Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Monday, June 1, 2026)?

Joe Ryan (MIN) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 5.4 K against CWS. A 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Monday, June 1, 2026: Joe Ryan (~5.4 K), Jacob deGrom (~5.6 K), José Soriano (~5.7 K), Emmet Sheehan (~5.2 K), Landen Roupp (~5.1 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Monday, June 1, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Monday, June 1, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Results show how each call played out.

★ Plays of the Day

No identified Plays of the Day on this slate — our model didn't find a strikeout disagreement with the book big enough to clear our edge threshold. The model still ran every matchup; it just didn't flag a play worth posting today. This season strikeout PODs are hitting 64% — a +15% return.

Final · 10–9

DETaway

TBhomeTop matchup37 Final · 7–3

MIAaway

WSHhomeTop matchup59 Final · 9–2

KCaway

CINhomeTop matchup26 Final · 6–9

CWSaway

MINhomeTop matchup100 Final · 2–16

SFaway

MILhomeTop matchup76 Final · 2–1

TEXaway

STLhomeTop matchup92 Final · 9–8

COLaway

LAAhomeTop matchup86 Final · 1–4

LADaway

AZhomeTop matchup79 Final · 2–3

NYMaway

SEAhomeTop matchup60

Sort

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.4% K / BF

vs LHB23.5%

vs RHB29.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Sam Antonacci (L)16.2%3.0

2. Miguel Vargas (R)21.0%3.0

3. Andrew Benintendi (L)22.2%3.0

4. Colson Montgomery (L)27.9%3.0

5. Chase Meidroth (R)20.7%2.1

6. Jacob Gonzalez (L)22.0%2.0

7. Tristan Peters (L)19.1%2.0

8. Edgar Quero (L)24.1%2.0

9. Rikuu Nishida (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-175+130

BOVBovada-165+125

DKDraftKings-153+120

FANFanatics-160+120

FDFanDuel-158+128

We project 5.4 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.9% K / BF

vs LHB25.7%

vs RHB25.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)21.1%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)20.1%3.0

3. Alec Burleson (L)17.6%3.0

4. Jordan Walker (R)23.5%3.0

5. Bryan Torres (L)19.1%2.6

6. Masyn Winn (R)22.4%2.0

7. Nolan Gorman (L)31.1%2.0

8. Nelson Velázquez (R)20.5%2.0

9. José Fermín (R)19.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+120-160

BRBetRivers+108-143

DKDraftKings+125-160

We project 5.6 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.9% K / BF

vs LHB22.5%

vs RHB24.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jake McCarthy (L)20.8%3.0

2. TJ Rumfield (L)16.7%3.0

3. Hunter Goodman (R)26.1%3.0

4. Troy Johnston (L)21.6%3.0

5. Willi Castro (L)26.2%3.0

6. Ezequiel Tovar (R)22.3%2.5

7. Chad Stevens (R)25.3%2.0

8. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.0%2.0

9. Kyle Karros (R)23.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-151+118

FDFanDuel-140+114

We project 5.7 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.5% K / BF

vs LHB25.2%

vs RHB24.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ketel Marte (L)16.2%3.0

2. Corbin Carroll (L)23.2%3.0

3. Geraldo Perdomo (L)16.0%3.0

4. Nolan Arenado (R)19.0%3.0

5. Jose Fernandez (R)21.9%2.4

6. Gabriel Moreno (R)19.6%2.0

7. Ildemaro Vargas (L)13.5%2.0

8. Jorge Barrosa (L)27.8%2.0

9. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)31.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-140

BRBetRivers+112-150

BOVBovada+100-130

DKDraftKings+109-139

FDFanDuel-102-130

We project 5.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.2% K / BF

vs LHB22.1%

vs RHB25.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Christian Yelich (L)28.2%3.0

2. Jackson Chourio (R)23.2%3.0

3. Joey Ortiz (R)17.4%3.0

4. William Contreras (R)16.9%3.0

5. Jake Bauers (L)24.4%2.7

6. Blake Perkins (L)27.1%2.0

7. Sal Frelick (L)13.7%2.0

8. Luis Rengifo (L)14.9%2.0

9. David Hamilton (L)20.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-145

BRBetRivers+108-143

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings+105-134

FANFanatics-105-125

FDFanDuel-104-128

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.0% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Byron Buxton (R)25.6%3.0

2. Brooks Lee (L)19.0%3.0

3. Kody Clemens (L)23.4%3.0

4. Ryan Kreidler (R)29.2%3.0

5. James Outman (L)31.5%2.6

6. Austin Martin (R)21.0%2.0

7. Victor Caratini (L)18.1%2.0

8. Luke Keaschall (R)17.8%2.0

9. Tristan Gray (L)26.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOVBovada+135-180

DKDraftKings+132-169

FDFanDuel+132-178

We project 5.4 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.6% K / BF

vs LHB21.8%

vs RHB21.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Carson Benge (L)21.5%3.0

2. Bo Bichette (R)18.6%3.0

3. Juan Soto (L)17.8%3.0

4. Mark Vientos (R)22.1%3.0

5. A.J. Ewing (L)27.2%3.0

6. MJ Melendez (L)25.7%2.3

7. Brett Baty (L)25.2%2.0

8. Marcus Semien (R)19.4%2.0

9. Luis Torrens (R)20.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+125-165

BOVBovada+130-170

DKDraftKings+126-161

FANFanatics+115-150

FDFanDuel+132-162

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.9% K / BF

vs LHB25.7%

vs RHB22.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Liam Hicks (L)11.8%3.0

2. Otto Lopez (R)18.2%3.0

3. Kyle Stowers (L)27.9%3.0

4. Xavier Edwards (L)14.6%3.0

5. Leo Jiménez (R)18.4%3.0

6. Esteury Ruiz (R)21.7%2.6

7. Jakob Marsee (L)20.0%2.0

8. Joe Mack (L)22.0%2.0

9. Connor Norby (R)26.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BRBetRivers+102-136

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings+101-129

FANFanatics+110-145

FDFanDuel+106-130

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.5% K / BF

vs LHB22.4%

vs RHB23.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.6 BF

Expected batters faced20.6

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Yandy Díaz (R)16.4%3.0

2. Jonathan Aranda (L)21.4%3.0

3. Richie Palacios (L)21.3%2.6

4. Junior Caminero (R)19.9%2.0

5. Ryan Vilade (R)18.2%2.0

6. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)21.5%2.0

7. Cedric Mullins (L)19.9%2.0

8. Nick Fortes (R)17.8%2.0

9. Ben Williamson (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BRBetRivers-137+104

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-146+115

FDFanDuel-146+110

We project 4.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.8% K / BF

vs LHB20.4%

vs RHB20.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.1 BF

Expected batters faced24.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)22.6%3.0

2. Andy Pages (R)21.8%3.0

3. Freddie Freeman (L)23.6%3.0

4. Mookie Betts (R)17.8%3.0

5. Kyle Tucker (L)18.2%3.0

6. Will Smith (R)22.1%3.0

7. Max Muncy (L)22.5%2.1

8. Alex Freeland (R)26.4%2.0

9. Alex Call (R)17.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOVBovada-150+115

DKDraftKings-155+121

FANFanatics-165+125

FDFanDuel-144+118

We project 4.7 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.7% K / BF

vs LHB23.9%

vs RHB24.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload17.4 BF

Expected batters faced17.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Kevin McGonigle (L)16.0%2.0

2. Dillon Dingler (R)21.9%2.0

3. Matt Vierling (R)21.2%2.0

4. Riley Greene (L)26.1%2.0

5. Spencer Torkelson (R)29.4%2.0

6. Zack Short (R)22.8%2.0

7. Wenceel Pérez (L)19.4%2.0

8. Hao-Yu Lee (R)25.1%2.0

9. Zach McKinstry (L)18.5%1.4

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-140+105

BRBetRivers-148+110

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-156+122

FANFanatics-140+105

FDFanDuel-130+106

We project 4.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.2% K / BF

vs LHB16.9%

vs RHB21.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Joc Pederson (L)20.8%3.0

2. Josh Jung (R)19.5%3.0

3. Brandon Nimmo (L)21.8%3.0

4. Jake Burger (R)25.1%3.0

5. Ezequiel Duran (R)22.8%2.6

6. Alejandro Osuna (L)15.3%2.0

7. Evan Carter (L)21.7%2.0

8. Danny Jansen (R)24.0%2.0

9. Nicky Lopez (L)20.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-120

BRBetRivers-124-108

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings-117-109

FANFanatics-110-120

FDFanDuel-102-120

We project 4.2 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.7% K / BF

vs LHB19.7%

vs RHB20.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Wade Meckler (L)21.6%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)24.1%3.0

3. Vaughn Grissom (R)16.8%3.0

4. Jo Adell (R)21.1%2.4

5. Oswald Peraza (R)25.9%2.0

6. Jose Siri (R)26.7%2.0

7. Adam Frazier (L)21.4%2.0

8. Logan O'Hoppe (R)19.1%2.0

9. Donovan Walton (L)22.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-155+115

BRBetRivers-134+102

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-133+104

FANFanatics-145+110

FDFanDuel-146+110

We project 4.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.2% K / BF

vs LHB16.5%

vs RHB19.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.4 BF

Expected batters faced24.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)25.5%3.0

2. Andrés Chaparro (R)22.7%3.0

3. Curtis Mead (R)19.3%3.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)19.2%3.0

5. Daylen Lile (L)19.5%3.0

6. Jacob Young (R)18.2%3.0

7. José Tena (L)27.8%2.4

8. Keibert Ruiz (L)16.9%2.0

9. Jorbit Vivas (L)19.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-160+120

BRBetRivers-165+123

BOVBovada-170+130

DKDraftKings-167+130

FDFanDuel-172+128

We project 4.1 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.9% K / BF

vs LHB18.3%

vs RHB22.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.8 BF

Expected batters faced20.8

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Carter Jensen (L)26.4%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)20.9%3.0

3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)16.9%2.8

4. Jac Caglianone (L)26.9%2.0

5. Isaac Collins (L)26.4%2.0

6. Lane Thomas (R)26.1%2.0

7. Michael Massey (L)18.7%2.0

8. Nick Loftin (R)18.4%2.0

9. Kyle Isbel (L)22.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.4% K / BF

vs LHB21.1%

vs RHB26.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.6 BF

Expected batters faced14.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. J.P. Crawford (L)23.1%2.0

2. Julio Rodríguez (R)20.2%2.0

3. Victor Robles (R)20.1%2.0

4. Randy Arozarena (R)21.5%2.0

5. Patrick Wisdom (R)22.9%2.0

6. Cole Young (L)19.6%1.6

7. Dominic Canzone (L)22.7%1.0

8. Mitch Garver (R)27.5%1.0

9. Colt Emerson (L)23.5%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.2% K / BF

vs LHB20.2%

vs RHB23.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload15.4 BF

Expected batters faced15.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Will Benson (L)28.1%2.0

2. JJ Bleday (L)20.2%2.0

3. Sal Stewart (R)21.5%2.0

4. Eugenio Suárez (R)26.2%2.0

5. Nathaniel Lowe (L)21.0%2.0

6. Spencer Steer (R)23.1%2.0

7. Tyler Stephenson (R)26.5%1.4

8. Edwin Arroyo (L)22.0%1.0

9. Matt McLain (R)26.3%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+110-150

BRBetRivers+104-139

BOVBovada-110-120

DKDraftKings+103-131

FANFanatics+105-140

FDFanDuel-104-128

We project 3.6 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.0% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.2 BF

Expected batters faced16.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Casey Schmitt (R)18.3%2.0

2. Daniel Susac (R)20.5%2.0

3. Luis Arraez (L)14.3%2.0

4. Buddy Kennedy (R)21.8%2.0

5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)18.9%2.0

6. Victor Bericoto (R)22.0%2.0

7. Bryce Eldridge (L)25.2%2.0

8. Eric Haase (R)23.1%1.3

9. Drew Gilbert (L)25.9%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-145

BRBetRivers+117-157

DKDraftKings+124-159

We project 3.4 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Monday, June 1, 2026

Joe Ryan (MIN) is the top strikeout start on the Monday, June 1, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 5.4 K, with Jacob deGrom (TEX) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Joe Ryan

Joe Ryan (MIN) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 5.4 K against CWS. He's missing bats at a 27% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and CWS has been around league average, going down 22% of the time. He's lined up for about 22 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Jacob deGrom (TEX) (92) — about 5.6 K vs STL: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
José Soriano (LAA) (86) — about 5.7 K vs COL: a 24% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Emmet Sheehan (LAD) (79) — about 5.2 K vs AZ: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
Landen Roupp (SF) (76) — about 5.1 K vs MIL: a 24% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
David Sandlin (CWS) (66) — about 5.4 K vs MIN: a 22% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

CIN is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Luinder Avila is the arm to exploit it (6).
MIN is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — David Sandlin is the arm to exploit it (66).
COL is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — José Soriano is the arm to exploit it (86).
KC is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Lyon Richardson is the arm to exploit it (26).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 5.5 strikeouts. Top play Joe Ryan punched out 9. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) weighs his strikeout ability against every hitter in the lineup, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Higher means more whiffs point his way. The exact weighting is our own — we project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Monday, June 1, 2026)?: Joe Ryan (MIN) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 5.4 K against CWS. A 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Monday, June 1, 2026: Joe Ryan (~5.4 K), Jacob deGrom (~5.6 K), José Soriano (~5.7 K), Emmet Sheehan (~5.2 K), Landen Roupp (~5.1 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Monday, June 1, 2026?: Joe Ryan punched out 9.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.