MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Wednesday, April 1, 2026

SF @ SD Home Runs matchups · Wednesday, April 1, 2026

SF
SF
San Francisco Giants
17
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
SD
Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft 70°F Partly CloudyWind 10 mph, L To R

SF SF Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 BF
Season.00011 BF
Last 2 Years.026642 BF
wOBA allowed.539
Hard-Hit %25%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 BF
Season.0008 BF
Last 2 Years.048672 BF
wOBA allowed.399
Hard-Hit %25%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.07114 PA
Last 2 Years.0481022 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.0008 PA
Last 2 Years.048672 PA

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L1–2
ERA4.50
WHIP1.13
IP16.0
H / K / BB12 / 24 / 6

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04392 PA
Season.04392 PA
Last 2 Years.0323328 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.238
Plate Appearances21

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.179

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BRBetRivers+425
BOLBetOnline+400
BOVBovada+400
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Willy Adames's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.00011 PA
Last 2 Years.056872 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.00011 PA
Last 2 Years.026642 PA

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L1–2
ERA4.50
WHIP1.13
IP16.0
H / K / BB12 / 24 / 6

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00084 PA
Season.00084 PA
Last 2 Years.0262980 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.342
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.100
Plate Appearances10

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.198

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BRBetRivers+390
CZRCaesars+320
BOVBovada+315
BOLBetOnline+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Rafael Devers's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00016 PA
Last 2 Years.030917 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.0008 PA
Last 2 Years.048672 PA

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L1–2
ERA4.50
WHIP1.13
IP16.0
H / K / BB12 / 24 / 6

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04392 PA
Season.04392 PA
Last 2 Years.0323328 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.077
Plate Appearances13

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.129

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BRBetRivers+550
BOVBovada+550
BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Heliot Ramos's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.007945 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.00011 PA
Last 2 Years.026642 PA

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L1–2
ERA4.50
WHIP1.13
IP16.0
H / K / BB12 / 24 / 6

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00084 PA
Season.00084 PA
Last 2 Years.0262980 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.455
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.087

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BOVBovada+1200
CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Luis Arraez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.3× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.07114 PA
Last 2 Years.043895 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.0008 PA
Last 2 Years.048672 PA

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L1–2
ERA4.50
WHIP1.13
IP16.0
H / K / BB12 / 24 / 6

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04392 PA
Season.04392 PA
Last 2 Years.0323328 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.182
Plate Appearances33

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.158

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BOVBovada+400
BRBetRivers+380
CZRCaesars+370
BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Matt Chapman's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.011565 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.00011 PA
Last 2 Years.026642 PA

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L1–2
ERA4.50
WHIP1.13
IP16.0
H / K / BB12 / 24 / 6

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00084 PA
Season.00084 PA
Last 2 Years.0262980 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.429
Plate Appearances14

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.097

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BOLBetOnline+900
BOVBovada+850
CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jung Hoo Lee's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.06715 PA
Last 2 Years.030639 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.0008 PA
Last 2 Years.048672 PA

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L1–2
ERA4.50
WHIP1.13
IP16.0
H / K / BB12 / 24 / 6

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04392 PA
Season.04392 PA
Last 2 Years.0323328 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.071
Plate Appearances14

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+700
BOVBovada+700
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Harrison Bader's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.0008 PA
Last 2 Years.048672 PA

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L1–2
ERA4.50
WHIP1.13
IP16.0
H / K / BB12 / 24 / 6

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04392 PA
Season.04392 PA
Last 2 Years.0323328 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.127

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Daniel Susac's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.039307 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.0008 PA
Last 2 Years.048672 PA

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L1–2
ERA4.50
WHIP1.13
IP16.0
H / K / BB12 / 24 / 6

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04392 PA
Season.04392 PA
Last 2 Years.0323328 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.126

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+600
BOVBovada+575
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Casey Schmitt's full player page →

SD SD Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.031416 BF
wOBA allowed.357
Hard-Hit %32%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.012411 BF
wOBA allowed.295
Hard-Hit %28%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.046822 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.012411 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.38
WHIP1.49
IP73.2
H / K / BB84 / 50 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03391 PA
Season.03391 PA
Last 2 Years.0233403 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.340
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.067
Plate Appearances15

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.179

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BOVBovada+550
BRBetRivers+410
BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Fernando Tatis Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.00011 PA
Last 2 Years.023729 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.012411 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.38
WHIP1.49
IP73.2
H / K / BB84 / 50 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03391 PA
Season.03391 PA
Last 2 Years.0233403 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.114

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BOVBovada+950
BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Xander Bogaerts's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.045749 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.031416 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.38
WHIP1.49
IP73.2
H / K / BB84 / 50 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01189 PA
Season.01189 PA
Last 2 Years.0152741 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.342
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.429
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.172

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BRBetRivers+475
BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+400
BOVBovada+385

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jackson Merrill's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.036986 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.012411 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.38
WHIP1.49
IP73.2
H / K / BB84 / 50 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03391 PA
Season.03391 PA
Last 2 Years.0233403 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.050
Plate Appearances20

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.145

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+475
BOVBovada+460
BOLBetOnline+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Manny Machado's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1119 PA
Season.1119 PA
Last 2 Years.040544 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.012411 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.38
WHIP1.49
IP73.2
H / K / BB84 / 50 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03391 PA
Season.03391 PA
Last 2 Years.0233403 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.375
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.152

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BRBetRivers+600
BOVBovada+575
BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Ramón Laureano's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.029834 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.031416 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.38
WHIP1.49
IP73.2
H / K / BB84 / 50 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01189 PA
Season.01189 PA
Last 2 Years.0152741 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.342
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.083
Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.121

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BOVBovada+650

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jake Cronenworth's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.00011 PA
Last 2 Years.031811 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.031416 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.38
WHIP1.49
IP73.2
H / K / BB84 / 50 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01189 PA
Season.01189 PA
Last 2 Years.0152741 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.342
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.114

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BOLBetOnline+600
BOVBovada+600
BRBetRivers+575
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Gavin Sheets's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.0009 PA
Last 2 Years.018494 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.012411 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.38
WHIP1.49
IP73.2
H / K / BB84 / 50 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03391 PA
Season.03391 PA
Last 2 Years.0233403 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.094

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+800
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Freddy Fermin's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.01286 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.031416 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.38
WHIP1.49
IP73.2
H / K / BB84 / 50 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01189 PA
Season.01189 PA
Last 2 Years.0152741 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.342
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.104

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Bryce Johnson's full player page →