MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Thursday, May 21, 2026

PIT @ STL Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, May 21, 2026

PIT
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
62
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft 67°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, L To R

PIT Braxton Ashcraft · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.5% K / BF

vs LHB24.5%
vs RHB22.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline+105-135
BRBetRivers+106-139
BOVBovada+115-150
DKDraftKings+105-134
FDFanDuel+116-154

We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)19.4%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)20.2%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)17.5%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)23.8%3.0 PA
5Nolan Gorman (L)27.0%3.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)22.1%2.6 PA
7José Fermín (R)20.1%2.0 PA
8Pedro Pagés (R)22.4%2.0 PA
9Yohel Pozo (R)21.0%2.0 PA

STL Dustin May · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.5% K / BF

vs LHB17.9%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
BOLBetOnline-145+111
BRBetRivers-152+114
BOVBovada-135+105
DKDraftKings-147+115
FANFanatics-145+110
FDFanDuel-134+110

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Oneil Cruz (L)26.9%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)21.5%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)20.5%3.0 PA
4Spencer Horwitz (L)18.3%3.0 PA
5Konnor Griffin (R)23.7%3.0 PA
6Marcell Ozuna (R)25.1%2.2 PA
7Jake Mangum (L)21.9%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)22.0%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)21.1%2.0 PA