Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Sunday, May 10, 2026)?

Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 7.2 K against COL. A 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 25% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Sunday, May 10, 2026: Cristopher Sánchez (~7.2 K), Carlos Rodón (~5.8 K), Jacob deGrom (~5.3 K), Gavin Williams (~6.1 K), Davis Martin (~5.5 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Sunday, May 10, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Sunday, May 10, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Results show how each call played out.

★ Plays of the Day

No identified Plays of the Day on this slate — our model didn't find a strikeout disagreement with the book big enough to clear our edge threshold. The model still ran every matchup; it just didn't flag a play worth posting today. This season strikeout PODs are hitting 62% — a +12% return.

Final · 2–5

WSHaway

MIAhomeTop matchup37 Final · 1–2

ATHaway

BALhomeTop matchup44 Final · 4–1

TBaway

BOShomeTop matchup59 Final · 0–6

COLaway

PHIhomeTop matchup100 Final · 6–1

LAAaway

TORhomeTop matchup49 Final · 0–5

HOUaway

CINhomeTop matchup20 Final · 5–4

MINaway

CLEhomeTop matchup70 Final · 1–2

SEAaway

CWShomeTop matchup69 Final · 3–4

NYYaway

MILhomeTop matchup71 Final · 0–3

CHCaway

TEXhomeTop matchup70 Final · 6–7

PITaway

SFhomeTop matchup27 Final · 1–5

NYMaway

AZhomeTop matchup30 Final · 2–3

STLaway

SDhomeTop matchup39 Final · 7–2

ATLaway

LADhomeTop matchup50 Final · 6–3

DETaway

KChomeTop matchup40

Sort

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.4% K / BF

vs LHB26.9%

vs RHB24.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.6 BF

Expected batters faced24.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection7.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness25.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Edouard Julien (L)26.9%3.0

2. Tyler Freeman (R)19.6%3.0

3. Hunter Goodman (R)30.7%3.0

4. Willi Castro (R)23.5%3.0

5. Troy Johnston (L)19.7%3.0

6. Mickey Moniak (L)29.8%3.0

7. Kyle Karros (R)26.9%2.6

8. Ezequiel Tovar (R)26.8%2.0

9. Jake McCarthy (L)21.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BOLBetOnline-103-125

BRBetRivers-114-117

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings-108-118

FDFanDuel-104-128

We project 7.2 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.4% K / BF

vs LHB26.8%

vs RHB26.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jackson Chourio (R)23.5%3.0

2. Brice Turang (L)20.3%3.0

3. William Contreras (R)20.8%3.0

4. Gary Sánchez (R)21.8%3.0

5. Andrew Vaughn (R)18.5%3.0

6. David Hamilton (L)24.3%2.0

7. Garrett Mitchell (L)23.1%2.0

8. Sal Frelick (L)19.0%2.0

9. Joey Ortiz (R)20.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-175+134

BRBetRivers-175+130

BOVBovada-170+130

DKDraftKings-147+115

FDFanDuel-172+126

MBMyBookie-131-105

We project 5.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.8% K / BF

vs LHB24.7%

vs RHB27.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Nico Hoerner (R)11.0%3.0

2. Moisés Ballesteros (L)17.0%3.0

3. Seiya Suzuki (R)22.9%3.0

4. Ian Happ (L)25.3%3.0

5. Michael Busch (L)21.6%2.3

6. Carson Kelly (R)19.7%2.0

7. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)22.2%2.0

8. Dansby Swanson (R)19.4%2.0

9. Matt Shaw (R)21.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BOLBetOnline-130+100

BRBetRivers-106-125

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings-113-113

FDFanDuel-114-114

MBMyBookie-113-123

We project 5.3 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.8% K / BF

vs LHB27.1%

vs RHB24.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Byron Buxton (R)24.0%3.0

2. James Outman (L)28.3%3.0

3. Ryan Jeffers (R)21.3%3.0

4. Josh Bell (L)21.6%3.0

5. Austin Martin (R)18.9%3.0

6. Luke Keaschall (R)16.3%2.9

7. Kody Clemens (L)25.4%2.0

8. Brooks Lee (L)19.1%2.0

9. Royce Lewis (R)25.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-120

BOLBetOnline-111-116

BRBetRivers-106-127

BOVBovada-120-110

DKDraftKings-115-111

FANFanatics-115-115

FDFanDuel-118-112

We project 6.1 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.7% K / BF

vs LHB21.6%

vs RHB26.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Brendan Donovan (L)17.3%3.0

2. Julio Rodríguez (R)21.7%3.0

3. Josh Naylor (L)15.9%3.0

4. Cal Raleigh (L)27.5%3.0

5. Randy Arozarena (R)23.5%3.0

6. Connor Joe (R)21.2%2.5

7. J.P. Crawford (L)20.6%2.0

8. Leo Rivas (L)27.7%2.0

9. Cole Young (L)23.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.