MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Sunday, May 10, 2026

TB @ BOS Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, May 10, 2026

TB
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
41
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft 69°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, Out To CF

TB Nick Martinez · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.7% K / BF

vs LHB19.4%
vs RHB19.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOLBetOnline-116-111
BRBetRivers-124-108
BOVBovada-125-105
DKDraftKings-112-114
FDFanDuel-125-106

We project 4.8 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)24.0%3.0 PA
2Andruw Monasterio (R)21.3%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)21.5%3.0 PA
4Carlos Narváez (R)25.3%3.0 PA
5Trevor Story (R)29.9%3.0 PA
6Mickey Gasper (L)21.0%2.5 PA
7Marcelo Mayer (L)21.6%2.0 PA
8Ceddanne Rafaela (R)20.9%2.0 PA
9Caleb Durbin (R)16.4%2.0 PA

BOS Payton Tolle · LHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.1% K / BF

vs LHB24.4%
vs RHB26.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline+113-147
BRBetRivers+112-148
BOVBovada+115-150
DKDraftKings+109-139
FANFanatics+110-145
FDFanDuel+110-146

We project 5.4 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

TB lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Chandler Simpson (L)18.1%3.0 PA
2Junior Caminero (R)17.7%3.0 PA
3Ben Williamson (R)20.1%3.0 PA
4Yandy Díaz (R)19.1%3.0 PA
5Jonathan Aranda (L)26.2%2.8 PA
6Cedric Mullins (L)18.6%2.0 PA
7Jonny DeLuca (R)22.2%2.0 PA
8Nick Fortes (R)20.0%2.0 PA
9Taylor Walls (R)21.7%2.0 PA