MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Sunday, May 17, 2026

SD @ SEA Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, May 17, 2026

SD
SD
San Diego Padres
83
Final
SEA
Seattle Mariners
SEA
T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft 61°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, In From LF

SD Lucas Giolito · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.9% K / BF

vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB18.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Leo Rivas (L)27.8%3.0 PA
2Julio Rodríguez (R)23.6%3.0 PA
3Josh Naylor (L)16.2%3.0 PA
4Randy Arozarena (R)23.0%3.0 PA
5Rob Refsnyder (R)24.0%3.0 PA
6Cole Young (L)20.8%2.0 PA
7Dominic Canzone (L)20.9%2.0 PA
8Mitch Garver (R)28.3%2.0 PA
9Colt Emerson (L)22.0%2.0 PA

SEA George Kirby · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.1% K / BF

vs LHB21.9%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline+110-143
BRBetRivers+110-148
BOVBovada+105-135
DKDraftKings+105-134
FANFanatics+110-145
FDFanDuel+106-130

We project 5.5 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)21.6%3.0 PA
2Sung-Mun Song (L)21.7%3.0 PA
3Gavin Sheets (L)21.4%3.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)23.0%3.0 PA
5Xander Bogaerts (R)20.8%3.0 PA
6Jackson Merrill (L)24.7%3.0 PA
7Ramón Laureano (R)27.4%2.3 PA
8Ty France (R)19.6%2.0 PA
9Freddy Fermin (R)20.5%2.0 PA