Best MLB Walks Matchups — Friday, July 3, 2026
Top walks spot: Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers (SF) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Ryan Feltner. The lefty is working counts at .088 BB/PA against righties this year — and .207 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a walk in about 12% of his trips. And Ryan Feltner has been handing out free passes to righties lately — .167 walks per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.3 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 2 career PA against Ryan Feltner, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a hitter's park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) (92) vs RHP Nick Martinez: an elite bat at .170 into an arm prone to walking the same side (.097).
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) (87) vs RHP Michael King: an excellent bat at .131 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.125).
- Junior Caminero (TB) (78) vs RHP Spencer Arrighetti: a league-average bat at .083 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (73) vs RHP Michael King: a strong bat at .119 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.125).
- Kyle Stowers (MIA) (71) vs RHP Jack Perkins: a solid bat at .090 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (69) vs RHP Tyler Phillips: an excellent bat at .133 into an arm fairly stingy with walks against the same side (.080).
- Jonathan Aranda (TB) (67) vs RHP Spencer Arrighetti: a strong bat at .114 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Platoon edges to target
- Rafael Devers (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .088 against righties this year.
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — lefty bat vs RHP, .189 against righties this year.
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .132 against righties this year.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .181 against righties this year.
- Kyle Stowers (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .094 against righties this year.
Where walks come easiest today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% walk park). Top bat there: Rafael Devers (SF) at 100.
Lineup watch
234 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these walks matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's walks per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.