MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Wednesday, April 8, 2026

MIL @ BOS Home Runs matchups · Wednesday, April 8, 2026

MIL
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
05
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft 43°F SunnyWind 8 mph, In From RF

MIL MIL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 BF
Season.00014 BF
Last 2 Years.029719 BF
wOBA allowed.192
Hard-Hit %30%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 BF
Season.03628 BF
Last 2 Years.035747 BF
wOBA allowed.343
Hard-Hit %35%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.00024 PA
Last 2 Years.015850 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.029719 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.69
WHIP1.11
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 75 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03683 PA
Season.03683 PA
Last 2 Years.0242160 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.174
Plate Appearances23

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.088

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BRBetRivers+950
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Sal Frelick's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.04323 PA
Last 2 Years.034264 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.029719 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.69
WHIP1.11
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 75 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03683 PA
Season.03683 PA
Last 2 Years.0242160 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.133

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+750
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Garrett Mitchell's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.03628 PA
Last 2 Years.047658 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.029719 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.69
WHIP1.11
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 75 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03683 PA
Season.03683 PA
Last 2 Years.0242160 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.345
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.237
Plate Appearances38

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.146

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+800
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Christian Yelich's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.030201 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.03628 PA
Last 2 Years.035747 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.69
WHIP1.11
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 75 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027225 PA
Season.027225 PA
Last 2 Years.0244200 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.114

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Luis Matos's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.4× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1119 PA
Season.1119 PA
Last 2 Years.041222 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.03628 PA
Last 2 Years.035747 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.69
WHIP1.11
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 75 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027225 PA
Season.027225 PA
Last 2 Years.0244200 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.127

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+500
BOLBetOnline+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Gary Sánchez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.016693 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.029719 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.69
WHIP1.11
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 75 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03683 PA
Season.03683 PA
Last 2 Years.0242160 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.082

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Luis Rengifo's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.00019 PA
Last 2 Years.000100 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.03628 PA
Last 2 Years.035747 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.69
WHIP1.11
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 75 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027225 PA
Season.027225 PA
Last 2 Years.0244200 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.09

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Brandon Lockridge's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.00023 PA
Last 2 Years.028464 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.029719 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.69
WHIP1.11
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 75 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03683 PA
Season.03683 PA
Last 2 Years.0242160 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.094

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

David Hamilton's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.00019 PA
Last 2 Years.014726 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.03628 PA
Last 2 Years.035747 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.69
WHIP1.11
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 75 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027225 PA
Season.027225 PA
Last 2 Years.0244200 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.210
Plate Appearances19

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.074

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Joey Ortiz's full player page →

BOS BOS Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00010 PA
Last 2 Years.037108 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–2
ERA3.12
WHIP1.23
IP57.2
H / K / BB53 / 59 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031159 PA
Season.031159 PA
Last 2 Years.0271934 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.131

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+700
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+540

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Roman Anthony's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.025119 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–2
ERA3.12
WHIP1.23
IP57.2
H / K / BB53 / 59 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040227 PA
Season.040227 PA
Last 2 Years.0262882 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.122

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Andruw Monasterio's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.041243 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–2
ERA3.12
WHIP1.23
IP57.2
H / K / BB53 / 59 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040227 PA
Season.040227 PA
Last 2 Years.0262882 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.141

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+600
BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Willson Contreras's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00010 PA
Last 2 Years.014144 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–2
ERA3.12
WHIP1.23
IP57.2
H / K / BB53 / 59 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031159 PA
Season.031159 PA
Last 2 Years.0271934 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.106

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500
BRBetRivers+500
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Wilyer Abreu's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.00011 PA
Last 2 Years.036194 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–2
ERA3.12
WHIP1.23
IP57.2
H / K / BB53 / 59 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040227 PA
Season.040227 PA
Last 2 Years.0262882 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600
CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Trevor Story's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.0008 PA
Last 2 Years.028141 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–2
ERA3.12
WHIP1.23
IP57.2
H / K / BB53 / 59 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040227 PA
Season.040227 PA
Last 2 Years.0262882 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.104

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+850
CZRCaesars+850
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Caleb Durbin's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0004 PA
Last 2 Years.029140 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–2
ERA3.12
WHIP1.23
IP57.2
H / K / BB53 / 59 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040227 PA
Season.040227 PA
Last 2 Years.0262882 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.109

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Carlos Narváez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.0005 PA
Last 2 Years.032312 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–2
ERA3.12
WHIP1.23
IP57.2
H / K / BB53 / 59 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040227 PA
Season.040227 PA
Last 2 Years.0262882 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.1

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Ceddanne Rafaela's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.012253 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–2
ERA3.12
WHIP1.23
IP57.2
H / K / BB53 / 59 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040227 PA
Season.040227 PA
Last 2 Years.0262882 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.088

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's full player page →