MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Tuesday, May 5, 2026

SD @ SF Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, May 5, 2026

SD
SD
San Diego Padres
105
Final
SF
San Francisco Giants
SF
Oracle ParkElevation 0 ftCenter Field 391 ft 59°F Partly CloudyWind 11 mph, Out To CF

SD Walker Buehler · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.7% K / BF

vs LHB19.9%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.3 BF

Expected batters faced21.3
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOLBetOnline-135+105
BRBetRivers-136+102
BOVBovada-130+100
DKDraftKings-136+106
FDFanDuel-130-102
MBMyBookie-138+100

We project 4.5 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jung Hoo Lee (L)14.5%3.0 PA
2Casey Schmitt (R)21.6%3.0 PA
3Rafael Devers (L)26.4%3.0 PA
4Heliot Ramos (R)24.2%2.3 PA
5Bryce Eldridge (L)22.4%2.0 PA
6Matt Chapman (R)24.7%2.0 PA
7Willy Adames (R)29.1%2.0 PA
8Christian Koss (R)20.9%2.0 PA
9Jesus Rodriguez (R)22.0%2.0 PA

SF Logan Webb · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.2% K / BF

vs LHB20.3%
vs RHB23.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.8 BF

Expected batters faced24.8
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOLBetOnline+100-130
BRBetRivers-103-130
BOVBovada+100-130
DKDraftKings-106-121
FANFanatics+100-130
FDFanDuel-102-130
MBMyBookie-104-133

We project 5.5 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jackson Merrill (L)22.2%3.0 PA
2Manny Machado (R)22.0%3.0 PA
3Miguel Andujar (R)19.5%3.0 PA
4Gavin Sheets (L)22.6%3.0 PA
5Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)24.3%3.0 PA
6Xander Bogaerts (R)21.3%3.0 PA
7Bryce Johnson (L)24.4%2.8 PA
8Luis Campusano (R)23.6%2.0 PA
9Sung-Mun Song (L)22.0%2.0 PA