Last scored matchup
Roman isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 14 days ago, away at New York Yankees on Wednesday, September 30, 2026, where he landed on hits (73.2/100), total bases (71.6/100), walks (67.2/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.
Recent form
Roman is 10-for-36 (.278) over his last 10 games, in line with his .244 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.
What kind of hitter he is
Roman strikes out a lot — 68 strikeouts in 213 at-bats, roughly 32%. That cuts both ways in the WizLine. It drags his floor on the hits board, since he needs contact to get there. But it barely dents the power boards, where one swing settles it — he's got 5 homers. Against a high-strikeout arm his score will fall further than a contact hitter's would.
He's a left-handed bat
Roman hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.
Floor and ceiling
Roman has recorded at least one hit in 34 of 55 games he's batted in — 62% — with 14 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.
Home and away
Roman is hitting .278 at home (30-for-108) and .210 on the road (22-for-105) across the season. That's a real-looking split, and it's the kind of thing that's usually part park and part noise. The model doesn't apply a blanket home-road adjustment — it prices the actual ballpark he's standing in, which is the part that carries signal.
His best game in the log
Roman's biggest night was Friday, September 18, 2026 at TB — 2-for-5 with 1 homer, 3 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.
How our calls on Roman have graded
In the 9 games where we ranked Roman a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 5 times — 56%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.
Where he lands across our boards
Roman was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: hits graded 73.2/100 while stolen bases came in at 7.1/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.
How the model reads him
Roman's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.
What we'd flag
Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working.