6. Ramón Laureano (R)28.9%2.1

7. Jake Cronenworth (L)21.0%2.0

8. Freddy Fermin (R)20.8%2.0

9. Bryce Johnson (L)23.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline+124-161

BRBetRivers+143-195

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+125-159

FDFanDuel+116-154

MBMyBookie+109-152

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.3% K / BF

vs LHB18.9%

vs RHB19.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. TJ Friedl (L)20.8%3.0

2. Matt McLain (R)26.3%3.0

3. Elly De La Cruz (L)25.9%3.0

4. Sal Stewart (R)20.8%3.0

5. Tyler Stephenson (R)28.6%2.5

6. Will Benson (L)24.7%2.0

7. JJ Bleday (L)21.2%2.0

8. Rece Hinds (R)26.1%2.0

9. Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)20.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BOLBetOnline-133+103

BRBetRivers-125-106

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-134+105

FANFanatics-130+100

FDFanDuel-148+112

MBMyBookie-153+110

We project 4.7 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.2% K / BF

vs LHB19.3%

vs RHB22.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)19.0%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)18.2%3.0

3. Alec Burleson (L)18.2%3.0

4. Jordan Walker (R)28.5%3.0

5. Nolan Gorman (L)26.5%2.5

6. Masyn Winn (R)22.9%2.0

7. Nathan Church (L)22.7%2.0

8. Ramón Urías (R)19.8%2.0

9. Victor Scott II (L)26.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BOLBetOnline-154+118

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-143+112

FANFanatics-145+110

FDFanDuel-138+104

MBMyBookie-140+101

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate16.6% K / BF

vs LHB16.0%

vs RHB20.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)27.7%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)20.7%3.0

3. Oswald Peraza (R)24.5%3.0

4. Bryce Teodosio (R)24.8%3.0

5. Jo Adell (R)24.7%2.5

6. Josh Lowe (L)24.9%2.0

7. Vaughn Grissom (R)18.8%2.0

8. Sebastián Rivero (R)21.1%2.0

9. Adam Frazier (L)25.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-149+115

BRBetRivers-150+112

DKDraftKings-154+120

FANFanatics-150+115

FDFanDuel-144+108

MBMyBookie-148+107

We project 4.7 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.9% K / BF

vs LHB22.4%

vs RHB19.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Maikel Garcia (R)19.8%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)18.9%3.0

3. Carter Jensen (L)25.7%3.0

4. Salvador Perez (R)22.1%3.0

5. Michael Massey (L)18.8%2.9

6. Isaac Collins (L)26.0%2.0

7. Jac Caglianone (L)25.6%2.0

8. Lane Thomas (R)21.3%2.0

9. Kyle Isbel (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-115-115

BOLBetOnline-127-102

BRBetRivers-148+110

BOVBovada-125-105

DKDraftKings-138+108

FDFanDuel-128-104

MBMyBookie-112-123

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.0% K / BF

vs LHB23.0%

vs RHB19.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Roman Anthony (L)24.1%3.0

2. Willson Contreras (R)25.0%3.0

3. Wilyer Abreu (L)17.9%3.0

4. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)26.0%3.0

5. Trevor Story (R)27.6%2.1

6. Jarren Duran (L)22.1%2.0

7. Connor Wong (R)21.9%2.0

8. Marcelo Mayer (L)21.3%2.0

9. Caleb Durbin (R)19.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-118-110

BOLBetOnline+100-130

BRBetRivers-108-124

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings+102-129

FANFanatics-110-120

FDFanDuel-114-114

MBMyBookie-120-115

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.6% K / BF

vs LHB20.9%

vs RHB22.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Geraldo Perdomo (L)18.0%3.0

2. Ketel Marte (L)18.4%3.0

3. Corbin Carroll (L)26.3%3.0

4. Adrian Del Castillo (L)23.8%2.5

5. Ildemaro Vargas (L)15.3%2.0

6. Jorge Barrosa (L)28.8%2.0

7. Nolan Arenado (R)19.3%2.0

8. Jose Fernandez (R)21.4%2.0

9. Alek Thomas (L)19.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-125-105

BOLBetOnline-141+109

BRBetRivers-150+112

BOVBovada-150+115

DKDraftKings-150+117

FANFanatics-140+105

FDFanDuel-158+118

MBMyBookie-143+103

We project 4.4 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.3% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB19.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)26.6%3.0

2. Curtis Mead (R)21.6%3.0

3. Brady House (R)25.2%3.0

4. José Tena (L)21.7%3.0

5. Jacob Young (R)20.5%2.1

6. Daylen Lile (L)21.4%2.0

7. Joey Wiemer (R)27.1%2.0

8. Nasim Nuñez (R)22.9%2.0

9. Keibert Ruiz (R)18.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-160+120

BOLBetOnline-143+110

BRBetRivers-150+112

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-146+114

FDFanDuel-146+110

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.0% K / BF

vs LHB19.4%

vs RHB20.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Nico Hoerner (R)13.5%3.0

2. Moisés Ballesteros (L)18.1%3.0

3. Alex Bregman (R)17.1%3.0

4. Ian Happ (L)25.1%3.0

5. Michael Busch (L)25.1%3.0

6. Michael Conforto (L)23.6%2.1

7. Matt Shaw (R)21.3%2.0

8. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)26.0%2.0

9. Miguel Amaya (R)22.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BOLBetOnline-118-110

BRBetRivers-115-115

BOVBovada-120-110

DKDraftKings-111-114

FANFanatics-120-110

FDFanDuel-122-108

MBMyBookie-122-113

We project 4.4 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.1% K / BF

vs LHB21.9%

vs RHB17.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Tyler Black (L)21.1%3.0

2. Brice Turang (L)23.0%3.0

3. William Contreras (R)20.1%3.0

4. Jake Bauers (L)22.3%3.0

5. Gary Sánchez (R)22.3%3.0

6. Luis Rengifo (R)19.8%2.4

7. Garrett Mitchell (L)25.4%2.0

8. Sal Frelick (L)20.6%2.0

9. David Hamilton (L)21.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-115-115

BOLBetOnline-109-119

BRBetRivers-113-118

BOVBovada-110-120

DKDraftKings-106-121

FDFanDuel-112-118

MBMyBookie+107-148

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.3% K / BF

vs LHB17.2%

vs RHB19.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.0 BF

Expected batters faced25.0

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)24.8%3.0

2. Freddie Freeman (L)15.9%3.0

3. Andy Pages (R)21.3%3.0

4. Kyle Tucker (L)20.2%3.0

5. Will Smith (R)18.7%3.0

6. Miguel Rojas (R)18.1%3.0

7. Hyeseong Kim (L)21.5%3.0

8. Alex Call (R)19.5%2.0

9. Alex Freeland (L)27.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BOLBetOnline-103-125

BRBetRivers-122-109

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings-102-125

FANFanatics-115-115

FDFanDuel-122-110

MBMyBookie-125-110

We project 4.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.3% K / BF

vs LHB16.6%

vs RHB20.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ernie Clement (R)14.5%3.0

2. Jesús Sánchez (L)19.9%3.0

3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)17.0%3.0

4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)28.8%3.0

5. Daulton Varsho (L)22.8%3.0

6. George Springer (R)21.8%2.0

7. Myles Straw (R)17.0%2.0

8. Andrés Giménez (L)18.9%2.0

9. Brandon Valenzuela (L)26.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-130-105

BOLBetOnline-123-105

BRBetRivers-148+110

BOVBovada-150+115

DKDraftKings-133+105

FDFanDuel-154+116

MBMyBookie-152+109

We project 4.0 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate16.6% K / BF

vs LHB23.5%

vs RHB15.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)2.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jordan Beck (R)21.6%3.0

2. Brenton Doyle (R)23.0%3.0

3. TJ Rumfield (L)19.1%3.0

4. Hunter Goodman (R)28.4%3.0

5. Willi Castro (R)24.4%2.8

6. Brett Sullivan (L)20.5%2.0

7. Kyle Karros (R)21.9%2.0

8. Ezequiel Tovar (R)28.9%2.0

9. Mickey Moniak (L)26.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BOLBetOnline+103-133

BRBetRivers+104-137

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+114-145

FDFanDuel+116-154

MBMyBookie+113-157

We project 4.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Wednesday, April 29, 2026

Tyler Glasnow (LAD) is the top strikeout start on the Wednesday, April 29, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 5.9 K, with Tarik Skubal (DET) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Tyler Glasnow

Tyler Glasnow (LAD) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 5.9 K against MIA. He's missing bats at a 29% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and MIA has been around league average, going down 21% of the time. He's lined up for about 23 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Tarik Skubal (DET) (83) — about 5.4 K vs ATL: a 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 20% of the time.
Yusei Kikuchi (LAA) (75) — about 5.8 K vs CWS: a 24% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Gavin Williams (CLE) (67) — about 5.7 K vs TB: a 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
Taj Bradley (MIN) (67) — about 5.9 K vs SEA: a 22% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) (61) — about 5.0 K vs NYY: a 21% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

SEA is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Taj Bradley is the arm to exploit it (67).
CIN is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Tomoyuki Sugano is the arm to exploit it (36).
COL is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Brandon Williamson is the arm to exploit it (0).
LAA is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Erick Fedde is the arm to exploit it (35).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 5.8 strikeouts. Top play Tyler Glasnow punched out 9. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) weighs his strikeout ability against every hitter in the lineup, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Higher means more whiffs point his way. The exact weighting is our own — we project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Wednesday, April 29, 2026)?: Tyler Glasnow (LAD) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 5.9 K against MIA. A 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Wednesday, April 29, 2026: Tyler Glasnow (~5.9 K), Tarik Skubal (~5.4 K), Yusei Kikuchi (~5.8 K), Gavin Williams (~5.7 K), Taj Bradley (~5.9 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Wednesday, April 29, 2026?: Tyler Glasnow punched out 9.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.