Who has the best walks matchup today (Thursday, July 2, 2026)?

Kyle Schwarber (PHI) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Jared Jones. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB walks matchups today (Thursday, July 2, 2026)?

The top walks matchups on Thursday, July 2, 2026: Kyle Schwarber (100), Freddie Freeman (100), Junior Caminero (100), TJ Rumfield (100), Bryce Harper (99). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by walks upside.

Did the top walks matchup get a walk on Thursday, July 2, 2026?

Yes — Kyle Schwarber got 1 walk.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Kyle Schwarber (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .148 against righties this year. Freddie Freeman (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .132 against righties this year. TJ Rumfield (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .108 against righties this year. Bryce Harper (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .152 against righties this year. Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .181 against righties this year.

How is the walks matchup score calculated?

It's his walk rate against that hand, weighted to recent form over a two-year baseline, set against how freely that arm gives them up. Command and plate discipline carry this board; the park barely moves it. 0–100 across the slate.

What does BB/PA mean?

Walks per plate appearance — how often a hitter draws a base on balls. Around .085 (one walk every ~12 trips) is league average; .12+ is elite plate discipline. The matchup pairs the hitter's walk rate with how freely the pitcher gives them up.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. This board rewards patience and punishes chase — a disciplined bat against a wild arm will out-grade a better hitter who swings at everything.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a walk.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Walk rates split by hand too, and often the other way round to what you'd expect — some hitters get more free passes against the same hand because the arm won't give in with the platoon disadvantage.

What are park factors?

Parks barely move walks, and the board reflects that. What matters is the arm's command and the umpire behind the plate, not the dimensions. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — the swing is small here.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a walk in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for walks props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ walk" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Walks are among the most stable rates in baseball, so this board's record holds up better over short runs than the power boards — the season number is posted either way.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB walks matchups — Thursday, July 2, 2026

Every hitter on the Thursday, July 2, 2026 slate — ranked by who's most likely to draw a walk. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Thursday, July 2, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 2/5 (40%) on 1+ walk, against 39% on the season.

Top 5

2/540%

season 39%

Top 10

5/1050%

season 41%

Full slate

57/16235%

season 28%

Top call Kyle Schwarber came through. Junior Caminero didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 6–1

PITaway

PHIhomeTop matchup100 Final · 7–2

CINaway

MILhomeTop matchup67 Final · 4–14

MIAaway

COLhomeTop matchup100 Final · 5–6

CWSaway

CLEhomeTop matchup71 Final · 11–5

STLaway

ATLhomeTop matchup66 Final · 5–2

TBaway

KChomeTop matchup100 Final · 4–10

DETaway

TEXhomeTop matchup58 Final · 0–1

LAAaway

SEAhomeTop matchup69 Final · 7–12

SDaway

LADhomeTop matchup100

Not starting37 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 199 shownScore

58 with a BBLive count — updates as games play

1
Edouard Julien2B
COLvsMIA· 1-for-3
2BBFinal
Proj 0.7 BB, #9
T1
Yandy DíazDH
TB@KC· 0-for-3
2BBFinal
Proj 0.6 BB, #14
T1
Travis Bazzana2B
CLEvsCWS· 2-for-3
2BBFinal
Proj 0.6 BB, #18
T1
Griffin ConineRF
MIA@COL· 0-for-2
2BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #32
T1
Kyle Manzardo1B
CLEvsCWS· 0-for-1
2BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #33
T1
Manny Machado3B
SD@LAD· 1-for-3
2BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #34
T1
Josh Jung3B
TEXvsDET· 2-for-3
2BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #67
T1
Marcell OzunaDH
PIT@PHI· 1-for-3
2BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #119
T1
Steven KwanLF
CLEvsCWS· 1-for-2
2BBFinal
Proj 0.2 BB, #147
10
Kyle SchwarberDH
PHIvsPIT· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.9 BB, #1
T10
Freddie Freeman1B
LADvsSD· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.9 BB, #2
T10
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LADvsSD· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.8 BB, #7
T10
Kyle Stowers1B
MIA@COL· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.7 BB, #10
T10
Dominic CanzoneDH
SEAvsLAA· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.6 BB, #13
T10
Gavin Sheets1B
SD@LAD· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.6 BB, #19
T10
Kyle Karros3B
COLvsMIA· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.6 BB, #20
T10
Matt Olson1B
ATLvsSTL· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.6 BB, #22
T10
Bryan ReynoldsLF
PIT@PHI· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.6 BB, #24
T10
Troy JohnstonRF
COLvsMIA· 2-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.6 BB, #26
T10
Kevin McGonigleSS
DET@TEX· 2-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.6 BB, #27
T10
Endy RodríguezC
PIT@PHI· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #30
T10
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SD@LAD· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #35
T10
Brandon Lowe2B
PIT@PHI· 2-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #36
T10
Kyle TeelC
CWS@CLE· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #37
T10
Justin Foscue2B
TEXvsDET· 0-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #38
T10
Kyle TuckerRF
LADvsSD· 4-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #40
T10
Cal RaleighC
SEAvsLAA· 0-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #50
T10
Christian YelichDH
MILvsCIN· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #54
T10
Ozzie Albies2B
ATLvsSTL· 0-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #57
T10
Jake McCarthyLF
COLvsMIA· 2-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #59
T10
Taylor WallsSS
TB@KC· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #69
T10
Julio RodríguezCF
SEAvsLAA
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #72
T10
Kerry CarpenterRF
DET@TEX· 0-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #78
T10
Teoscar HernándezLF
LADvsSD· 0-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #80
T10
Garrett MitchellCF
MILvsCIN· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #82
T10
Sal Stewart1B
CIN@MIL· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #83
T10
Samad TaylorLF
SD@LAD· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #86
T10
Blaze Jordan3B
STL@ATL· 0-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #88
T10
Braden MontgomeryRF
CWS@CLE· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #90
T10
Tommy Edman2B
LADvsSD· 2-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #93
T10
Brayan RocchioSS
CLEvsCWS· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #94
T10
Xavier Edwards2B
MIA@COL· 0-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #96
T10
Andy PagesCF
LADvsSD· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #98
T10
JJ BledayLF
CIN@MIL· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #113
T10
Kahlil WatsonRF
CLEvsCWS· 0-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #115
T10
Nick Loftin3B
KCvsTB· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #116
T10
Masyn WinnSS
STL@ATL· 3-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #118
T10
Joe MackC
MIA@COL· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #121
T10
Jordan WalkerRF
STL@ATL· 2-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #122
T10
Zach NetoSS
LAA@SEA· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #134
T10
Randy ArozarenaLF
SEAvsLAA· 1-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #135
T10
Jakob MarseeCF
MIA@COL· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #139
T10
Rafael MarchánC
PHIvsPIT· 0-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #141
T10
Elias DíazC
TEXvsDET· 2-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.2 BB, #142
T10
Jared TrioloSS
PIT@PHI· 0-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.2 BB, #149
T10
Mauricio DubónLF
ATLvsSTL· 2-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.2 BB, #151
T10
Eugenio SuárezDH
CIN@MIL· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.2 BB, #158
T10
Rhys Hoskins1B
CLEvsCWS· 0-for-1
1BBFinal
Proj 0.2 BB

Best MLB Walks Matchups — Thursday, July 2, 2026

Kyle Schwarber (PHI) is the top walks matchup on the Thursday, July 2, 2026 board at 100, with Freddie Freeman (LAD) and Junior Caminero (TB) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by who's most likely to draw a walk — plate discipline and how freely the pitcher and bullpen issue walks, plus lineup spot. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top walks spot: Kyle Schwarber

Kyle Schwarber (PHI) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Jared Jones. The lefty is working counts at .148 BB/PA against righties this year — and .118 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a walk in about 12% of his trips. And Jared Jones has been prone to walking righties lately — .105 walks per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Jared Jones too — .333 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.

The rest of the top of the board

Freddie Freeman (LAD) (100) vs RHP Randy Vásquez: an excellent bat at .131 into an arm tough to walk against the same side (.042).
Junior Caminero (TB) (100) vs RHP Stephen Kolek: a league-average bat at .083 into an arm tough to walk against the same side (.000), hot bat.
TJ Rumfield (COL) (100) vs RHP Ryan Gusto: a strong bat at .111 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.158), hitter's park.
Bryce Harper (PHI) (99) vs RHP Jared Jones: a strong bat at .112 into an arm prone to walking the same side (.105).
Mookie Betts (LAD) (93) vs RHP Randy Vásquez: a free-swinging bat at .064 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.188), hot bat.
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (88) vs RHP Randy Vásquez: a strong bat at .119 into an arm tough to walk against the same side (.042).
Jonathan Aranda (TB) (79) vs RHP Stephen Kolek: a strong bat at .114 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.125).

Platoon edges to target

Kyle Schwarber (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .148 against righties this year.
Freddie Freeman (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .132 against righties this year.
TJ Rumfield (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .108 against righties this year.
Bryce Harper (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .152 against righties this year.
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .181 against righties this year.

Where walks come easiest today

Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% walk park). Top bat there: TJ Rumfield (COL) at 100.

How it played out

5 of the top 10 walks matchups landed at least one walk. Top play Kyle Schwarber finished with 1 walk. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these walks matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's walks per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the walks board is

The Walks board projects the chance a hitter draws a walk. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His plate discipline.
The pitcher's control.
The count leverage in the matchup.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

An over-only market with heavy juice; our overs grade anti-predictive and lose to the vig. No edge — transparency board.

How to use it

Spot the patient-hitter-vs-wild-arm setups; not a bettable edge.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best walks matchup today (Thursday, July 2, 2026)?: Kyle Schwarber (PHI) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Jared Jones. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB walks matchups today (Thursday, July 2, 2026)?: The top walks matchups on Thursday, July 2, 2026: Kyle Schwarber (100), Freddie Freeman (100), Junior Caminero (100), TJ Rumfield (100), Bryce Harper (99). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by walks upside.
Did the top walks matchup get a walk on Thursday, July 2, 2026?: Yes — Kyle Schwarber got 1 walk.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Kyle Schwarber (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .148 against righties this year. Freddie Freeman (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .132 against righties this year. TJ Rumfield (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .108 against righties this year. Bryce Harper (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .152 against righties this year. Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .181 against righties this year.
Which parks favor walks today?: Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% walk park). Top bat there: TJ Rumfield (COL) at 100.
How is the walks matchup score calculated?: It's his walk rate against that hand, weighted to recent form over a two-year baseline, set against how freely that arm gives them up. Command and plate discipline carry this board; the park barely moves it. 0–100 across the slate.
What does BB/PA mean?: Walks per plate appearance — how often a hitter draws a base on balls. Around .085 (one walk every ~12 trips) is league average; .12+ is elite plate discipline. The matchup pairs the hitter's walk rate with how freely the pitcher gives them up.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. This board rewards patience and punishes chase — a disciplined bat against a wild arm will out-grade a better hitter who swings at everything.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a walk.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Walk rates split by hand too, and often the other way round to what you'd expect — some hitters get more free passes against the same hand because the arm won't give in with the platoon disadvantage.
What are park factors?: Parks barely move walks, and the board reflects that. What matters is the arm's command and the umpire behind the plate, not the dimensions. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — the swing is small here.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a walk in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for walks props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ walk" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Walks are among the most stable rates in baseball, so this board's record holds up better over short runs than the power boards — the season number is posted either way.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.