MatchWiz

Ceddanne Rafaela

Ceddanne Rafaela — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: hits at 68.8/100.

Today's top board
68.8
Hits · vs BAL
Our calls on him · hits
65%
1+ hit in 15/23 top-20 calls
Games graded
96
this season, box-score final
Ceddanne Rafaela
CFBats RThrows RBoston Red Sox
Hits68.8/100proj 1.1#24Total Bases56.6/100proj 1.7#66H+R+RBI52.8/100proj 1.8#64Runs52.8/100proj 0.5#65Fantasy Points36.1/100proj 7#89RBIs35.8/100proj 0.5#152Stolen Bases32.5/100proj 0.2#32Home Runs15.8/100proj 0.1#205Walks8.3/100proj 0.2#223

Today's matchup

Ceddanne is hosting Baltimore Orioles on the Tuesday, July 21, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — hits (68.8/100, #24), total bases (56.6/100, #66), h+r+rbi (52.8/100, #64), runs (52.8/100, #65). We project Ceddanne for 1.1 on the hits board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Ceddanne is 6-for-21 (.286). The full log's below.

How our calls on Ceddanne have done

When we've ranked Ceddanne a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 15 of 23 games (65%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Ceddanne's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Monday, July 20vs BAL41011
Sunday, July 19vs TB42010
Saturday, July 18vs TB41011
Friday, July 17vs TB41010
Friday, July 17vs TB51011
Tuesday, July 14@ 20000
Sunday, July 12@ NYM51010
Saturday, July 11@ NYM51000
Friday, July 10@ NYM31010
Thursday, July 9@ CWS40000
Wednesday, July 8@ CWS52001
Tuesday, July 7@ CWS52112

Ceddanne Rafaela — FAQ

Who is Ceddanne Rafaela facing today?

Ceddanne Rafaela is hosting Baltimore Orioles on Tuesday, July 21, 2026. His best matchup grades 68.8/100 on our hits board.

What's Ceddanne Rafaela's projection today?

We project Ceddanne for 1.1 on the hits board (home vs BAL). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Ceddanne Rafaela done?

In the 23 games where our model ranked Ceddanne a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 15 times (65%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).