Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Sunday, May 31, 2026)?

Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.8 K against HOU. A 35% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Sunday, May 31, 2026: Jacob Misiorowski (~6.8 K), Braxton Ashcraft (~6.1 K), Yoshinobu Yamamoto (~5.5 K), Nolan McLean (~5.1 K), Spencer Strider (~5.7 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Sunday, May 31, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Sunday, May 31, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Results show how each call played out.

★★ Plays of the Day

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls — where our model diverges a high percentage from the book's line (lineups final, so the play is locked). To date this season, strikeout PODs are hitting at a 64% rate — a +15% return.

Δ1.7Jacob MisiorowskiFinal MIL @ HOUwe project 6.8 K vs the 8.5 lineUnder 8.5-117✓

Δ1.6Braxton AshcraftFinal MIN @ PITwe project 6.1 K vs the 4.5 lineOver 4.5-150✓

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice — 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Final · 5–9

TORaway

BALhomeTop matchup50 Final · 2–4

SDaway

WSHhomeTop matchup42 Final · 3–9

MINaway

PIThomeTop matchup73 Final · 9–4

BOSaway

CLEhomeTop matchup40 Final · 2–5

LAAaway

TBhomeTop matchup52 Final · 4–6

ATLaway

CINhomeTop matchup62 Final · 1–10

MIAaway

NYMhomeTop matchup63 Final · 1–2

DETaway

CWShomeTop matchup55 Final · 2–0

MILaway

HOUhomeTop matchup100 Final · 3–6

KCaway

TEXhomeTop matchup54 Final · 19–6

SFaway

COLhomeTop matchup35 Final · 13–8

NYYaway

ATHhomeTop matchup61 Final · 2–3

AZaway

SEAhomeTop matchup45 Final · 1–9

PHIaway

LADhomeTop matchup69 Final · 1–5

CHCaway

STLhomeTop matchup58

Sort

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

★★ Play of the Day

We're projecting 6.8 K, but the book line is 8.5 — so the play is Under 8.5.

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls, where our model diverges a high percentage from the book's line. To date this season, strikeout PODs are hitting at a 64% rate — a +15% return on the season.

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate35.0% K / BF

vs LHB37.9%

vs RHB26.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jeremy Peña (R)17.7%3.0

2. Yordan Alvarez (L)19.9%3.0

3. Christian Walker (R)21.8%3.0

4. Taylor Trammell (L)26.3%3.0

5. Isaac Paredes (R)17.0%2.8

6. Cam Smith (R)25.5%2.0

7. Jake Meyers (R)21.0%2.0

8. Nick Allen (R)21.7%2.0

9. César Salazar (L)20.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 8.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-114-117

BOVBovada-110-120

DKDraftKings+101-128

FANFanatics-105-125

FDFanDuel-110-120

We project 6.8 K vs the 8.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

★★ Play of the Day

We're projecting 6.1 K, but the book line is 4.5 — so the play is Over 4.5.

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.4% K / BF

vs LHB26.6%

vs RHB21.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.6 BF

Expected batters faced24.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Austin Martin (R)21.3%3.0

2. Brooks Lee (L)17.8%3.0

3. Kody Clemens (L)22.8%3.0

4. James Outman (L)31.3%3.0

5. Trevor Larnach (L)21.2%3.0

6. Orlando Arcia (R)18.7%3.0

7. Luke Keaschall (R)17.5%2.6

8. Tristan Gray (L)25.9%2.0

9. Alex Jackson (R)25.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOVBovada-160+120

DKDraftKings-161+126

FDFanDuel-150+124

We project 6.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.6% K / BF

vs LHB22.3%

vs RHB24.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Kyle Schwarber (L)31.7%3.0

2. Garrett Stubbs (L)22.9%3.0

3. Edmundo Sosa (R)20.6%3.0

4. Brandon Marsh (L)23.9%3.0

5. Alec Bohm (R)16.4%3.0

6. Bryson Stott (L)19.5%3.0

7. Rafael Marchán (L)20.2%2.3

8. Steward Berroa (L)22.3%2.0

9. Justin Crawford (L)19.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-140

BRBetRivers+112-150

BOVBovada+110-145

DKDraftKings-102-125

FDFanDuel+118-144

We project 5.5 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.3% K / BF

vs LHB25.0%

vs RHB26.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness18.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Xavier Edwards (L)14.6%3.0

2. Liam Hicks (L)12.2%3.0

3. Otto Lopez (R)18.2%3.0

4. Leo Jiménez (R)18.4%3.0

5. Javier Sanoja (R)14.8%3.0

6. Jakob Marsee (L)20.0%2.3

7. Connor Norby (R)26.5%2.0

8. Heriberto Hernández (R)22.8%2.0

9. Esteury Ruiz (R)22.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+112-143

FANFanatics+115-150

FDFanDuel+122-150

We project 5.1 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.9% K / BF

vs LHB27.0%

vs RHB23.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Blake Dunn (R)21.3%3.0

2. Matt McLain (R)26.0%3.0

3. JJ Bleday (L)19.7%3.0

4. Sal Stewart (R)21.2%3.0

5. Eugenio Suárez (R)25.1%2.1

6. Nathaniel Lowe (L)21.3%2.0

7. Spencer Steer (R)23.0%2.0

8. Will Benson (L)27.7%2.0

9. P.J. Higgins (R)23.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-150+110

BRBetRivers-148+112

BOVBovada-150+115

DKDraftKings-137+107

FANFanatics-150+115

FDFanDuel-136+102

We project 5.7 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.8% K / BF

vs LHB19.7%

vs RHB26.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.