SD @ WSH Total Bases matchups · Saturday, May 30, 2026

San Diego Padres

4–9

Final

WSH

Washington Nationals

◆ Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft☀ 71°F SunnyWind 10 mph, In From LF

SD Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

wOBA allowed.291

Hard-Hit %35%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

wOBA allowed.308

Hard-Hit %33%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs LHP.370

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2

ERA2.93

WHIP1.04

IP98.1

H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.350

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667

Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.686

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Total Bases Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+130-175

BRBetRivers+105—

BOVBovada+130-170

DKDraftKings+129-172

CZRCaesars+123-164

We project 1.7 TB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs LHP.370

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2

ERA2.93

WHIP1.04

IP98.1

H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.289

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.65

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Total Bases Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-185+135

CZRCaesars-190+140

We project 1.6 TB vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs LHP.370

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2

ERA2.93

WHIP1.04

IP98.1

H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.321

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.614

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Total Bases Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+125-165

BRBetRivers+132—

BOVBovada+140-185

DKDraftKings+138-184

CZRCaesars+129-173

We project 1.6 TB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs LHP.370

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2

ERA2.93

WHIP1.04

IP98.1

H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.577

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Total Bases Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+138-190

BRBetRivers+120—

BOVBovada+130-170

DKDraftKings+128-170

CZRCaesars+133-179

We project 1.6 TB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs LHP.370

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2

ERA2.93

WHIP1.04

IP98.1

H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.325

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.541

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Total Bases Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-175+130

We project 1.5 TB vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2.9× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs LHP.370

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2

ERA2.93

WHIP1.04

IP98.1

H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.289

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.487

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Total Bases Line · O/U 1.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers+140—

BOVBovada+155-210

DKDraftKings+156-210

CZRCaesars+152-209

We project 1.5 TB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs LHP.370

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2

ERA2.93

WHIP1.04

IP98.1

H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.327

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.45

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Total Bases Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-190+140

We project 1.4 TB vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs LHP.370

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2

ERA2.93

WHIP1.04

IP98.1

H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.414

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Total Bases Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-155+115

CZRCaesars-154+115

We project 1.4 TB vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs LHP.370

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2

ERA2.93

WHIP1.04

IP98.1

H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.378

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Total Bases Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

CZRCaesars-110-121

We project 1.4 TB vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

WSH Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

wOBA allowed.262

Hard-Hit %37%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

wOBA allowed.315

Hard-Hit %25%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.370

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–6

ERA3.33

WHIP1.16

IP92.0

H / K / BB72 / 78 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310

Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.686

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.370

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–6

ERA3.33

WHIP1.16

IP92.0

H / K / BB72 / 78 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.299

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.305

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.65

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Total Bases Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+130-175

BRBetRivers+143—

CZRCaesars+141-193

We project 1.6 TB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.370

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–6

ERA3.33

WHIP1.16

IP92.0

H / K / BB72 / 78 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.305

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.614

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Total Bases Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+130-175

BRBetRivers+163—

BOVBovada+150-200

DKDraftKings+148-198

FANFanatics+140-185

CZRCaesars+138-190

We project 1.6 TB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.370

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–6

ERA3.33

WHIP1.16

IP92.0

H / K / BB72 / 78 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.385

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.305

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200

Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.577

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Total Bases Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-165+125

CZRCaesars-170+128

We project 1.6 TB vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~2.7× / ~1.6×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.370

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–6

ERA3.33

WHIP1.16

IP92.0

H / K / BB72 / 78 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.351

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310

Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.541

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.370

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–6

ERA3.33

WHIP1.16

IP92.0

H / K / BB72 / 78 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308

Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.305

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.487

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Total Bases Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-125-105

We project 1.5 TB vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.370

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–6

ERA3.33

WHIP1.16

IP92.0

H / K / BB72 / 78 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310

Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.45

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Total Bases Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-130-105

CZRCaesars-136+102

We project 1.4 TB vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.370

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–6

ERA3.33

WHIP1.16

IP92.0

H / K / BB72 / 78 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.282

Hard-Hit %25%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.305

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.414

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Total Bases Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

CZRCaesars-117-114

We project 1.4 TB vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.370

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–6

ERA3.33

WHIP1.16

IP92.0

H / K / BB72 / 78 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.381

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310

Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.378

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.