MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Sunday, May 10, 2026

STL @ SD Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, May 10, 2026

STL
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
23
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
SD
Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft 68°F SunnyWind 8 mph, L To R

STL Kyle Leahy · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.4% K / BF

vs LHB20.7%
vs RHB20.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline-143+110
BRBetRivers-150+114
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-140+110
FANFanatics-145+110
FDFanDuel-166+124

We project 4.6 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jackson Merrill (L)22.0%3.0 PA
2Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)22.1%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)23.3%3.0 PA
4Gavin Sheets (L)21.7%3.0 PA
5Xander Bogaerts (R)22.0%2.9 PA
6Miguel Andujar (R)17.7%2.0 PA
7Ty France (R)15.9%2.0 PA
8Freddy Fermin (R)19.9%2.0 PA
9Ramón Laureano (R)27.9%2.0 PA

SD Walker Buehler · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.6% K / BF

vs LHB20.0%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-165
BOLBetOnline+122-159
BRBetRivers+138-186
DKDraftKings+120-153

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)18.6%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)22.1%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)19.1%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)25.5%2.4 PA
5Nolan Gorman (L)29.8%2.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)21.8%2.0 PA
7José Fermín (R)21.0%2.0 PA
8Victor Scott II (L)25.6%2.0 PA
9Pedro Pagés (R)24.7%2.0 PA