MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Friday, May 8, 2026

PIT @ SF Strikeouts matchups · Friday, May 8, 2026

PIT
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
25
Final
SF
San Francisco Giants
SF
Oracle ParkElevation 0 ftCenter Field 391 ft 58°F ClearWind 13 mph, Out To CF

PIT Carmen Mlodzinski · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.8% K / BF

vs LHB23.2%
vs RHB25.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-145
BOLBetOnline+134-175
BRBetRivers+110-148
BOVBovada+115-150
DKDraftKings+116-148
FANFanatics+120-160
FDFanDuel+114-152
MBMyBookie+126-176

We project 5.2 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jung Hoo Lee (L)13.5%3.0 PA
2Luis Arraez (L)10.4%3.0 PA
3Casey Schmitt (R)22.6%3.0 PA
4Rafael Devers (L)26.2%3.0 PA
5Matt Chapman (R)24.6%2.5 PA
6Willy Adames (R)27.7%2.0 PA
7Heliot Ramos (R)26.9%2.0 PA
8Drew Gilbert (L)18.5%2.0 PA
9Patrick Bailey (L)23.2%2.0 PA

SF Robbie Ray · LHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.8% K / BF

vs LHB23.3%
vs RHB23.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOLBetOnline-109-119
BRBetRivers-117-114
BOVBovada-105-125
DKDraftKings-112-114
FDFanDuel-106-125
MBMyBookie-113-123

We project 5.8 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jared Triolo (R)19.8%3.0 PA
2Nick Gonzales (R)25.3%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (R)23.5%3.0 PA
4Marcell Ozuna (R)21.3%3.0 PA
5Oneil Cruz (L)29.8%2.7 PA
6Konnor Griffin (R)25.9%2.0 PA
7Spencer Horwitz (L)20.6%2.0 PA
8Brandon Lowe (L)25.2%2.0 PA
9Ryan O'Hearn (L)23.8%2.0 PA