MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · LF · San Francisco Giants

Casey Schmitt

Casey Schmitt — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: hits at 81.4/100.

Today's top board
81.4
Hits · @ COL
Our calls on him · hits
48%
1+ hit in 10/21 top-20 calls
Games graded
74
this season, box-score final
Casey Schmitt
LFBats RThrows RSan Francisco Giants
Hits81.4/100proj 1.2#8H+R+RBI71.6/100proj 2.1#9Runs68.3/100proj 0.6#19Total Bases67.9/100proj 1.8#12RBIs65.4/100proj 0.6#36Fantasy Points57.5/100proj 7.5#33Home Runs47.7/100proj 0.2#28Walks24.9/100proj 0.3#122Stolen Bases22.2/100proj 0.1#96

Today's matchup

Casey is at Colorado Rockies on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — hits (81.4/100, #8), h+r+rbi (71.6/100, #9), runs (68.3/100, #19), total bases (67.9/100, #12). We project Casey for 1.2 on the hits board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Casey is 1-for-16 (.063). The full log's below.

How our calls on Casey have done

When we've ranked Casey a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 10 of 21 games (48%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Casey's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Wednesday, July 1@ AZ50000
Tuesday, June 30@ AZ40000
Monday, June 29@ AZ30001
Sunday, June 28vs ATL00000
Saturday, June 27vs ATL41010
Friday, June 26vs ATL40010
Thursday, June 25vs ATH41010
Wednesday, June 24vs ATH40000
Tuesday, June 23vs ATH42000
Sunday, June 21@ MIA42001
Saturday, June 20@ MIA43112
Friday, June 19@ MIA42001

Casey Schmitt — FAQ

Who is Casey Schmitt facing today?

Casey Schmitt is facing Colorado Rockies on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 81.4/100 on our hits board.

What's Casey Schmitt's projection today?

We project Casey for 1.2 on the hits board (away vs COL). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Casey Schmitt done?

In the 21 games where our model ranked Casey a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 10 times (48%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).