MatchWiz

Chandler Simpson

Chandler Simpson — our top-20 calls on him have hit 71% this season. His matchups, projections, and the full graded record.

Last scored board
88.5
Triples · @ NYY · 2026-10-07
Our calls on him · hits
71%
1+ hit in 32/45 top-20 calls
Games graded
148
this season, box-score final
Chandler Simpson
LFBats LThrows RTampa Bay Rays
Triples88.5/100proj 0Singles80.4/100proj 0.7Hits78.2/100proj 1Stolen Bases35.1/100proj 0.1H+R+RBI30.9/100proj 1.5Total Bases29.3/100proj 1.4Fantasy Points27.9/100proj 5.9Runs19.4/100proj 0.4Walks10.4/100proj 0.3Doubles8.9/100proj 0.1Home Runs0/100proj 0RBIs0/100proj 0.3

Last scored matchup

Chandler isn't on today's slate. He was last scored yesterday, away at New York Yankees on Wednesday, October 7, 2026, where he landed on triples (88.5/100), singles (80.4/100), hits (78.2/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

He's in a cold stretch

Chandler is 9-for-40 (.225) across his last 10 games, down from .298 on the season. Slumps this size are mostly noise at this sample — 40 at-bats is a fortnight, not a trend — and the model treats it that way, discounting the cold run rather than writing him off. If the matchup underneath is good, he'll still grade well here. That's a feature, and sometimes it's wrong.

What kind of hitter he is

Chandler puts the ball in play — 49 strikeouts in 563 at-bats, about 9% of the time. Contact hitters carry their value on the hits board rather than the power boards, and they're less matchup-dependent than sluggers: a strikeout arm hurts him less than it hurts a hitter who sells out for damage. He's also run — 43 stolen bases — which shows up on the steals board.

He's a left-handed bat

Chandler hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Chandler has recorded at least one hit in 105 of 144 games he's batted in — 73% — with 52 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Chandler is hitting .295 at home (88-for-298) and .302 on the road (80-for-265) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

Against New York Yankees

Chandler is 4-for-20 (.200) against New York Yankees in our log, over 5 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 20 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.

His best game in the log

Chandler's biggest night was Tuesday, September 15, 2026 against ATH — 3-for-3. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Chandler have graded

We've ranked Chandler a top-20 hitter matchup 45 times this season. He got a hit in 32 of them — 71%. That's the model reading him well, and it's the number we'd point to if you asked why we keep ranking him. It's also a season-sized sample on one player, which is smaller than it sounds; don't extrapolate it into a promise about tonight.

Where he lands across our boards

Chandler was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: triples graded 88.5/100 while rbis came in at 0/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Chandler and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Monday, October 5vs NYY41011
Saturday, October 3vs NYY40000
Friday, September 25@ PHI30000
Thursday, September 24@ NYY51000
Tuesday, September 22@ NYY41010
Tuesday, September 22@ NYY31000
Sunday, September 20vs BOS31002
Saturday, September 19vs BOS42000
Friday, September 18vs BOS50000
Thursday, September 17vs ATH52022
Wednesday, September 16vs ATH42001
Tuesday, September 15vs ATH33010

Chandler Simpson — FAQ

Is Chandler Simpson playing today?

Chandler Simpson isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Chandler Simpson graded?

In the 45 games where our model ranked Chandler a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 32 times — 71%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Chandler Simpson been hitting lately?

Chandler is 9-for-40 (.225) over his last 10 games, against .298 on the season across 563 at-bats in our log. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Chandler Simpson appear on?

Chandler was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — triples, singles, hits, stolen bases, h+r+rbi. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Chandler Simpson's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).