MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · 1B · Boston Red Sox

Willson Contreras

Willson Contreras — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: rbis at 59.2/100.

Today's top board
59.2
RBIs · @ LAA
Our calls on him · hits
75%
1+ hit in 9/12 top-20 calls
Games graded
78
this season, box-score final
Willson Contreras
1BBats RThrows RBoston Red Sox
RBIs59.2/100proj 0.6#52Runs54.5/100proj 0.5#59H+R+RBI44.2/100proj 1.8#89Home Runs41.5/100proj 0.2#49Fantasy Points38.7/100proj 6.7#89Walks32.7/100proj 0.4#87Total Bases31.4/100proj 1.5#129Hits30.5/100proj 0.9#147Stolen Bases21.2/100proj 0.1#102

Today's matchup

Willson is at Los Angeles Angels on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — rbis (59.2/100, #52), runs (54.5/100, #59), h+r+rbi (44.2/100, #89), home runs (41.5/100, #49). We project Willson for 0.6 on the rbis board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Willson is 5-for-15 (.333) with 1 homer. The full log's below.

How our calls on Willson have done

When we've ranked Willson a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 9 of 12 games (75%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Willson's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Wednesday, July 1vs WSH42010
Tuesday, June 30vs WSH20000
Monday, June 29vs WSH21113
Sunday, June 28vs NYY41010
Saturday, June 27vs NYY31002
Friday, June 26vs NYY32112
Thursday, June 25vs NYY40010
Wednesday, June 24@ COL41001
Tuesday, June 23@ COL41000
Monday, June 22@ COL41011
Sunday, June 21@ SEA40000
Saturday, June 20@ SEA20010

Willson Contreras — FAQ

Who is Willson Contreras facing today?

Willson Contreras is facing Los Angeles Angels on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 59.2/100 on our rbis board.

What's Willson Contreras's projection today?

We project Willson for 0.6 on the rbis board (away vs LAA). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Willson Contreras done?

In the 12 games where our model ranked Willson a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 9 times (75%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).