MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · RF · Boston Red Sox

Wilyer Abreu

Wilyer Abreu — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: runs at 75.6/100.

Today's top board
75.6
Runs · @ NYM
Our calls on him · hits
76%
1+ hit in 16/21 top-20 calls
Games graded
92
this season, box-score final
Wilyer Abreu
RFBats LThrows LBoston Red Sox
Runs75.6/100proj 0.6#26H+R+RBI70.6/100proj 1.9#41Total Bases69.3/100proj 1.7#35Hits65.7/100proj 1.1#43Fantasy Points63.7/100proj 7.2#47RBIs60.3/100proj 0.5#59Walks39/100proj 0.5#50Home Runs23.7/100proj 0.1#130Stolen Bases17/100proj 0#173

Today's matchup

Wilyer is at New York Mets on the Sunday, July 12, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — runs (75.6/100, #26), h+r+rbi (70.6/100, #41), total bases (69.3/100, #35), hits (65.7/100, #43). We project Wilyer for 0.6 on the runs board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Wilyer is 5-for-20 (.250) with 1 homer. The full log's below.

How our calls on Wilyer have done

When we've ranked Wilyer a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 16 of 21 games (76%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Wilyer's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, July 12@ NYM40000
Saturday, July 11@ NYM30000
Friday, July 10@ NYM43122
Thursday, July 9@ CWS41000
Wednesday, July 8@ CWS51000
Tuesday, July 7@ CWS30010
Sunday, July 5@ LAA40011
Saturday, July 4@ LAA31022
Friday, July 3@ LAA41010
Wednesday, July 1vs WSH51000
Tuesday, June 30vs WSH41000
Monday, June 29vs WSH31011

Wilyer Abreu — FAQ

Who is Wilyer Abreu facing today?

Wilyer Abreu is facing New York Mets on Sunday, July 12, 2026. His best matchup grades 75.6/100 on our runs board.

What's Wilyer Abreu's projection today?

We project Wilyer for 0.6 on the runs board (away vs NYM). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Wilyer Abreu done?

In the 21 games where our model ranked Wilyer a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 16 times (76%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).