MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · 1B · St. Louis Cardinals

Alec Burleson

Alec Burleson — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: h+r+rbi at 44/100.

Today's top board
44
H+R+RBI · @ CHC
Our calls on him · hits
77%
1+ hit in 20/26 top-20 calls
Games graded
81
this season, box-score final
Alec Burleson
1BBats LThrows LSt. Louis Cardinals
H+R+RBI44/100proj 1.7#141RBIs41.4/100proj 0.4#135Runs40.8/100proj 0.5#118Total Bases40.4/100proj 1.5#127Hits32.9/100proj 1#149Fantasy Points28.8/100proj 6#163Stolen Bases17.4/100proj 0#136Walks10.5/100proj 0.2#211Home Runs9.9/100proj 0.1#206

Today's matchup

Alec is at Chicago Cubs on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — h+r+rbi (44/100, #141), rbis (41.4/100, #135), runs (40.8/100, #118), total bases (40.4/100, #127). We project Alec for 1.7 on the h+r+rbi board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Alec is 1-for-16 (.063) with 1 homer. The full log's below.

How our calls on Alec have done

When we've ranked Alec a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 20 of 26 games (77%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Alec's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Thursday, July 2@ ATL51121
Wednesday, July 1@ ATL40000
Tuesday, June 30@ ATL10000
Sunday, June 28vs MIA30000
Saturday, June 27vs MIA30000
Friday, June 26vs MIA30000
Wednesday, June 24vs AZ31000
Tuesday, June 23vs AZ41011
Monday, June 22vs AZ21001
Sunday, June 21@ KC53021
Friday, June 19@ KC41000
Thursday, June 18@ KC30001

Alec Burleson — FAQ

Who is Alec Burleson facing today?

Alec Burleson is facing Chicago Cubs on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 44/100 on our h+r+rbi board.

What's Alec Burleson's projection today?

We project Alec for 1.7 on the h+r+rbi board (away vs CHC). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Alec Burleson done?

In the 26 games where our model ranked Alec a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 20 times (77%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).