MatchWiz

Nick Fortes

Nick Fortes — hitting .245 in our graded log with 6 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
47.8
Doubles · vs NYY · 2026-10-03
Our calls on him · hits
0%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
103
this season, box-score final
Nick Fortes
CBats RThrows RTampa Bay Rays
Doubles47.8/100proj 0.2Singles40.8/100proj 0.6Hits38.9/100proj 0.9RBIs34/100proj 0.4Home Runs29.7/100proj 0.1Total Bases24.8/100proj 1.4H+R+RBI21.1/100proj 1.5Triples18.9/100proj 0Fantasy Points9.2/100proj 5.6Stolen Bases6.4/100proj 0Runs6/100proj 0.4Walks4.2/100proj 0.3

Last scored matchup

Nick isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 4 days ago, at home against New York Yankees on Saturday, October 3, 2026, where he landed on doubles (47.8/100), singles (40.8/100), hits (38.9/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Nick is 4-for-21 (.190) over his last 10 games, in line with his .245 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Nick puts the ball in play — 40 strikeouts in 273 at-bats, about 15% of the time. Contact hitters carry their value on the hits board rather than the power boards, and they're less matchup-dependent than sluggers: a strikeout arm hurts him less than it hurts a hitter who sells out for damage.

He's a right-handed bat

Nick hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Nick has recorded at least one hit in 52 of 93 games he's batted in — 56% — with 10 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Nick is hitting .262 at home (37-for-141) and .227 on the road (30-for-132) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Nick a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 1 time so far. He's appeared in 103 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Nick was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: doubles graded 47.8/100 while walks came in at 4.2/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Nick and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes. For Nick specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, September 27@ PHI40000
Friday, September 25@ PHI41111
Thursday, September 24@ —00000
Wednesday, September 23@ —20000
Tuesday, September 22@ NYY41000
Sunday, September 20vs BOS30000
Saturday, September 19vs BOS00000
Friday, September 18vs BOS11000
Wednesday, September 16vs ATH21011
Tuesday, September 15vs ATH10000
Sunday, September 13vs HOU31112
Saturday, September 12@ —00000

Nick Fortes — FAQ

Is Nick Fortes playing today?

Nick Fortes isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Saturday, October 3, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Nick Fortes been hitting lately?

Nick is 4-for-21 (.190) over his last 10 games, against .245 on the season across 273 at-bats in our log, with 6 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Nick Fortes appear on?

Nick was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — doubles, singles, hits, rbis, home runs. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Nick Fortes's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).