MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Tuesday, June 9, 2026

CIN @ SD Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, June 9, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
53
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
SD
Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft 70°F ClearWind 7 mph, Varies

CIN Chase Burns · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate29.3% K / BF

vs LHB29.1%
vs RHB26.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BRBetRivers-162+120
FDFanDuel-152+114

We project 6.2 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)19.5%3.0 PA
2Jackson Merrill (L)23.8%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)22.3%3.0 PA
4Gavin Sheets (L)21.7%3.0 PA
5Ty France (R)21.7%3.0 PA
6Samad Taylor (R)21.6%2.1 PA
7Jase Bowen (R)22.0%2.0 PA
8Freddy Fermin (R)22.4%2.0 PA
9Sung-Mun Song (L)21.4%2.0 PA

SD Lucas Giolito · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.9% K / BF

vs LHB16.3%
vs RHB23.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.6 BF

Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BRBetRivers-120-112
BOVBovada-135+105
DKDraftKings-112-114
FANFanatics-130+100
FDFanDuel-132+108

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)21.9%3.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)22.2%3.0 PA
3Sal Stewart (R)20.8%3.0 PA
4Dane Myers (R)22.0%2.6 PA
5Spencer Steer (R)23.2%2.0 PA
6Will Benson (L)22.0%2.0 PA
7Matt McLain (R)25.3%2.0 PA
8P.J. Higgins (R)22.0%2.0 PA
9Edwin Arroyo (L)22.0%2.0 PA