MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · RF · San Diego Padres

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Fernando Tatis Jr. — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: hits at 65.8/100.

Today's top board
65.8
Hits · @ LAD
Our calls on him · hits
78%
1+ hit in 25/32 top-20 calls
Games graded
85
this season, box-score final
Fernando Tatis Jr.
RFBats RThrows RSan Diego Padres
Hits65.8/100proj 1.1#27Runs60.3/100proj 0.5#38Total Bases59.3/100proj 1.7#33H+R+RBI56.4/100proj 1.9#48Fantasy Points54.5/100proj 7.4#42RBIs49.6/100proj 0.5#89Stolen Bases48.8/100proj 0.1#17Walks39.5/100proj 0.5#57Home Runs30.6/100proj 0.2#89

Today's matchup

Fernando is at Los Angeles Dodgers on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — hits (65.8/100, #27), runs (60.3/100, #38), total bases (59.3/100, #33), h+r+rbi (56.4/100, #48). We project Fernando for 1.1 on the hits board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Fernando is 5-for-22 (.227) with 2 homers. The full log's below.

How our calls on Fernando have done

When we've ranked Fernando a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 25 of 32 games (78%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Fernando's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Thursday, July 2@ LAD41020
Wednesday, July 1@ CHC40000
Tuesday, June 30@ CHC52222
Monday, June 29@ CHC51001
Sunday, June 28vs LAD41000
Saturday, June 27vs LAD51001
Friday, June 26vs LAD52001
Wednesday, June 24vs ATL30010
Tuesday, June 23vs ATL52122
Monday, June 22vs ATL41000
Sunday, June 21@ TEX11000
Saturday, June 20@ TEX52030

Fernando Tatis Jr. — FAQ

Who is Fernando Tatis Jr. facing today?

Fernando Tatis Jr. is facing Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 65.8/100 on our hits board.

What's Fernando Tatis Jr.'s projection today?

We project Fernando for 1.1 on the hits board (away vs LAD). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Fernando Tatis Jr. done?

In the 32 games where our model ranked Fernando a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 25 times (78%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).