‹ Strikeouts · Saturday, May 16, 2026
BOS @ ATL Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, May 16, 2026
BOS
Boston Red Sox
3–2
Final
ATL
Atlanta Braves
◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 82°F CloudyWind 3 mph, Calm
Payton Tolle · LHP
Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.4% K / BF
vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB27.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.9%
How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 K
Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOLBetOnline-167+128
BRBetRivers-177+132
BOVBovada-180+135
FDFanDuel-152+114
We project 5.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Drake Baldwin (L)18.3%3.0 PA
2Ozzie Albies (R)13.0%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)25.2%3.0 PA
4Jorge Mateo (R)29.2%3.0 PA
5Mauricio Dubón (R)19.2%2.6 PA
6Michael Harris II (L)23.1%2.0 PA
7Ha-Seong Kim (R)20.0%2.0 PA
8Sandy León (R)22.3%2.0 PA
9José Azócar (R)22.1%2.0 PA
Bryce Elder · RHP
Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.3% K / BF
vs LHB25.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%
How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 K
Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-175+130
BOLBetOnline-156+121
BRBetRivers-155+116
DKDraftKings-147+115
FANFanatics-160+120
We project 5.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)24.6%3.0 PA
2Carlos Narváez (R)26.0%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)21.6%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)27.6%3.0 PA
5Masataka Yoshida (L)14.1%3.0 PA
6Ceddanne Rafaela (R)20.8%2.6 PA
7Marcelo Mayer (L)22.8%2.0 PA
8Andruw Monasterio (R)21.7%2.0 PA
9Caleb Durbin (R)18.7%2.0 PA