MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Saturday, March 28, 2026

TB @ STL Home Runs matchups · Saturday, March 28, 2026

TB
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
56
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft 51°F SunnyWind 5 mph, Out To CF

TB TB Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.040226 BF
wOBA allowed.364
Hard-Hit %37%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.015260 BF
wOBA allowed.245
Hard-Hit %26%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.017299 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.015260 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–7
ERA3.12
WHIP1.11
IP95.1
H / K / BB84 / 60 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA
Season.00032 PA
Last 2 Years.0263204 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.284
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.13

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jonny DeLuca's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.042449 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.040226 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–7
ERA3.12
WHIP1.11
IP95.1
H / K / BB84 / 60 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA
Season.05618 PA
Last 2 Years.0272339 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.339
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.186

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+500
BOVBovada+460
BRBetRivers+450
CZRCaesars+425
BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jonathan Aranda's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.019533 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.040226 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–7
ERA3.12
WHIP1.11
IP95.1
H / K / BB84 / 60 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA
Season.05618 PA
Last 2 Years.0272339 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.339
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.122

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jake Fraley's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.062611 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.015260 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–7
ERA3.12
WHIP1.11
IP95.1
H / K / BB84 / 60 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA
Season.00032 PA
Last 2 Years.0263204 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.284
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.185

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

BRBetRivers+460
MGMBetMGM+400
BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+400
BOVBovada+385

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Junior Caminero's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.040767 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.040226 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–7
ERA3.12
WHIP1.11
IP95.1
H / K / BB84 / 60 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA
Season.05618 PA
Last 2 Years.0272339 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.339
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.143

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+650
BRBetRivers+650
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600
BOVBovada+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Cedric Mullins's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.000329 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.040226 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–7
ERA3.12
WHIP1.11
IP95.1
H / K / BB84 / 60 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA
Season.05618 PA
Last 2 Years.0272339 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.339
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.09

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

MGMBetMGM+3000
BOVBovada+3000
CZRCaesars+1300
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Chandler Simpson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.02871 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.015260 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–7
ERA3.12
WHIP1.11
IP95.1
H / K / BB84 / 60 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA
Season.00032 PA
Last 2 Years.0263204 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.284
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

BOVBovada+1100
CZRCaesars+1100
MGMBetMGM+1050
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Carson Williams's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.019361 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.015260 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–7
ERA3.12
WHIP1.11
IP95.1
H / K / BB84 / 60 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA
Season.00032 PA
Last 2 Years.0263204 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.284
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.106

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nick Fortes's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.005202 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.015260 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–7
ERA3.12
WHIP1.11
IP95.1
H / K / BB84 / 60 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA
Season.00032 PA
Last 2 Years.0263204 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.284
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.096

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ben Williamson's full player page →

STL STL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.021243 BF
wOBA allowed.335
Hard-Hit %35%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.024209 BF
wOBA allowed.309
Hard-Hit %25%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.2504 PA
Season.2504 PA
Last 2 Years.2504 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.021243 PA

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

W–L0–1
ERA5.17
WHIP1.08
IP15.2
H / K / BB11 / 16 / 6

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA
Season.09122 PA
Last 2 Years.0322439 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.171

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

BOVBovada+850
MGMBetMGM+825
CZRCaesars+700
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

JJ Wetherholt's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.036415 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.024209 PA

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

W–L0–1
ERA5.17
WHIP1.08
IP15.2
H / K / BB11 / 16 / 6

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.0282945 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.138

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Pedro Pagés's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.2504 PA
Season.2504 PA
Last 2 Years.039876 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.021243 PA

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

W–L0–1
ERA5.17
WHIP1.08
IP15.2
H / K / BB11 / 16 / 6

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA
Season.09122 PA
Last 2 Years.0322439 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.173

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+625
BOVBovada+600
CZRCaesars+500
BOLBetOnline+450
BRBetRivers+410

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Alec Burleson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0004 PA
Last 2 Years.016820 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.024209 PA

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

W–L0–1
ERA5.17
WHIP1.08
IP15.2
H / K / BB11 / 16 / 6

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.0282945 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.106

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+1200
CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BOVBovada+850
BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Masyn Winn's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.040601 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.021243 PA

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

W–L0–1
ERA5.17
WHIP1.08
IP15.2
H / K / BB11 / 16 / 6

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA
Season.09122 PA
Last 2 Years.0322439 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.600
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.149

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+550
BOVBovada+550
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500
BRBetRivers+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Nolan Gorman's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.029491 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.024209 PA

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

W–L0–1
ERA5.17
WHIP1.08
IP15.2
H / K / BB11 / 16 / 6

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.0282945 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ramón Urías's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.01854 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.021243 PA

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

W–L0–1
ERA5.17
WHIP1.08
IP15.2
H / K / BB11 / 16 / 6

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA
Season.09122 PA
Last 2 Years.0322439 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.126

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+1250
BOVBovada+1200
CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Nathan Church's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.017414 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.024209 PA

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

W–L0–1
ERA5.17
WHIP1.08
IP15.2
H / K / BB11 / 16 / 6

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.0282945 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.112

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

BOLBetOnline+900
CZRCaesars+850
MGMBetMGM+825
BOVBovada+725
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jordan Walker's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.013448 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.021243 PA

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

W–L0–1
ERA5.17
WHIP1.08
IP15.2
H / K / BB11 / 16 / 6

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA
Season.09122 PA
Last 2 Years.0322439 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.097

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

BOVBovada+1400
MGMBetMGM+1350
CZRCaesars+1300
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Victor Scott II's full player page →