MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Sunday, May 3, 2026

CIN @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, May 3, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
01
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft 56°F Partly CloudyWind 13 mph, Out To LF

CIN Chase Burns · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate28.2% K / BF

vs LHB26.8%
vs RHB26.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
BOLBetOnline-143+110
BRBetRivers-127-106
BOVBovada-130+100
DKDraftKings-134+105
FDFanDuel-132+100
MBMyBookie-145+105

We project 6.0 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Oneil Cruz (L)29.6%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)21.0%3.0 PA
3Henry Davis (R)21.0%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)18.7%3.0 PA
5Nick Gonzales (R)16.6%2.9 PA
6Billy Cook (R)24.1%2.0 PA
7Spencer Horwitz (L)15.7%2.0 PA
8Konnor Griffin (R)23.8%2.0 PA
9Jake Mangum (L)22.4%2.0 PA

PIT Braxton Ashcraft · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.3% K / BF

vs LHB26.9%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOLBetOnline-143+110
BRBetRivers-136+102
BOVBovada-120-110
DKDraftKings-134+105
FANFanatics-125-105
FDFanDuel-122-108
MBMyBookie-145+105

We project 5.8 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1TJ Friedl (L)20.8%3.0 PA
2Dane Myers (R)21.7%3.0 PA
3Elly De La Cruz (L)25.8%3.0 PA
4Sal Stewart (R)20.2%3.0 PA
5Nathaniel Lowe (L)21.6%3.0 PA
6Spencer Steer (R)23.7%2.0 PA
7Will Benson (L)25.8%2.0 PA
8Jose Trevino (R)21.1%2.0 PA
9Matt McLain (R)26.6%2.0 PA