MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Total Bases · Tuesday, July 7, 2026

MIL @ STL Total Bases matchups · Tuesday, July 7, 2026

MIL
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
vs
2:15 PM EDT
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft

MIL MIL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from MIL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).
?
Probable pitcher not announcedMatchups for this lineup are shown neutrally for now and will sharpen automatically once the opposing starter is posted (usually a day or two before first pitch).
Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.311

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17651 PA
Season.337243 PA
Last 2 Years.382934 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0
Jul 4@ AZ4
Jul 5@ AZ0
Jul 6@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.360

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.336

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.313240 PA
Season.3641543 PA
Last 2 Years.3693832 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.287
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.61

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Christian Yelich's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.420

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.44463 PA
Season.488250 PA
Last 2 Years.4571147 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jul 2vs CIN1
Jul 3@ AZ1
Jul 4@ AZ4
Jul 5@ AZ3
Jul 6@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.331

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.314223 PA
Season.3391554 PA
Last 2 Years.3504591 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.343
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.719

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jackson Chourio's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 9-game hitting streak

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.397

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.44665 PA
Season.392383 PA
Last 2 Years.3581320 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jul 2vs CIN2
Jul 3@ AZ3
Jul 4@ AZ5
Jul 5@ AZ1
Jul 6@ STL1

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.360

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.336

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.313240 PA
Season.3641543 PA
Last 2 Years.3693832 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.658

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Brice Turang's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.395

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.45555 PA
Season.372360 PA
Last 2 Years.3661314 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jul 1vs CIN1
Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ2
Jul 4@ AZ2
Jul 6@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.331

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.314223 PA
Season.3391554 PA
Last 2 Years.3504591 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.346
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.614

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

William Contreras's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.402

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.44656 PA
Season.430314 PA
Last 2 Years.365674 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ4
Jul 4@ AZ0
Jul 5@ AZ4
Jul 6@ STL1

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.360

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.336

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.313240 PA
Season.3641543 PA
Last 2 Years.3693832 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.592

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jake Bauers's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.433

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.58746 PA
Season.396280 PA
Last 2 Years.388569 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jul 2vs CIN4
Jul 3@ AZ4
Jul 4@ AZ3
Jul 5@ AZ0
Jul 6@ STL2

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.360

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.336

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.313240 PA
Season.3641543 PA
Last 2 Years.3693832 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.364
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.559

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Garrett Mitchell's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.354

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.37540 PA
Season.287289 PA
Last 2 Years.3311110 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0
Jul 4@ AZ0
Jul 5@ AZ0
Jul 6@ STL2

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.360

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.336

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.313240 PA
Season.3641543 PA
Last 2 Years.3693832 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.427

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Sal Frelick's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.282

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11942 PA
Season.18360 PA
Last 2 Years.18360 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jul 1vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ1
Jul 4@ AZ1
Jul 6@ STL1

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.360

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.331

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.314223 PA
Season.3391554 PA
Last 2 Years.3504591 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.288
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.3

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Cooper Pratt's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.340

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.32331 PA
Season.277235 PA
Last 2 Years.301561 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jun 30vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN1
Jul 3@ AZ1
Jul 5@ AZ0
Jul 6@ STL3

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.360

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.336

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.313240 PA
Season.3641543 PA
Last 2 Years.3693832 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.341

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

David Hamilton's full player page →

STL STL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from STL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 BF
Season.127212 BF
Last 2 Years.219352 BF
wOBA allowed.168
Hard-Hit %31%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.69623 BF
Season.281185 BF
Last 2 Years.277318 BF
wOBA allowed.249
Hard-Hit %25%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.388

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.44436 PA
Season.373249 PA
Last 2 Years.373249 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jul 2@ ATL2
Jul 3@ CHC1
Jul 4@ CHC7
Jul 5@ CHC2
Jul 6vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.259

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.127212 PA
Last 2 Years.219352 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA1.47
WHIP0.78
IP104.0
H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.323

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.292113 PA
Season.339734 PA
Last 2 Years.3141778 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.251
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Total Bases1 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.483

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

JJ Wetherholt's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.350

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.32437 PA
Season.319276 PA
Last 2 Years.353649 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jul 2@ ATL1
Jul 3@ CHC3
Jul 4@ CHC1
Jul 5@ CHC0
Jul 6vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.397

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.69623 PA
Season.281185 PA
Last 2 Years.277318 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA1.47
WHIP0.78
IP104.0
H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.299

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.263186 PA
Season.312962 PA
Last 2 Years.3232530 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-9

Total Bases7 in 10 PA
Career Average.300
Plate Appearances10
HR · K · BB1 · 3 · 1

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.669

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Iván Herrera's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.391

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.40035 PA
Season.465273 PA
Last 2 Years.364640 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jul 2@ ATL5
Jul 3@ CHC2
Jul 4@ CHC2
Jul 5@ CHC4
Jul 6vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.397

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.69623 PA
Season.281185 PA
Last 2 Years.277318 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA1.47
WHIP0.78
IP104.0
H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.299

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.263186 PA
Season.312962 PA
Last 2 Years.3232530 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Total Bases0 in 5 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.692

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jordan Walker's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.354

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.23113 PA
Last 2 Years.23113 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jun 30@ ATL5
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC0
Jul 5@ CHC0
Jul 6vs MIL2

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.397

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.69623 PA
Season.281185 PA
Last 2 Years.277318 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA1.47
WHIP0.78
IP104.0
H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.299

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.263186 PA
Season.312962 PA
Last 2 Years.3232530 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.61

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nelson Velázquez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.375

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.42119 PA
Season.36269 PA
Last 2 Years.344151 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jul 2@ ATL1
Jul 3@ CHC4
Jul 4@ CHC1
Jul 5@ CHC0
Jul 6vs MIL3

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.397

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.69623 PA
Season.281185 PA
Last 2 Years.277318 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA1.47
WHIP0.78
IP104.0
H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.299

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.263186 PA
Season.312962 PA
Last 2 Years.3232530 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.604

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

José Fermín's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.367

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.42540 PA
Season.289249 PA
Last 2 Years.324860 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jul 2@ ATL3
Jul 3@ CHC5
Jul 4@ CHC0
Jul 5@ CHC1
Jul 6vs MIL2

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.397

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.69623 PA
Season.281185 PA
Last 2 Years.277318 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA1.47
WHIP0.78
IP104.0
H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.299

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.263186 PA
Season.312962 PA
Last 2 Years.3232530 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Total Bases0 in 5 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.534

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Masyn Winn's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.360

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.32434 PA
Season.389180 PA
Last 2 Years.338231 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jul 2@ ATL4
Jul 3@ CHC5
Jul 4@ CHC0
Jul 5@ CHC1
Jul 6vs MIL1

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.259

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.127212 PA
Last 2 Years.219352 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA1.47
WHIP0.78
IP104.0
H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.323

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.292113 PA
Season.339734 PA
Last 2 Years.3141778 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.251
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.27

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nathan Church's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.318

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13829 PA
Season.31451 PA
Last 2 Years.31451 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC3
Jul 6vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.397

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.69623 PA
Season.281185 PA
Last 2 Years.277318 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA1.47
WHIP0.78
IP104.0
H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.299

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.263186 PA
Season.312962 PA
Last 2 Years.3232530 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.284
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.352

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Blaze Jordan's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.371

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.4005 PA
Season.37596 PA
Last 2 Years.356455 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jun 28vs MIA1
Jul 2@ ATL1
Jul 3@ CHC0
Jul 4@ CHC0
Jul 6vs MIL1

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.397

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.69623 PA
Season.281185 PA
Last 2 Years.277318 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA1.47
WHIP0.78
IP104.0
H / K / BB54 / 156 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.299

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.263186 PA
Season.312962 PA
Last 2 Years.3232530 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-8

Total Bases3 in 8 PA
Career Average.375
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.382

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Pedro Pagés's full player page →