MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Saturday, May 16, 2026

SF @ ATH Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, May 16, 2026

SF
SF
San Francisco Giants
64
Final
ATH
Athletics
ATH
Sutter Health ParkElevation 24 ftCenter Field 403 ft 79°F ClearWind 10 mph, Out To RF

SF Trevor McDonald · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.9% K / BF

vs LHB21.8%
vs RHB23.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOLBetOnline-103-125
BRBetRivers+104-137
BOVBovada+100-130
DKDraftKings-102-125
FDFanDuel-104-128

We project 5.2 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

ATH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Nick Kurtz (L)24.1%3.0 PA
2Shea Langeliers (R)22.1%3.0 PA
3Tyler Soderstrom (L)19.5%3.0 PA
4Brent Rooker (R)26.1%3.0 PA
5Carlos Cortes (L)14.1%3.0 PA
6Zack Gelof (R)24.8%2.4 PA
7Colby Thomas (R)23.6%2.0 PA
8Darell Hernaiz (R)18.9%2.0 PA
9Jonah Heim (L)19.5%2.0 PA

ATH Luis Severino · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.3% K / BF

vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB19.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOLBetOnline-128-101
BRBetRivers-139+104
BOVBovada-130+100
DKDraftKings-135+106
FANFanatics-125-105
FDFanDuel-128+104

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jung Hoo Lee (L)13.9%3.0 PA
2Luis Arraez (L)8.9%3.0 PA
3Casey Schmitt (R)23.7%3.0 PA
4Rafael Devers (L)26.1%3.0 PA
5Willy Adames (R)25.9%3.0 PA
6Matt Chapman (R)25.5%2.4 PA
7Drew Gilbert (L)19.3%2.0 PA
8Harrison Bader (R)24.2%2.0 PA
9Jesus Rodriguez (R)22.0%2.0 PA