MatchWiz Scores

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Friday, July 17, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Friday, July 17, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Tap any card for the full breakdown.

★ Plays of the Day

1 strikeout play is waiting on lineups. Our edge is the gap between our projection and the book's line — but a projection rests on who's actually playing: the batting order, and the matchup the starter faces. Until the official lineup posts (~1–2 hours before first pitch) that projection can still move, so a play could flip. To keep our calls honest we hold strikeout plays until lineups are final, then post the ones that still clear our edge threshold. This season strikeout PODs are hitting 60% — a +9% return.

Final · 0–10TBTBawayBOSBOShomeTop matchup627:05 PM ETLADLADawayNYYNYYhomeTop matchup617:10 PM ETTBTBawayBOSBOShomeTop matchup37PostponedPITPITawayCLECLEhomeTop matchup957:15 PM ETTEXTEXawayATLATLhomeTop matchup1007:15 PM ETCWSCWSawayTORTORhomeTop matchup157:40 PM ETMIAMIAawayMILMILhomeTop matchup658:05 PM ETMINMINawayCHCCHChomeTop matchup508:10 PM ETBALBALawayHOUHOUhomeTop matchup818:10 PM ETSDSDawayKCKChomeTop matchup568:40 PM ETCINCINawayCOLCOLhomeTop matchup569:38 PM ETDETDETawayLAALAAhomeTop matchup989:40 PM ETWSHWSHawayATHATHhomeTop matchup579:40 PM ETSTLSTLawayAZAZhomeTop matchup3810:10 PM ETSFSFawaySEASEAhomeTop matchup68
PROJSome lineups aren't official yet — 3 starts use an opposing lineup projected from that team's last game. The strikeout projection updates automatically once the official lineup posts, ~2 hours before first pitch.
#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.7% K / BF

vs LHB26.8%
vs RHB26.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 10@ CWS6
Jun 20vs MIL7
Jun 28@ SF10
Jul 4vs NYM3
Jul 10@ STL5

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Justin Foscue (R)23.8%3.0
2. Wyatt Langford (R)25.9%3.0
3. Brandon Nimmo (L)20.9%3.0
4. Josh Jung (R)19.4%3.0
5. Jake Burger (R)22.4%3.0
6. Ezequiel Duran (R)24.4%2.2
7. Cam Cauley (R)22.0%2.0
8. Elias Díaz (R)20.0%2.0
9. Nicky Lopez (L)20.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BRBetRivers+108-143
BOVBovada+105-135
DKDraftKings+112-143
FANFanatics+100-130
FDFanDuel+106-136

We project 6.2 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Chris Sale's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.7% K / BF

vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB24.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 9vs MIN5
Jun 20vs CWS5
Jun 25vs HOU6
Jul 1@ NYY7
Jul 8vs ATH9

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)27.9%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)24.0%3.0
3. Nolan Schanuel (L)17.1%3.0
4. Jorge Soler (R)28.2%3.0
5. Josh Lowe (L)24.2%3.0
6. Jo Adell (R)22.5%2.3
7. Vaughn Grissom (R)22.0%2.0
8. Denzer Guzman (R)23.3%2.0
9. Logan O'Hoppe (R)25.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BRBetRivers-129-104
BOVBovada-125-105
DKDraftKings-135+105
FDFanDuel-122-104

We project 6.0 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Troy Melton's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate28.2% K / BF

vs LHB28.9%
vs RHB24.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 17@ MIL4
Jun 22@ CWS8
Jun 28vs SEA6
Jul 3vs CWS6
Jul 9@ MIN11

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake Mangum (L)17.4%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)23.4%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)23.2%3.0
4. Esmerlyn Valdez (R)32.2%3.0
5. Ryan O'Hearn (L)20.6%2.9
6. Nick Gonzales (R)17.8%2.0
7. Marcell Ozuna (R)26.5%2.0
8. Jacob Gonzalez (L)22.0%2.0
9. Henry Davis (R)20.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BRBetRivers+117-157
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+115-146
FDFanDuel+126-162

We project 6.4 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Gavin Williams's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.8% K / BF

vs LHB23.3%
vs RHB26.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 16@ AZ3
Jun 21@ ATH4
Jun 27vs ATH8
Jul 3vs BOS5
Jul 9@ TEX6

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)20.7%3.0
2. Dillon Dingler (R)22.8%3.0
3. Colt Keith (L)21.0%3.0
4. Riley Greene (L)27.3%3.0
5. Spencer Torkelson (R)26.4%3.0
6. Kerry Carpenter (L)25.2%2.2
7. Zach McKinstry (L)20.8%2.0
8. Matt Vierling (R)17.6%2.0
9. James Outman (L)24.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BRBetRivers-120-112
BOVBovada-125-105
DKDraftKings-132+103
FANFanatics-125-105
FDFanDuel-125-102

We project 5.9 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Reid Detmers's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.6% K / BF

vs LHB23.1%
vs RHB22.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 17vs DET5
Jun 23@ TOR6
Jun 29vs MIN4
Jul 5vs TB6
Jul 11@ TEX7

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Gunnar Henderson (L)22.0%3.0
2. Adley Rutschman (L)18.4%3.0
3. Taylor Ward (R)21.8%3.0
4. Pete Alonso (R)24.2%3.0
5. Samuel Basallo (L)21.5%3.0
6. Dylan Beavers (L)22.0%2.1
7. Colton Cowser (L)27.4%2.0
8. Coby Mayo (R)33.0%2.0
9. Jackson Holliday (L)21.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BRBetRivers+106-139
BOVBovada+100-130
DKDraftKings-105-122
FANFanatics+100-130
FDFanDuel-102-125

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Peter Lambert's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.2% K / BF

vs LHB27.5%
vs RHB23.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.5 BF

Expected batters faced20.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 15@ ATH4
Jun 21@ COL3
Jun 27vs CIN4
Jul 2@ PHI6
Jul 8vs ATL8

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)21.9%3.0
2. Brayan Rocchio (L)15.8%3.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)15.8%2.5
4. Kyle Manzardo (L)27.3%2.0
5. Rhys Hoskins (R)26.2%2.0
6. Kahlil Watson (L)29.4%2.0
7. Gabriel Arias (R)30.3%2.0
8. Austin Hedges (R)24.5%2.0
9. Steven Kwan (L)13.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BRBetRivers-108-122
BOVBovada-115-115
DKDraftKings-111-115
FANFanatics-110-120
FDFanDuel-111-115

We project 5.4 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Jared Jones's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.3% K / BF

vs LHB22.4%
vs RHB27.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 12@ WSH7
Jun 19vs BOS7
Jun 25@ PIT11
Jul 2vs LAA8
Jul 9@ MIA3

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Luis Arraez (L)8.0%3.0
2. Bryce Eldridge (L)24.7%3.0
3. Casey Schmitt (R)21.2%3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)22.9%3.0
5. Heliot Ramos (R)25.5%2.2
6. Jung Hoo Lee (L)11.9%2.0
7. Willy Adames (R)26.0%2.0
8. Drew Gilbert (L)17.1%2.0
9. Drew Cavanaugh (L)22.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BRBetRivers-148+110
BOVBovada-145+110
DKDraftKings-156+122
FANFanatics-150+115
FDFanDuel-142+112

We project 4.9 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Bryce Miller's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.0% K / BF

vs LHB21.2%
vs RHB20.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.2 BF

Expected batters faced25.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 17@ PHI6
Jun 23vs TEX4
Jun 29@ COL3
Jul 4@ ATH8
Jul 10vs CLE8

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)26.8%3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)23.5%3.0
3. Brice Turang (L)21.4%3.0
4. William Contreras (R)17.4%3.0
5. Jake Bauers (L)26.3%3.0
6. Garrett Mitchell (L)29.9%3.0
7. Cooper Pratt (R)17.1%3.0
8. Sal Frelick (L)15.4%2.3
9. Joey Ortiz (R)17.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers-148+110
BOVBovada-145+110
DKDraftKings-147+115
FDFanDuel-142+112

We project 5.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Sandy Alcantara's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.9% K / BF

vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB22.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 12vs CHC5
Jun 19@ MIA7
Jun 25vs ATH6
Jun 30@ AZ4
Jul 6vs TOR5

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. J.P. Crawford (L)22.1%3.0
2. Randy Arozarena (R)21.8%3.0
3. Dominic Canzone (L)20.6%3.0
4. Cal Raleigh (L)29.2%3.0
5. Josh Naylor (L)13.5%3.0
6. Cole Young (L)18.7%2.2
7. Luke Raley (L)22.0%2.0
8. Victor Robles (R)17.4%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)29.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BRBetRivers-106-127
BOVBovada-115-115
DKDraftKings-102-125
FDFanDuel-111-115

We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Landen Roupp's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.4% K / BF

vs LHB27.4%
vs RHB22.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 19vs WSH5
Jun 24vs KC7
Jun 30@ KC5
Jul 6vs NYY10
Jul 11vs SEA3

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Anthony Seigler (L)22.6%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)21.4%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)25.0%3.0
4. Caleb Durbin (R)16.7%2.4
5. Masataka Yoshida (L)14.7%2.0
6. Romy Gonzalez (R)24.9%2.0
7. Jarren Duran (L)27.6%2.0
8. Carlos Narváez (R)25.9%2.0
9. Tsung-Che Cheng (L)22.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Griffin Jax's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.6% K / BF

vs LHB24.4%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 16vs CWS6
Jun 22@ DET5
Jun 27@ BOS5
Jul 3vs MIN7
Jul 8@ TB6

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)22.4%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)20.6%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)17.6%3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)14.9%3.0
5. Max Muncy (L)22.5%3.0
6. Kyle Tucker (L)18.8%2.1
7. Teoscar Hernández (R)27.1%2.0
8. Dalton Rushing (L)24.8%2.0
9. Tommy Edman (L)19.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BRBetRivers+104-137
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+112-143
FANFanatics+105-140
FDFanDuel+114-146

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Gerrit Cole's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.2% K / BF

vs LHB21.4%
vs RHB22.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 18vs LAA7
Jun 24@ SF9
Jun 29vs LAD5
Jul 5vs MIA1
Jul 11@ CWS7

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)25.7%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)21.7%3.0
3. Abimelec Ortiz (L)22.0%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)24.5%3.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)22.1%2.7
6. Daylen Lile (L)21.0%2.0
7. José Tena (L)23.3%2.0
8. Jorbit Vivas (L)16.1%2.0
9. Keibert Ruiz (R)20.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers+120-162
BOVBovada+125-165
FANFanatics+125-165
FDFanDuel+126-162

We project 5.0 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Gage Jump's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.0% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB22.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 1 GamesStrikeouts

Jul 8@ LAD7

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Elly De La Cruz (L)26.1%3.0
2. Sal Stewart (R)20.8%3.0
3. JJ Bleday (L)20.8%3.0
4. Spencer Steer (R)23.2%2.9
5. Eugenio Suárez (R)29.9%2.0
6. Tyler Stephenson (R)26.1%2.0
7. TJ Friedl (L)22.0%2.0
8. Edwin Arroyo (L)22.0%2.0
9. Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)20.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BRBetRivers-112-120
BOVBovada-110-120
DKDraftKings-105-122
FANFanatics-110-120
FDFanDuel-108-118

We project 5.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Gabriel Hughes's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.4% K / BF

vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 16@ STL1
Jun 22vs ATL5
Jun 28vs LAD5
Jul 3@ LAD5
Jul 8vs AZ4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)29.2%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)20.7%3.0
3. Jac Caglianone (L)24.4%3.0
4. Lane Thomas (R)24.0%3.0
5. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)18.0%3.0
6. Salvador Perez (R)21.9%2.7
7. Michael Massey (L)16.3%2.0
8. Nick Loftin (R)22.0%2.0
9. Isaac Collins (L)22.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BRBetRivers+114-152
BOVBovada+115-150
DKDraftKings+111-141
FANFanatics+110-145
FDFanDuel+116-148

We project 5.2 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Michael King's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.6% K / BF

vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB23.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.8 BF

Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 20@ TB1
Jun 25vs PHI7
Jun 30@ BOS13
Jul 5vs PIT3
Jul 12vs NYY5

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Carlos Cortes (L)17.7%3.0
2. Jacob Wilson (R)15.4%3.0
3. Tyler Soderstrom (L)22.0%3.0
4. Shea Langeliers (R)25.6%2.8
5. Joshua Kuroda-Grauer (R)18.5%2.0
6. Lawrence Butler (L)23.1%2.0
7. Donovan Walton (L)21.1%2.0
8. Henry Bolte (R)23.0%2.0
9. Tommy White (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BRBetRivers-143+108
BOVBovada-135+105
DKDraftKings-135+106
FDFanDuel-132+104

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Cade Cavalli's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.7% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 12@ CWS4
Jun 19vs BAL6
Jun 26@ SD2
Jul 2vs SD3
Jul 8vs COL5

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Trent Grisham (L)19.4%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)22.4%3.0
3. Paul Goldschmidt (R)24.7%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)17.8%3.0
5. Jasson Domínguez (L)20.1%2.2
6. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)25.1%2.0
7. José Caballero (R)21.6%2.0
8. Ryan McMahon (L)29.3%2.0
9. Austin Wells (L)24.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BRBetRivers-157+117
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-159+124
FDFanDuel-156+122

We project 5.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Roki Sasaki's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.0% K / BF

vs LHB24.0%
vs RHB26.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.1 BF

Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 3@ WSH8
May 10vs NYY5
May 16@ MIN7
May 22vs LAD7
Jul 9@ STL4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Liam Hicks (L)11.5%3.0
2. Otto Lopez (R)15.9%3.0
3. Xavier Edwards (L)13.9%3.0
4. Kyle Stowers (L)28.9%2.1
5. Heriberto Hernández (R)23.3%2.0
6. Griffin Conine (L)28.0%2.0
7. Jakob Marsee (L)19.3%2.0
8. Joe Mack (L)22.0%2.0
9. Javier Sanoja (R)11.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-165
BRBetRivers+110-148
BOVBovada+110-145
DKDraftKings+119-152
FANFanatics+125-165
FDFanDuel+112-142

We project 4.4 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Logan Henderson's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.3% K / BF

vs LHB18.8%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 12vs MIA7
May 17vs MIL1
May 24@ BOS3
May 30@ PIT3
Jul 9vs CLE5

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)24.8%3.0
2. Seiya Suzuki (R)25.8%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)23.1%3.0
4. Alex Bregman (R)17.5%3.0
5. Ian Happ (L)26.8%3.0
6. Nico Hoerner (R)13.1%2.3
7. Michael Conforto (L)22.0%2.0
8. Carson Kelly (R)19.8%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)20.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BRBetRivers-129-104
BOVBovada-145+110
DKDraftKings-139+109
FDFanDuel-138+108

We project 4.7 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Bailey Ober's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.2% K / BF

vs LHB23.5%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 4 GamesStrikeouts

Apr 13vs AZ9
Apr 18@ CLE7
Jul 1vs CWS4
Jul 8vs CHC4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)18.3%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)18.9%3.0
3. Isaac Paredes (R)16.5%3.0
4. Christian Walker (R)23.6%3.0
5. Jose Altuve (R)20.9%2.5
6. LaMonte Wade Jr. (L)25.0%2.0
7. Cam Smith (R)21.2%2.0
8. Lucas Spence (L)22.0%2.0
9. Christian Vázquez (R)19.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers-136+102
BOVBovada-150+115
DKDraftKings-147+115
FDFanDuel-146+114

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Dean Kremer's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.0% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB22.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 17vs TOR5
Jun 22@ COL9
Jun 27vs NYY3
Jul 3@ LAA6
Jul 8@ CWS4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)17.4%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)24.2%3.0
3. Junior Caminero (R)17.9%3.0
4. Ryan Vilade (R)22.3%3.0
5. Jonny DeLuca (R)23.3%2.9
6. Chandler Simpson (L)16.7%2.0
7. Ben Williamson (R)20.9%2.0
8. Taylor Walls (R)23.6%2.0
9. Nick Fortes (R)17.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Jake Bennett's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.6% K / BF

vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB20.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 19vs STL0
Jun 25@ TB3
Jul 1vs TB7
Jul 7@ NYM4
Jul 12@ BAL6

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)21.7%3.0
2. Jackson Merrill (L)23.8%3.0
3. Xander Bogaerts (R)22.3%3.0
4. Manny Machado (R)21.9%3.0
5. Gavin Sheets (L)19.2%2.6
6. Ty France (R)21.0%2.0
7. Jake Cronenworth (L)23.4%2.0
8. Miguel Andujar (R)22.0%2.0
9. Luis Campusano (R)21.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers+125-167
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+128-164
FDFanDuel+128-164

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Seth Lugo's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.9% K / BF

vs LHB16.7%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 16vs LAA4
Jun 22@ STL2
Jun 28@ TB3
Jul 4vs MIL6
Jul 9@ SD6

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)17.2%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)20.1%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)17.5%3.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)24.3%3.0
5. Lars Nootbaar (L)20.3%3.0
6. Masyn Winn (R)19.9%3.0
7. Nathan Church (L)21.4%2.3
8. José Fermín (R)20.8%2.0
9. Jimmy Crooks (L)29.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BRBetRivers-114-117
BOVBovada-115-115
DKDraftKings-125-102
FANFanatics-120-110
FDFanDuel-113-113

We project 4.4 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Merrill Kelly's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.0% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB22.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.8 BF

Expected batters faced20.8
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 1 GamesStrikeouts

Jul 11@ NYM3

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)17.4%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)24.2%3.0
3. Junior Caminero (R)17.9%2.8
4. Ryan Vilade (R)22.3%2.0
5. Cedric Mullins (L)19.0%2.0
6. Jonny DeLuca (R)23.3%2.0
7. Ben Williamson (R)20.9%2.0
8. Hunter Feduccia (L)21.6%2.0
9. Taylor Walls (R)23.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers+100-132
BOVBovada-110-120
DKDraftKings-111-115
FANFanatics-105-125
FDFanDuel-106-120

We project 4.4 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Eduardo Rivera's full player page →
★★ Play of the Day

We're projecting 4.1 K, but the book line is 2.5 — so the play is Over 2.5.

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls, where our model diverges a high percentage from the book's line. To date this season, strikeout PODs are hitting at a 60% rate — a +9% return on the season.

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.0% K / BF

vs LHB17.6%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 14@ MIN2
Jun 19@ KC2
Jun 26vs MIA4
Jul 1@ ATL3
Jul 8vs MIL6

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)18.4%3.0
2. Geraldo Perdomo (L)14.5%3.0
3. Corbin Carroll (L)24.3%3.0
4. Gabriel Moreno (R)17.6%3.0
5. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)20.2%3.0
6. Ildemaro Vargas (L)15.1%2.0
7. Nolan Arenado (R)21.4%2.0
8. Tim Tawa (R)22.6%2.0
9. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)30.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-175+136
FDFanDuel-162+126

We project 4.1 K vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Michael McGreevy's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.8% K / BF

vs LHB22.3%
vs RHB18.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 16vs NYM5
Jun 22vs MIL7
Jun 28@ PIT6
Jul 3vs BAL6
Jul 9vs PHI5

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)18.5%3.0
2. Mickey Moniak (L)24.2%3.0
3. Hunter Goodman (R)26.4%3.0
4. TJ Rumfield (L)15.7%3.0
5. Kyle Karros (R)21.1%3.0
6. Willi Castro (L)22.0%2.1
7. Troy Johnston (L)19.4%2.0
8. Tyler Freeman (R)14.8%2.0
9. Ezequiel Tovar (R)20.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BRBetRivers+118-159
BOVBovada+115-150
DKDraftKings+114-145
FDFanDuel+118-150

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Brady Singer's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.5% K / BF

vs LHB24.0%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload17.4 BF

Expected batters faced17.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 2 GamesStrikeouts

Apr 7vs CHC2
Jul 5@ HOU9

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Anthony Seigler (L)22.6%2.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)21.4%2.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)25.0%2.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)22.0%2.0
5. Masataka Yoshida (L)14.7%2.0
6. Caleb Durbin (R)16.7%2.0
7. Jarren Duran (L)27.6%2.0
8. Connor Wong (R)23.7%2.0
9. Tsung-Che Cheng (L)22.9%1.4

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+125-165
FDFanDuel+128-164

We project 4.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Mason Englert's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.9% K / BF

vs LHB18.6%
vs RHB18.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 9@ COL2
Jun 20vs TOR3
Jun 26@ MIL4
Jul 1vs SD5
Jul 8@ BAL2

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Trevor Larnach (L)18.9%3.0
2. Ryan Jeffers (R)20.1%3.0
3. Josh Bell (L)22.2%3.0
4. Kody Clemens (L)23.2%3.0
5. Royce Lewis (R)24.9%2.9
6. Brooks Lee (L)16.2%2.0
7. Alan Roden (L)22.2%2.0
8. Luke Keaschall (R)16.3%2.0
9. Tristan Gray (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers-136+102
BOVBovada-130+100
DKDraftKings-136+107
FANFanatics-130+100
FDFanDuel-130+102

We project 4.1 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Colin Rea's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.1% K / BF

vs LHB20.4%
vs RHB22.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.0 BF

Expected batters faced16.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 3 GamesStrikeouts

May 10vs LAA2
May 31@ BAL2
Jul 7@ SF1

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)18.1%2.0
2. Munetaka Murakami (L)28.3%2.0
3. Miguel Vargas (R)19.2%2.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)28.3%2.0
5. Andrew Benintendi (L)19.7%2.0
6. Kyle Teel (L)27.4%2.0
7. Braden Montgomery (L)18.1%2.0
8. Tristan Peters (L)19.1%1.0
9. Chase Meidroth (R)22.5%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-130+100
DKDraftKings-135+106
FDFanDuel-128+100

We project 3.4 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Spencer Miles's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.7% K / BF

vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB17.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 17@ NYY2
Jun 22vs CLE8
Jun 28vs KC2
Jul 3@ CLE2
Jul 9vs BOS4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Ernie Clement (R)16.5%3.0
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)16.7%3.0
3. Kazuma Okamoto (R)24.0%3.0
4. George Springer (R)21.5%2.9
5. Alejandro Kirk (R)21.5%2.0
6. Daulton Varsho (L)20.7%2.0
7. Brandon Valenzuela (R)22.4%2.0
8. Luis Urías (R)18.6%2.0
9. Myles Straw (R)20.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BRBetRivers-115-115
BOVBovada-115-115
DKDraftKings-109-117
FANFanatics-110-120
FDFanDuel-113-113

We project 3.6 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Anthony Kay's full player page →

Pitcher strikeouts Rate15.6% K / BF

vs LHB18.2%
vs RHB15.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload17.9 BF

Expected batters faced17.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 4 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 23@ MIA1
Jun 27@ TOR5
Jul 4vs DET2
Jul 10vs HOU1

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Drake Baldwin (L)20.2%2.0
2. Ozzie Albies (L)21.4%2.0
3. Matt Olson (L)23.8%2.0
4. Michael Harris II (L)22.3%2.0
5. Mauricio Dubón (R)17.0%2.0
6. Dominic Smith (L)18.3%2.0
7. Austin Riley (R)26.5%2.0
8. Jim Jarvis (L)21.6%2.0
9. Brewer Hicklen (R)22.7%1.9

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers+125-167
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+134-172
FDFanDuel+134-172

We project 3.0 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Cal Quantrill's full player page →

What the strikeouts board is

The Strikeouts board projects how many batters a starting pitcher strikes out, set against the sportsbook's strikeout line. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

  • The pitcher's own strikeout rate — his stuff, blended across recent form and the full season.
  • The exact lineup he faces: how often those nine hitters go down swinging, weighted by who bats when.
  • Park and the plate-discipline edge in the matchup (a whiff-prone lineup is a K magnet).

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Where the edge is

This is our sharpest prop. When our projection gaps far from the book's line — 1.5 strikeouts or more — that disagreement has been profitable in a full-season backtest, and it holds up out-of-sample. The book leans on a pitcher's name and season number; we score the exact lineup in front of him, so we catch the spots the line is slow to move on. Most of the value is on the UNDER of an inflated ace line. This season those plays are hitting 60% at a +9% return — graded in the open, day by day.

How to use it

Scan for the biggest gaps between our projected K's and the posted line — those are the Plays of the Day. A small gap isn't a play; the edge is in the wide disagreements, and we grade every one against the real box score.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays